Please read this explanation of what @DGBassani ‘s 🧵from yesterday means. 🧵👇
And please share it/explain to all or any person in position of power you have an access to
We all can call/*email* politicians.
Federal, provincial, municipal, school boards, institutions, businesses
Call them. Send them emails. Demand meetings.
Show them data. Explain.
They are biological beings like everyone. And *Everyone* should be concerned.
Explain them what they can do to protect themselves and all of us.
Please please do it.
2/
Many of us are doing it since 2+ years. We are worn out.
Alone we couldn’t outcompete professional lobbyists wit PR machines, who push for not suppressing the disease. The narratives that enable spread intensified w/ the dawn of Omicron.
Please, please, talk to your politicians
And if you are a politician:
Please, for the love of your children and grandchildren, don’t ignore this message. Don’t choose to get lulled by comforting stories, which are not rooted in evidence and are proven to be wrong again & again (“Covid is mild, vaccines alone are enough,
,defanging &decoupling, mild endemic, Covid is dangerous only to some “others”, longCOVID is not a big problem, (re)infection is good for you,(re)infection is not a biggie, it’s like any respiratory virus, there is a ‘balance’, etc.“)
Pls choose to protect yourself and everyone
There are solutions. There is a way out.
Many tools that we have are not prohibitively expensive or invasive.
But we need to focus on #TargetingTransmission and use what we have.
• • •
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Those are very important graphs.
New immune-evasive variants are appearing faster and faster.
Each reinfection increases one's risk of #LongCOVID, and other severe outcomes (including harm to immune system and cognitive impairment)
The only way out is to #TargetTransmission
There is a way out of this crisis.
We can strongly reduce the spread (hence disabilities, deaths, absenteeism & disruptions) and even achieve a state of SARS2 elimination or near elimination in 🇨🇦
“It is my hope medical professionals will be more receptive to cutting-edge research, including when conducted by patients who have lived experience of a disease. Too many have suffered because of suboptimal work of some "experts". This is one reason why we have this pandemic” 1/
For journalists: please distinguish the difference between: 1) Science, and 2) Private *beliefs* of credentialed experts, which may not be grounded in evidence
1) and 2) have different weights and should never be presented as equal “perspectives”
2/
Please don’t promote 2) as it may lead to misinformation. General public may think that 2)=1). It doesn’t.
Don’t equate private beliefs with facts.
E.g. “I think Long-COVID is mostly psychosomatic” is a private belief.
Ask for references.
If the expert can’t provide them…
3/
💫long-term (till 2026!) modelling of COVID-19 hospitalizations
✅w/o regular boosters hosp.'ll be much higher than in 21'
✅Even w/ boosting 2x/year, hosp.'ll be almost as high as in 21' & we'll have 2🌊🌊/year
✅Adding PH protections to vaxx needed to 📉hospitalizations
BA.2 grows exponentially in Alberta.
If we care about lives, health and livelihoods we need to have at least some public health anti-Covid protections (e.g. N95 mask mandates, air purifiers, TTI)
Context: Omicron BA.1 🌊killed 745 Albertans in just 3 months.
1/
There was an unanswered Q: how many deaths decision makers will accept in "new normal"?
BA.1 killed in just 3 months >700 ppl in AB.
And it seems to be perceived as "OK". Nobody apologized for letting it happen.
That means that in "endemic" "new normal" "living with Covid...
2/
..That means that in "endemic" "new normal" "living-with-Covid-like-with-other-respiratory-viruses & accepting-some-deaths" 700+ deaths in 3 months is an acceptable number going forward.
Or, for🇨🇦: 7,000+ deaths in 3 months
Reference: Flu killed 224 ppl in🇨🇦in 2018-19 season 3/
Omicron grows as steep as predicted.
And even earlier than in the model from Dec15
Please avoid large gatherings and all unnecessary contacts.
Pls wear N95/99
Pls get the vaccine/3rd shot
Pls don't do anything risky, as there may be no available ambulances.
1/
The virus is in the exhaled air and it can stay there even if infectious person left the room.
Don't inhale other people's exhalations: 1) avoid being around ppl from outside your household 2) make sure that rooms are ventilated and air is filtered 3) wear N95/99 respirator
2/
Please get vaccinated/get the 3rd shot.
Tell the government and public health that you don't want to 'live with the virus'.
Demand that they #EndThePamdemic in 2022, so that the next Xmas can be normal.
(WHO said that the world has all the tools to end the pandemic in 2022)
3/
Possible scenarios for Omicron in AB if nothing is done.
We are at the nascent phase of new VOC spread (only 23 reported cases), when *a lot* can be done to effectively halt it or at least significantly slow it down.
Prevent more sparks from coming. Make the tinder less dry. 1/
Let's not do with Omicron what we did with Alpha and Delta. We don't need more deaths and suffering.
At this stage *preventing more importations* is essential.
Less fire starters --> smaller chance of a big fire
Travel Quarantine. Test. Vaccinate. 2/
Make the tinder less dry:
3rd doses, vaccinate kids, #FreeTheRATs, deploy airborne precautions (N95 for all, ventilation, CO2 monitors, HEPA air purifiers, education about airborne transmission)
Prevent super-spreading:
Caps on public & business gathering's sizes
3/