Dan Woynillowicz Profile picture
Jun 29 5 tweets 2 min read
"CAPP must do a much better job of talking to the investment community about its own net-zero goals, & the industry’s swath of investments in clean & emissions-reducing technologies.”
The problem isn’t the storytelling, it’s the story.
Let’s start with net zero goals.
1/ #cdnpoli
None of CAPP’s members have goals aligned with the Net Zero Standard for Oil & Gas, which is backed by >20 global investors with ~$10 trillion of assets under management. greenbiz.com/article/whats-…
Why not? They refuse to include the pollution from burning their product.
2/
How about investments in clean & emissions-reducing tech?
Don’t just give us dollar numbers, put it in context.
IEA estimates this will only account for ~5% of upstream spending in 2022 (mostly thanks to European co’s)—95% to sustaining & increasing fossil fuel production. 3/
It will be quite telling to see what CAPP’s members do with windfall profits:
1) % to capital investment to ↑ oil production
2) % to capital investment to ↓ GHG emissions from current production
3) % to pay ↓ debt
4) % to ↑ dividends
5) % to ↑ share buybacks 4/
For at least the past 15 years oilpatch leaders, lobbyists and Alberta Premiers have been yammering on about the need to tell the story about oil and gas better, more often, to more people.
The problem isn’t the storytelling, it’s the story.
5/5

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More from @DanWoy

Sep 26, 2020
Yes! —> "Canada needs a new breed of corporate champion, & clean energy is the place to look” But I’d expand the definition of “clean energy” beyond renewables to include efficiency & zero emission end use technologies. We already have champions, but... 1/ theglobeandmail.com/business/artic…
most aren’t big & they’ve been focused more on growing than headlines & PR. Companies like @innergex_ine @BErenewables @PowerGreengate @Clirrenewables @NRStorTweets & @MorganSolar, @ecobee & @getmysa, @LionElectricCo @hydrogenics @BallardPwr @Proton_Canada @e3metalscorp & the 2/
@innergex_ine @BErenewables @PowerGreengate @Clirrenewables @NRStorTweets @MorganSolar @ecobee @getmysa @LionElectricCo @hydrogenics @BallardPwr @Proton_Canada @e3metalscorp list goes on. They deserve the same kind of support & attention that the resource & auto sectors have received for decades. They deserve to be household names, & I’m confident many of them will. The #cdnmedia shld be covering them & the clean energy sector in greater depth. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 17, 2020
The only way hydrogen might serve as anything other than a short-lived “lifeline” for O&G in Canada is if there is laser-like focus on producing the cleanest H in the world. bloomberg.com/news/articles/… Slapping carbon capture & storage on SMR (“blue”) hydrogen isn’t... 1/ #cdnpoli
…going to cut it given the significant upstream methane emissions from O&G production theglobeandmail.com/business/artic… Need step-wise changes in tech, e.g. @Proton_Canada nationalobserver.com/2020/07/14/new… Canada needs clean hydrogen to help decarbonize the “toughest third” industrial… 2/
…& transportation emissions (steel, heavy-duty trucks, shipping and cement) forbes.com/sites/mikescot… & we are well-positioned to be a significant exporter. belfercenter.org/sites/default/… How big is the opportunity? IHS Markit: "The greater the degree of a decarbonization...” 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 20, 2020
A timely #ResilientRecovery piece. It’s notable how Europeans (Germans especially) are considering their stimulus/recovery plans: “The decision on what policies to support shouldn’t be purely based on deep economic analysis, but it should also take into account …" 1/
“...future trajectories and needs.” bloomberg.com/news/articles/… Relative to 2008-09, “This time there’s one big opportunity and one big enabler: The opportunity is to build competitive advantage in new industries; the enabler is cheap debt.” 2/
It’s critical to note that just throwing $ at hydrogen would fail. The fundamental challenge rests with the fact that to enable hydrogen requires systems-planning (producing, moving and using it) & new regulatory frameworks to accommodate a new energy commodity. We have… 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jun 1, 2020
Well this is a demonstrably bad take. There are a multitude of ways—other than raising the price on carbon pollution—in which the gov’t can deliver a green recovery without micromanaging “winning” technologies. Contrarianism for the sake of contrarianism is just lazy. 1/ #cdnpoli
Building codes set energy performance benchmarks. Ditto vehicle emission standards. But gov’t, through stimulus, can enable more retrofits and more clean vehicle sales. The same goes for various industrial sectors—cement, steel, etc. Nobody is suggesting picking specific tech. 2/
Looking at recovery strictly through a lens of job creation, a green recovery delivers more effectively. With the co-benefit of reduced pollution—helping fight climate & reducing healthcare costs. See: smithschool.ox.ac.uk/publications/w… & mckinsey.com/business-funct… 3/
Read 5 tweets
May 28, 2020
EU green recovery package sets a marker for the world amp.theguardian.com/environment/20…
What would this look like if Canada adopted the same scale of ambition & investment?
A thread (converting Euro to & scaling to GDP)… 1/
#ResilientRecovery #cdnpoli #shovelworthy
$10-13 billion to boost electric vehicle sales and a doubling of investment in charging networks

$15 billion/year in grants and guarantees for renovations such as rooftop solar panels, insulation and renewable heating systems - including plans to offer green mortgages
2/
$1.6 billion in loans to leverage finance for 15 gigawatts of new renewable energy projects over the next 2 years

$200 million to finance hydrogen infrastructure

$5 billion for the development of green hydrogen

3/
Read 4 tweets
May 19, 2020
Canada moves up a rank to 15th, but clearly not in the leading pack in creating conditions for renewable energy investment: ey.com/en_gl/recai The US has supplanted China as the most attractive destination, with strong post-pandemic potential. reuters.com/article/us-glo… 1/
If anything, the fact Canada moved up a rank is surprising given political changes in ON & AB that have brought outright hostility toward & general disinterest in renewables, respectively. Canada has a relatively clean grid, >80% non-emitting, but we have been lagging in... 2/
...efforts to capitalize on our abundant renewable energy resources to get to 100% and leverage our electricity system to decarbonize other sectors (directly or through production of green hydrogen). Some will argue feds ought to do more (e.g. match US tax credits), but… 3/
Read 4 tweets

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