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Evergreen Intel Profile picture
@vcdgf555
Jun 26, 2022 • 6 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
17 Russian 🇷🇺 mil/gov't planes on @ADSBexchange from 0000-2359 UTC June 25, 2022.

1x An-124
1x A319
1x Be-200
1x Falcon 7X
5x Il-76
3x Il-96
1x Tu-134
3x Tu-154
1x Tu-214

1/
Rossiya (Special Flight Detachment): 6 flights.

A319-115(CJ) RA-73026 #151D42
Falcon 7X RA-09090 #142382
Il-96 RA-96018 #157712
Il-96 RA-96019 #157713
Il-96PU RA-96022 #157716
Tu-214VPU RA-64520 #14FC08

Most traffic to/from St Petersburg, however RA-96019 made a NE loop.

2/
RuAF: 9 flights.

An-124 RA-82014 #15405E
Il-76MD RA-76669 #152B7D
Il-76MD RA-76713 #152BA9
Il-76TD RA-78818 #1533E2
Il-76MD RA-78835 #1533F3
Il-76MD RA-78838 #1533F6
Tu-134A RA-65996 #1501CC
Tu-154B-2 RA-85586 #154E52
Tu-154M RA-85686 #154EB6

That last one...

3/
... Tu-154M RA-85686 #154EB6 has been a passenger jet for General Gerasimov prior to the war. The pic on @adsbexchange header (by Roope Nikkinen) notes Gerasimov visited Helsinki in it as recently as Sept. 2021.

It was seen using ADS-B. The other 8 RuAF flights used Mode-S.

4/
Russian Navy and Ministry of Emergency Situations: 1 flight each.

Navy
Tu-154M RF-85855 #1B4F5F

MChS
Be-200 CH/S RF-31120 #147990

Neither of these flights were remarkable.

5/
You can see these Russian mil/gov't flights for June 25, 2022 yourself at the link provided: globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=1533f6,1…

6/end

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More from @vcdgf555

Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jan 15
Iran-related thread.

Starting at 20:02 UTC, a pair of USAF C-17As set to depart from Al-Udeid AB, Qatar (OTBH) were instructed to "return to the chalks" and that their mission to Chania, Greece (LGSA) had been scrubbed. They were instructed then to wait for more info.

1/ Image
The change in plans coincides within minutes of remarks made by President Trump that the killings and executions inside Iran had been reported to have stopped, based on sources within Iran itself.

2/
This all occurred shortly after six USAF KC-135 tankers from Al-Udeid were seen departing in quick succession. These were believed to be evacuation flights, destination unknown.

The last KC-135 departed at ~1927 UTC or 35 minutes before the C-17As were told to stand down.

3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jan 3
Considering how quiet things have gotten this last little bit, I want to take the time to make a few points.

- 1st round seems to be over, at least for the Caracas area.
- Given how many airbases and military targets there are, this is frankly somewhat of a light 1st round.

1/
(cont.)

- Whatever was going on with the helicopters...
(A) Given social media these days, if something went terribly wrong, we likely would see it pretty quick
(B) Where did they come from??
(cont)
- In terms of assets we've seen build up.
(A) Rather light in terms of airstrikes, either from bases in the region, bombers from elsewhere or from the flattops.
(B) We are NOT maintaining air presence over Venezuelan skies. No sounds of fighters overhead.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jan 1
Iran updates.
Thread.

1/
2/
3/
Read 62 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Nov 21, 2025
Thread. Venezuela.

1/
2/
3/
Read 19 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Oct 26, 2025
Watched House of Dynamite.

My opinion in my replies. Image
Fantastic film. Perhaps the best of the modern era in terms of nuclear war fiction. Invoking the plot lines of a number of many prior films without actually drawing them to their full conclusions.

That said, I felt there were several major problems.
First, the whodunnit.

The scenario is made possible by a certain amount of ambiguity as to whether the DPRK, PLA or Russia launched the initial missile, made possible by a failure of detection by an early warning satellite in a region in which all 3 nations share interests.
Read 8 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jun 13, 2025
Day 2 thread of Israel vs Iran.

1/
NYT initially reported, then retracted, that the Quds Force Commander, Ismail Qaani, was killed.

Qaani is the successor to Qasem Soleimani.

2/
IAF appears to be entering Iranian airspace with impunity, even attacking during daylight.

3/

Read 21 tweets

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