Tinplate Company of India Limited Analysis!🇮🇳

A Detailed Thread 🧵👇🏻
#investing #StocksInFocus
(1/18)

About:

TCIL is a pioneer and leading tinplate producer in India. It has a strong parentage from Tata Steel, helping them to manufacture best quality product along with efficient functioning.

It currently has a production capacity of 3,79,000 MTPA.
(2/18)

Company’s projection:

TCIL’s mgmt is expecting demand to increase by 6% annually to reach 770KT by 2024.

It is banking on the growing demand in the food packaging sector to fuel its sales.

Other segments that will support TCILs growth are Beverage, paints & aerosol.
(3/18)

Strengths:

• The Tata Steel Factor:

Tata Steel owns 74.96% of TCIL, which provide financial support for their expansion plans. Besides financial support, TCIL leverages the parentage to drive synergies across all operations and business practices.
(4/18)

• Liquidity:

TCIL has remained debt free since FY2017. This acts as a credit positive for the company that operates in an industry with cyclical trends.

Strong earnings coupled with a reduction in the WC intensity has helped it to strengthen balance sheet liquidity.
(5/18)

Demand outlook:

About 70% of the domestic tinplate is consumed for packaging of edible oil & processed food items. Hence its growth is linked to India’s food-processing industry, which is expected to grow, augmented by high growth in ecommerce, FDI inflow & retail.
(6/18)

Oligopoly industry:

The domestic tinplate market remains oligopolistic with few participants, leading to a strong bargaining power enjoyed by the company with its customers, as reflected in its ability to swiftly pass on the impact of increase in raw material prices.
(7/18)

• The share of TCIL’s premium product portfolio, which includes value added/downstream products, has been increasing during the last few years, driven by increased focus on innovation & customer-centric approach. This led to better pricing flexibility & margin expansion.
(8/18)

• Challenges:

Exposed to Cyclicality of steel sector:

While demand for tinplate is not directly correlated with steel cycles, the company remains exposed to earnings volatility due to volatility in scrap prices, which move in tandem with steel cycles.
(9/18)

• The tinplate manufacturing process generates significant scrap and as a result, scrap sales as a proportion of OPBDITA have historically remained high and stood at around 82% in FY2021.
(10/18)

• Competition:

The demand for tinplate remains vulnerable to competition from cheaper packaging materials such as plastic, paper & glass.

The low duty structure on imports of tinplate exposes TCIL to competition as imports account for ~40% of the domestic demand.
(11/18)

• Threat of Surplus:

The domestic tinplate capacity is expected to increase by around 35% of the current domestic market size. Thus, the tinplate market could see a surplus situation going forward, unless domestic demand increases gradually and absorbs new capacities.
(12/18)

Import situation

Imports in FY22 reduced by 33% YOY owing to Steel & Steel Products' Quality Control Order
(SSPQCO) which has supported domestic suppliers

However, imports are expected to increase in H2 FY23 as more BIS certifications are awarded to Overseas suppliers.
(13/18)

The year gone by:

TCIL recorded its best ever operational performance for the year under review. The Company reached highest ever gross production of 380KT vs 291KT in FY21.

It also achieved highest ever sales of 373.5KT, which is 18% higher than previous year.
(14/18)

It’s EBITDA for FY22 is ₹ 54,019 lakh vs to ₹ 20,133 lakh in FY21 mainly due to higher realization and higher sales volume.

Consequently, profit after tax increased to ₹ 35,291 lakh in FY 2021‐ 22 from ₹ 9,815 lakh in FY 2020‐21.
(15/18)

The company’s share price has a strong direct correlation wrt Tin prices. The recent meltdown in Tin futures has thus had an impact on the share price of TCIL.
(16/18)

Bigger Picture:

The per capita consumption of tinplate in India is extremely low (0.49 kg) as compared to many developed countries (8 ‐12 kg per capita).

Factors such as FDI in retail & GOIs thrust in food processing & e-commerce will help to close that gap in future.
(17/18)

Financial Performance (vs FY21)

• Debt/Equity - 0.01 vs 0.02
• RoNW % - 34.99% vs 12.22%
• Net Profit Ratio - 8.30% Vs 4.3
• Int Coverage - 1.7% vs 5.6%
• OPM - 11.2% vs 6.1%
(18/18)

The Cyclicality of steel will come into play going forward along with the meltdown in Tin prices which will reduce its sales.

@caniravkaria @kuttrapali26 @aparanjape @Anshi_________

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Alphaspot Capital

Alphaspot Capital Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @alphaspotcap

Jun 15
Fine Organic Ind Ltd Analysis!🇮🇳

A Detailed Thread! 🧵👇🏻
#investing #stocks Image
(1/16)

About:

Fine Organics was incorporated in May 2002 & started operations in 2006 by setting up a manufacturing facility in Maharashtra.

It manufactures oleochemical additives for various end-user industries such as food, plastic, rubber, paint, ink, cosmetics, coatings.
(2/16)

What is Oleochemical?

Oleochemicals are chemical compounds derived from natural fats & oils that can be used as RM in a variety of industries. It can be used as a substitute for petrol-based products known as petrochemicals.

It’s demand goes up when crude prices go up.
Read 17 tweets
Jun 3
Deepak Nitrite Analysis! 🇮🇳

A Detailed thread 🧵👇🏻
#investing #stocks
(1/13)

DNL started as a sodium nitrite & sodium nitrate manufacturer, before gradually widening its product portfolio over the years. Now it has a leading market position in most of its products.

It has also been doing smart acquisitions of companies with complementary product.
(2/13)

Phenol Market:

The global phenol market is estimated to grow by a CAGR of 4.2% between 2022 & 2027 to reach a value of $24.07 bn.

Asia Pacific currently has the largest market share (52.5%) followed by Europe and North America.
Read 14 tweets
May 28
Jamuna Auto Industries Analysis!🇮🇳

A detailed thread 🧵👇🏻
#investing #stocks
(1/14)

About:

Jamna Auto Industries is India’s market leader in automotive suspension solutions and is the second largest producer in the world of multi-leaf springs. It has plants at various locations in India.

The promoters, the Jauhar family, own 50% stake in the company.
(2/14)

Industry:

Indian CV manufacturers feel that the need to replace ageing fleet and a revival in the economy may generate demand for close to half a million light-medium and heavy-duty trucks worth $10 bn over the next 12-18 months.
Read 15 tweets
May 21
Affle India Ltd Analysis! 🇮🇳

A Detailed Thread🧵👇🏻
#investing #stocks
(1/17)

About:

Affle is a global technology company with a proprietary consumer intelligence platform that delivers consumer recommendations and conversions through relevant Mobile Advertising. It aims to enhance returns on marketing investment through contextual mobile ads.
(2/17)

Affle’s platforms:

• Appnext
• Jampp
• MAAS
• mDMP
• mediasmart
• mTraction Enterprise
• RevX
• Vizury
Read 18 tweets
May 11
MTAR Tech Ltd Analysis! 🇮🇳

A Detailed Thread 🧵👇🏻
#investing #stocks
(1/13)

About:

MTAR Technologies develops and manufactures components for the defense, aerospace & nuclear sectors. It was incorporated in 1970 to serve the technical & engineering needs of the Indian government in the post embargo regime.
(2/13)

Client Base:

The company has a renowned client base, including reputed players such as Bloom Energy Corporation, ISRO, NPCIL, and DRDL.

It has established relationship with its customers and has been receiving repeat orders from its clients.
Read 14 tweets
May 9
Power Grid Corp Analysis! 🇮🇳

A Detailed Thread🧵👇🏻
#investing #stockstowatch Image
(1/18)

About:

Power Grid is a Maharatna CPSU & India’s largest electric power transmission company.

As on December 31, 2021, PGCIL owned transmission lines of 172,190 ckm with 264 substations
with capacity of 469,600 MVA.

GOI has 51.34% stake in the company.
(2/18)

• Powergrid transmits about 50% of the total power generated in India on its transmission network

• It also undertakes transmission related consultancy to more than 150 domestic clients and owns & operates 71673 km of telecom network
Read 19 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(