Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jun 30, 2022 13 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Is #monkeypox an emergency yet?—“Monkeypox is mutating up to 12X faster than expected, amid warnings 🇬🇧 could see as many as 60,000 new cases a day” by 2022 end.

I think our projection (HT @JPWeiland) of 100k cases by August & 1 mil by Sept is realistic.
independent.co.uk/news/health/mo… ImageImage
2) “While a surge to tens of thousands of daily cases in six months might seem exteme, scientists have found the virus appears to be mutating at an unusual rate…”
3) “In a study published in journal Nature Medicine, Portuguese researchers found samples of the virus had 50 mutations in its DNA compared to 2018. That’s between six and 12 times the number scientists would normally expect over the same time period.”
4) this is why I’ve been actively urging the @WHO to declare a PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY OF INTERNATIONAL CONCERN (PHEIC). It’s damn time.
5) the @CDCgov is finally waking up and begun standing up a #monkeypox emergency operations center.
6) But what about the monkeypox vaccines? Well the US is only rolling out <300k doses for 150k people in the coming weeks. That won’t dent the epidemic that much for a country of 330 million people. The 1.6 million doses for 800k people will take many more months to arrive.
7) last week, @TheWHN aggressively declared #monkeypox a pandemic emergency— on June 22, 2022, a day before the WHO emergency meeting on the 23rd. Our goal was to urge WHO and others to act and prepare. WHO declined last weekend. I sure hope they don’t decline a PHEIC again!
8) the @WHO warns that 'sustained transmission' of monkeypox could see the virus move into high-risk groups, such as immunocompromised people, pregnant women and children. And it’s more severe in kids than adults. cbc.ca/news/health/wh…
9) “In an observational study of 216 [#monkeypox] patients in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the largest of its kind, **4 of 5*** pregnant women had miscarriages.”

HT @LaSeletzky
nytimes.com/2022/06/07/hea…
10) Worse, there could be chance of a triple whammy threat of not just COVID and monkeypox, but also an early influenza season that kicks in early in Sept instead of usual November. Watching. independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-n…
11) BREAKING — U.S. orders 2.5 million more doses of Bavarian Nordic's vaccine for #monkeypox— I believe for a total of 4.1 million doses on order if we combine with the previous 1.6 million doses ordered. reuters.com/business/healt…
12) This epidemiologist thinks TRIPLING IN TWO WEEKS is a very very bad sign.
13) Clarification on the #monkeypox projection model — @JPWeiland actually corrects for the early detection of cases that was not natural growth. So the current projections of 100k by August and 500k by Sept accounts for the initial bump. It could really that bad by end of summer

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More from @DrEricDing

Sep 6
⚠️ZERO ANIMAL CONTACT HOSPITALIZATION for H5 Bird Flu—the CDC has now confirmed the first ever U.S. human case “without a known occupational exposure to sick or infected animals”—which make this Missouri case very worrisome. Maybe community transmission.
cdc.gov/media/releases…
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2) H5 outbreaks in cattle have not been reported in Missouri, but outbreaks of H5 have been reported in commercial and backyard poultry flocks in 2024.

—>>so it doesn’t seem to have come from cows in the state. So maybe from birds?
3) So if rarely test, how did we even find it?

“While other novel flu cases have been detected through the country's national flu surveillance system, this is the first time that system has detected a case of H5. Targeted H5-outbreak specific surveillance has been conducted as part of ongoing animal outbreaks and has identified all the other cases. In this case, the specimen from the patient originally tested positive for flu A, but negative for seasonal flu A virus subtypes. That finding triggers additional testing.”
Read 4 tweets
Aug 30
BREAKING—the FDA has just authorized the new Novavax vaccine, tailored to JN1 related variants. Anyone age 12 and over are eligible. You may receive it 2 months after a prior version of COVID-19 shot (and prior infection, though FDA memo didn’t specify).
fda.gov/news-events/pr…
Image
2) Also, the FDA has further authorized a 2nd shot of the new 2024-2025 formulated Novavax shot for people who are immunocompromised, at the doctor’s discretion. (Bullet point #4 below) Image
3) NAMING—Do not just refer to the shot as “2024” Keep the nomenclature of the new COVID shot straight - the newest one adapted for JN1-related variants is called the “2024-2025 formula”, while the old one was called the “2023-2024 formula”. The old one is no longer authorized. Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 29
Scientists have discovered more than 1,700 ancient viruses deep inside a Tibetan glacier. Most of them are completely new to science. These ancient viruses are now being thawed out from glaciers and Siberian tundras.
e360.yale.edu/digest/ancient…
2) This is no joke.

Arctic zombie viruses in Siberia could spark terrifying new pandemic, scientists warn

Threat of outbreak from microbes trapped in permafrost for millennia raised by increased Siberian activity

theguardian.com/society/2024/j…
3) The reason permafrost is a good storage medium isn’t just because it’s cold; it’s an oxygen-free environment that light doesn’t penetrate. But current Arctic temperatures are warming up to 4x faster than rest of 🌏, weakening the top layer of permafrost
cnn.com/2023/03/08/wor…
Read 5 tweets
Aug 14
JUST IN— W.H.O. Declares Global Emergency Over New Mpox Outbreak. The threat this time is deadlier. Since the beginning of this year, the Democratic Republic of Congo alone has reported more than 14,000 mpox cases and 524 deaths. Those most at risk include women and children under 15. The outbreak has spread through 13 countries in Africa, including a few that had never reported mpox cases before.

(Gift 🎁 link)
nytimes.com/2024/08/14/hea…Image
2) public health emergency of international concern— Also known as PHEIC, this is a status given by WHO to “extraordinary events” that pose a public health risk to other countries through the international spread of disease.

cnn.com/2024/08/14/hea…
3) The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention declared the outbreak a public health emergency of continental security the day before — the first such declaration by the agency since its inception in 2017.
Read 15 tweets
Jul 19
Concerning—CDC now says that 42 states are seeing rising rates of #COVID19 again—with levels high or very high in 35 states (and rising). COVID wastewater levels have already surpassed last summer’s peak and climbing fast. #CovidIsNotOver
cdc.gov/forecast-outbr…


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2) Substantial 28% increase in one week. Question is how high it will go. It’s a new variant (mostly KP2 and KP3 and JN1), which are evasive against past infection and past vaccines.
3) COVID is surging in many countries worldwide. Eg in Italy where deaths are also climbing once again. New variants, new surges.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 3
A girl using cover name JANE DOE testified under oath at Ghislaine Maxwell’s criminal trial that she was introduced to Trump by Jeffrey Epstein when she was 14 years old. Pass it on.
Trump’s name appears 7 times in Epstein’s latest files. They regularly called each other according to phone logs. Trump says Epstein is a “terrific guy”. And he traveled on flights, according to logs, to Epstein’s island multiple times.
3) THIS STUFF IS NEW—not old Epstein-Trump info. New information regarding Epstein's child trafficking activities was released 7/2/24. Documents from 2016 are now out of date and do not show the depth of Trump's dealings with Epstein... READ MORE:

nymag.com/intelligencer/…
Read 4 tweets

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