Playing around with harmonic means in the #KLeague
Here, the darker green shows players who are both involved in attack & defense and also have a good balance between the two phases, not being exclusively involved in just one
Incheon's Kim Bo-sub has the largest harmonic mean
Harmonic means focus on both the magnitude of two numbers and also the balance between their levels.
Players involved almost exclusively in attack or defense will have lower numbers regardless of the level of their main contribution, because they don't have balance
Also something I notice:
mathematically speaking, having attacking contributions being lower on avg than defensive contributions probably bias attack-minded players who are decent in defense over defense-minded players who are decent in attack.
Ignore winning game states since there were only 2... but they exclusively played very long balls up the pitch when drawing, but were more conservative while losing (with some long balls as well, but not just long passes)
Small sample again for winning game states. But they also changed their tactics over these 3 seasons, opting for more long passes across them. But not much of a pattern when breaking down by game state. Usually a lil less accurate when drawing tho
Here's a quick analysis of Barcelona's first pass after their kickoffs, from 16/17 (when the rule changed & kickoff didn't have to go forward) to 20/21. Only games Messi played in
What's interesting here is that over these 5 seasons, the avg length of the pass after kickoff was typically quite a bit longer when they were winning than when they were losing...
And what's more, those passes were also much less accurate on avg as well
Let's look at each season individually.
16/17:
Overall, passes when losing or drawing are fairly similar. Typically a lateral pass, medium length from kickoff receiver to the flank. 100% accurate
But passes when winning are less accurate & their length/direction more variable
We possession-adjust defensive metrics often, but never offensive ones...
What does it look like if we try to adjust goals & assists by the number of touches a players' team has on average per match? 🤔
All info on graphs 📊, more detail in thread 🧵
The logic behind this:
The more possession a team has, the more opportunity their players have to both score or create goals.
Less possession typically means less opportunity.
Less opportunity will translate to fewer goals and assists, and vice versa.
A team like Valencia, with the fewest avg touches/90 this season across all 5 leagues (477.6), will certainly create less opportunity for goals than a team like Bayern, who had the most avg touches/90 this season (819.5)
@realvalladolid sit 2 points off 2nd, 4 off 1st. A win here & they jump Eibar even if just for 2 hours before their kick off. Putting on the pressure would be important.
However, Ponferradina need a win, sitting 1 pt away from promotion playoffs now