James Myall Profile picture
Jun 15 11 tweets 3 min read
Last week (6/10) @PaulLePage2022 was on the Ray Richardson show and he made a series of bizarre and untrue claims about relief checks, immigration and Medicaid expansion. He’s either totally misinformed or happily spreading lies.

A thread #mepolitics
LePage says funding for the $850 relief checks is “based on a forecast” and that “the money is never going to come in” because the economy will go into recession. It’s true that all budgets are made on forecasts. But a big drop is very unlikely…
There would need to be a big spike in unemployment to cause a big revenue dent. In the short term, Maine’s summer season, which brings in a lot of sales taxes, looks strong.

What’s more, the relief payments will go out regardless. Any shortfall would manifest later in the year
Legislators would have options if theres a big recession. The rainy day fund is larger than ever and provides some cushion. Taxing the rich more is another option. Of course LePage’s proposal of big ongoing tax cuts would be worse for the state budget in the long term.
LePage blames MaineCare expansion for the labor shortage. (Never mind that state unemployment fell to record lows after expansion was enacted). claims there are “55,000 men under the age of 30” on expanded MaineCare. It’s actually ~15,000.
He says MaineCare’s income limits discourage people from working. In reality, once you earn to much for MaineCare, you can transition to the ACA marketplace for minimal or no monthly premiums.

What’s more, LePage previously proposed making MaineCare income limits lower!
LePage proposes pushing people to the federally subsidized ACA plans instead of MaineCare. Not only is this more expensive for taxpayers and a worse deal for covered Mainers, but it’s not even possible for most. The feds won’t subsidize people under the poverty line.
This is called the Medicaid Coverage Gap.

kff.org/medicaid/issue…
Finally, LePage does some mental gymnastics on immigration. First he equates “illegal immigration” and (legal) asylum seeking. He says he’s “not big” on either. But then he says he wants to let refugees and asylum seekers in Maine work [good!].
He proposes “a format of Ellis Island like we used to have.” Except asylum seekers and refugees, like all immigrants, do undergo vetting and screening already.

citizenpath.com/asylum-process…
Worth noting LePage’s own ancestors came to the US from Quebec at a time of almost unrestricted immigration. They just took a train. No Ellis Island. Most US immigration laws didn’t apply to N & S America until 1965.

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More from @JamesxMyall

Oct 29, 2020
Fascinating that the survey also found that ~80% thought RCV was easy to use; similar number understood the process; 76% thought a majority winner was important. Yet the numbers supporting RCV in general much lower, and just 36% wanted to expand its use #mepolitics
Those details can be found here

surveyusa.com/client/PollRep…
I do wonder how many people actually know which races RCV applies to. In my experience, even some folks fairly active in politics don’t know that it’s not used for the gubernatorial election, for example. Next time @fairvote should ask if ppl know that before asking abt expanding
Read 5 tweets
Oct 29, 2020
.@SenSusanCollins, if there’s no systemic racism in Maine, please answer these questions #mepolitics

(Thread)
Why have Black Mainers been so much more likely to contract COVID-19 than white Mainers?

blog.mecep.org/2020/06/black-…
Why are Black Mainers more than twice as likely to have lost their jobs in the current recession than white Mainers?

blog.mecep.org/2020/10/maines…
Read 7 tweets
Oct 26, 2020
THREAD - Paid sick leave helped reduce COVID-19 infections in the United States by 400 per day. All the more reason for Maine to ensure that its new paid leave law (which comes online in January) is accessible & robustly enforced #mepolitics
The underlying study on which this is based found that paid sick time reduced Covid cases by 1 per day for every 1,300 workers who didn’t have paid sick time before. Based on the period 3/8-5/11. The reduction is about 56% compared to control

healthaffairs.org/doi/10.1377/hl…
Maine’s new PTO law would have a roughly similar coverage rate to the sick leave in Families First Act, so at least in very broad terms, the new paid leave law should help curb Coronavirus in Maine quite a bit.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 26, 2020
This is going around again, so here's some important context to understand the number. The $12,366 does come from an official source (US Current Population Survey) but is almost certainly incorrect. A better source (American Community Survey) puts the increase at $213. #mepolitcs
The ACS is the official source for income & poverty numbers because the sample size is much larger than the CPS. ACS samples ~13,000 people in Maine. The CPS's annual economic supplement includes just ~1,200. So the results are much more prone to error.
ACS data - Median household income in Maine:

2017 = $56,227 (+/- 1,168)
2019 = $58,924 (+/- 1,758)

After adjusting for inflation, 2017 income = $58,711 in 2019 dollars. So an increase of $213.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 21, 2019
Want to tackle racial inequality? State level policies are a good place to start. Here’s a non-exhaustive list of some of legislation proposed in #Maine that will help level the playing field (thread) #mepolitics #MartinLutherKingJrDay
“An Act To Expand the Earned Income Tax Credit in Maine” (LR 163) would increase the size of the state EITC, which goes to low income families. Maine has some the highest poverty rates for POC in the nation, and the EITC is one of the most effective anti poverty programs
“An Act To Ensure Pay Transparency and Reduce Gender and Racial Inequities” (LR 942) would require disclosure of race and gender pay gaps for large companies. Black women in Maine make ~59¢ for every $1 made by a white man. More transparency will force corps to face inequities
Read 11 tweets
Oct 16, 2018
1/ A Mary Mayhew thread
The new deputy administrator at CMS overseeing the Medicaid and CHIP programs leaves behind her a trail of devastation in Maine from her tenure at Maine's Dept of Health and Human Services #mepolitics
mainepublic.org/#stream/0
2/
Mayhew bitterly opposed Medicaid expansion, in defiance of all the experts and members of the public health community. She even vowed to repeal the voter-approved law if elected governor #mepolitics
mecep.org/mary-mayhews-m…
3/
But before that, Mayhew kicked 25,000 poor and near-poor Mainers off the state's existing Medicaid program #mepolitics
khn.org/news/maine-gov…
Read 20 tweets

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