Roll up, roll up #Brexit faithful....@Jacob_Rees_Mogg wants you to say which bits of 'retained EU law' you don't like ... you can look them all up here. Good luck. Bag of smarties for the winner. No seriously.../1
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg I am being serious. He really does...here is his statement to the House of Commons today...he wants the public to "join us on this journey" and deliver a "crucial boost" to productivity /2 ft.com/content/ba5b39…
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg It's genuinely hard to know where to start here....do we really think the public are going to trawl this website (pretty gritty stuff)...and do we think repealing bits and bobs of EU law will lead to a "productivity boost"...economists don't. /3
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg As @thom_sampson of LSE tells me: “Since 2016 the government has failed to identify any changes to EU regulations that would make a substantial difference to productivity growth. There is no reason to believe that the latest initiative will change that fundamental fact” /4
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg@thom_sampson In fact the bitterest irony of this #Brexiter "vanity project" (h/t @SDoughtyMP) is that EU membership actually drove UK productivity through enhanced competition....and #Brexit is actually make the economy more closed again /5
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg@thom_sampson@SDoughtyMP And as Nicholas Crafts, professor of economic history at Sussex university, tells me even the most optimistic estimates for regulatory dividends by Open Europe in 2016 only put it at 0.7%-1.3%...a fraction of 4% per OBR #Brexit will cost. /6
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg@thom_sampson@SDoughtyMP And deregulating isn't a one-way upside bet...it also costs in creating barriers to the EU and detering investment by having dual regulatory regimes. Actually, prof Crafts, points out the best deregulation for productivity is land use reform...which this govt has failed at/7
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg@thom_sampson@SDoughtyMP And as @joelreland, of @UKandEU divergence tracker points out, this is is a recipe for chaos: “Rees-Mogg says he wants the UK to be ‘the most sensibly regulated economy in the world’ but starting a countdown to reform up to 2,400 pieces of EU law is the exact opposite of that."/8
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg@thom_sampson@SDoughtyMP@joelreland@UKandEU Rees-Mogg seemed unable to say how this would work when he spoke to media afterwards. He said he wouldn't listen to "lobbyists" when I pointed out (for eg) that a very wide spectrum of groups were rejected Eustice's plans to reform habitats directive/9
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg@thom_sampson@SDoughtyMP@joelreland@UKandEU But when asked who, then, he would listen to - if not business groups or environmental groups etc -- he just said we have a "mandate from the people" and "80 seat majority"...so it seems Nanny (state) does know best after all?? Or will ministers just make it up? /10
@Jacob_Rees_Mogg@thom_sampson@SDoughtyMP@joelreland@UKandEU Or back to where we started, does Rees-Mogg really think folk are gonna ring in and say they "I want to reform REGULATION (EC) No 2195/2002 on the common procurement vocabulary" ?
It would be funny if it wasn't quite so poor..../11
🚨🧨🧨🧨🧨🧨NEW: leaked section of Northern Ireland #Brexit bill that I've seen hand ministers massive powers to 'switch off' the Protocol...only 3 articles of the NI Protocol are specifically protected. My latest via @FT w @GeorgeWParker@jude_webber /1 ft.com/content/2286f0…
@FT@GeorgeWParker@jude_webber This legislation is far broader in scope that the Internal Market Bill 2020 that the government admitted breached international law in a "limited and specific way"...section 15 of this bill makes clear how broad the powers are.../2
@FT@GeorgeWParker@jude_webber Section 15 lists nine very broad criteria for using the powers for switching off parts of the Protocol...
- “safeguarding economic stability”
- and the “safetguarding territorial or constitutional integrity of the United Kingdom” /3
🧨🧨 NEW. Leaked Treasury memo concedes Boris Johnson’s plan to cut civil service risks ‘adverse impacts’ on frontline services - my latest with @eirnolsoe @FT /1 on.ft.com/3xEpuu0
So @BorisJohnson said this week the decision to “prune back” Whitehall departments could be achieved “without harming the public services they deliver” — but no-one agrees with that. Not insiders or experts. /2
Because cutting one fifth of Civil Servants in three years when HALF deliver frontline services (prison officers, probation, court staff, govt agencies like DVLA etc) can’t be done without impact /3
The @DUPonline now look unlikely to be persuaded into power by tabling the NI Protocol-busting legislation, Brandon Lewis has warned PM...which leaves Govt in a predicament/1
@duponline@GeorgeWParker@clivecookson Per Whitehall insiders, Brandon Lewis initially promised Truss/Johnson at cab cmme that it WOULD do the trick -- justifying they unilateral law-breaking move -- but that has had to be revised. DUP say they feel "no pressure" to move until it's actually on the statute book. /2
@duponline@GeorgeWParker@clivecookson But @BorisJohnson is on the horns of a nasty dilemma, since he's promised this law-breaking bill to the ERG and the Frostian right and now feels he has to plough ahead with it -- even thought it won't by justified (as they'd hoped) by getting DUP back into executive/3
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NEW: Amazingly broad range of conservation and marine habitat industry user-groups are expressing deep misgivings about George Eustice @DefraGovUK plans to reform/replace EU Habitats directives post #Brexit my @FT latest/1 ft.com/content/f688bd…
@DefraGovUK@FT These are plans to reform Habitats/Birds and other EU directives that were sucked into UK law at point of #Brexit but now, per UK Govt consultation, George Eustice wants to "simplify and streamline" /2
@DefraGovUK@FT Eustice has wanted to do this & promised to do this since the 2016 referendum campaign when he described them as "spirit crushing"...problem is, lots of biggest habitat-defender groups just don't agree with him or @DefraGovUK
plans /3
Worth reading @BorisJohnson oped…and then imagining if it had been written after 18 months of good-faith engagement — as NI business had done — rather than grandstanding and threats. There are still accessible solutions here…/1
In that more benign world, the EU could agree the implementation grace periods are permanent (No-one in Brussels seriously thinks they aren’t anyway.)
And that U.K. subsidy control regime allows re think on Art10/State Aid clause/2
The DUP cant, surely, afford politically to stay out of power sharing and risk a repeat election after 24 weeks, so a deal that bakes in grace periods with pragmatic facilitations is surely waiting to be taken/3
🚨🚨🇪🇺🇬🇧🐖🐄🐖🐄🇬🇧🇪🇺🚨🚨NEW: Vets and farmers warn @Jacob_Rees_Mogg decision to delay #Brexit border checks on EU food imports is "accident waiting to happen"...my @ft latest, revealing details of biosecurity breaches that already occurred/1 ft.com/content/35f540…
You may recall that vet and farming groups sounded the alarm when the announcement was made -- here's why:
industry sources say UK authorities have warned pig industry that illegal 'white van' loads of Romanian pork have been entering the UK. This is a problem.../2
Romania, like lots of Easter EU is battling African Swine Fever, which can be transmitted as pork products infected with the virus enter the animal food chain...this is a small risk, but a real one. We know this, because it already happened in 2000 with Classical Swine Fever/3