Much has been tweeted on strategy. @Chxta did a brilliant thread on it. @AishaYesufu skirted around messaging in her tweet on Obi's programme. Lack of both has made tweets of some OBIdients I read problematic- I won't call them toxic.
What's strategy? What's messaging?
First, the main problem I see is that some OBIdients are stuck in the #Endsars mode and have left their pedals on the firing highs! Social campaigns aren't much about winning numbers. Political contest for power is different; it is about numbers. The more, the merrier.
When you support a candidate, your STRATEGY is all about positioning your candidate; it is about WHEN and HOW to position him/her. Having established the WHEN, you then look at the HOW - the TACTICS - the tools for implementing strategy.
How do you position your candidate? By selling his market: goals, mission, achievements, programmes.
Remember the purpose of strategy is to win more numbers.
You don't increase numbers by becoming problematic and conflicted, becoming a polypath, etc.
What you say or do that gives your reader the reason to support your candidate is the MESSAGE.

When your message constantly insults others, you are not winning numbers for your candidate.

Good afternoon from the sanctum sanctorum of the shrine

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More from @AbdulMahmud01

Jun 10
TACTIC is mobilising tool to shut down the slugfight of supporter of your candidate's opponent. When that opponent's supporter says, "your papa"; your response shouldn't be "your mama".
Your tactic: tweet-quote his cuss with a photo/video of your candidate- without a comment
Example:
If you are really interested in knowing the 2023 views of people of the North,go to the Facebook comment section of BBC Hausa.That of the South West,BBC Yoruba and that of the South East,BBC Igbo.The South South Political direction remains unchanged since 1999.
-S. Sani
As I have done with the tweet above, just post a photo of your candidate or video with a message and move.
If you like the written word, get a quote with a message, quote-tweet and move.
Like this quote:
Read 5 tweets
Jun 9
I like my friend @rskwewum. Nuanced, he brings intellect to the art of politics. We meet whenever we can to intellectualise politics. Yesterday at our meet, I reminded him of the 1958 discussion inside the Colonial Office in London on the prospect of democracy in the colonies
That discussion in 1958 culminated in the release of the policy document, 'Democracy in Backward Countries'. The policy document concluded that "democracy cannot be expected to work well in countries with low standards of living and education ".
While the title of the policy document appears racist - well, it sat well with British ethnographic characterisation of primitive peoples of the colonies of that era - it raised a valid question about the contributions of illiteracy and poverty to the death of democracy
Read 5 tweets
Jun 9
Let me just quickly run the relevant sections of the Electoral Act from my head. I apologise in advance for errors:
Section 29: The power to submit names of candidates reside in the party.
Section 31: candidate can withdraw by notice to party that in turn informs INEC within 90
to the election

Section 33: Party can't change candidates whose names are submitted under Section 29 except there's death or withdrawal

Then, the Baba of the new Section, brought in after the death of Audu: Section 34
Section 34:
(A) After ballots have been handed to voters and before voting starts, a candidate kpai, INEC shall postpone the election for 14 days to allow for substitution;

(B) If vote don start and before dem announce result, a candidate kpai, INEC will postpone it for 21 days
Read 4 tweets
Jun 8
It was always easy to exaggerate the spillover effects of one opposition victory and claim replication in another geo-polity. 2021 0pposition victory in Zambia can be replicated here if we learn three key lessons, as follows:
1. Fight the "democratic war" on the economic turf. Like Zambia, our economy is on a terrible tailspin. How the opposition can turn the parlous economy into a battle cry for democratic mobilisation is yet to be seen. The poor Buhari economy leaves many munitions for the "war".
2. The opposition has to look for the votes and expand its base from its traditional support bases. Like the Zambia opposition that moved from the provinces into Lusaka and the copper belt, our opposition must move to occupy the national space, while expanding its voters' bases
Read 4 tweets
Jun 8
Caught between Scylla and Charybdis, we are faced now with our own mortal mythology that coming generations will tell as the sad stories of where the rain began to beat this generation. It is a mythology in the making...

Question is: how do we escape the two opposite dangers?
I'll return to the answer later; but, first, a preface of how this generation arrived at its own "Strait of Messina". We have to return to the fighting talk in Abeokuta.

The so-called northern hegemony isn't at its imperious height of power as many folks claim
An imperious power dominates through fear and coercion. A counter power that blunts the imperious power's ability to dominate through fear becomes THE power to be feared.
The Abeokuta fighting talk showed it last night...
Read 9 tweets
May 30
#ViewFromTheSanctum
A part of G.O's political postulation has become real: that 2023 will be a three-horse race.
Now, we have Obi from LP and Atiku from PDP. Both have changed the dynamics, to the extent that ethno-solidarity becomes a factor ( not THE factor) going forward.
How will APC respond to these fast-changing dynamics. As it stands, political battles for 2023 will shift everywhere without a single nodal point. Will APC move northwards and place a countervailing weight against Atiku? Bello and Lawan are both minorities upnorth. No chance.
Bello is Ebira and Lawan is Bade, a small tribe spread in two states- Yobe and Jigawa. Yerima from Zamfara is a hard sell. Badaru is from an LGA in Jigawa, next door to Daura. It'll be impolitic to consider both. Which leaves APC going SS, SE or SW.
Read 10 tweets

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