I did some more calculations regarding #power supply in #France. Unfortually, my initial estimation turned out too optimistic. If #EDF does not get at least 15GW of #nuclear back to the grid, we are very likely to see forceful disconnections or rolling #blackout|s this winter
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As usual, during Winter the situation in France is always narrow. On the 6th of January at 8am, even 9.2GW of #gas was insufficient, requiring 9,4GW of imports to manage 84.4GW of load. This was when France had about 51GW of nuclear available.
CW 2/2022 was similar
CW 2/2022 was similar
Right now we are sitting on just ~28GW. That's 23GW missing!
The highest import I found was 13,5GW (highest export: 17,7GW).
Given that the avg. import on these days was ~5GW, less than 39GW avail. nuclear capacity would very likely make a 84GW scenario impossible to handle!
The highest import I found was 13,5GW (highest export: 17,7GW).
Given that the avg. import on these days was ~5GW, less than 39GW avail. nuclear capacity would very likely make a 84GW scenario impossible to handle!
And even then, France would have to pray that its neighbors have enough power available and the necessary grid capacity to deliver. The situation might be especially tight during periods of low renewable generation.
Data source @energy_charts
CC @herbertsaurugg @HolzheuStefan
Data source @energy_charts
CC @herbertsaurugg @HolzheuStefan
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