Kevin Cate Profile picture
Jul 7 4 tweets 1 min read
By the end of June 2018, @FlaDems #flgov candidates had spent $13,829,726 on TV, or $3.5 million more than Nikki and Charlie have on hand now — combined.

This primary is super underfunded.
All social/earned/word of mouth.
Crist only has ~$2.7 million more than Nikki, or less than Chris King had spent on TV by early/mid July.

It's actually shocking it's that close. Charlie is the greatest fundraiser I've ever been around. Our (Nikki) original primary prediction had him +$10-13 million advantage.
The difference in cash is negligible — almost nothing in a statewide. Really not ideal for either candidate leading into a general. However, Nikki will benefit from the "comeback" narrative because media/establishment will be surprised. That will help her intro to general.
I realize this is TMI, but that's why you follow me, I guess. Also, for fun, two candidates, Greene and Levine ended up spending a combined $53 million on TV. $71.7 million was spent by all. Just on Democratic side.

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More from @KevinCate

Jul 9
Saw this man sitting by himself at a Waffle House in Midway, Florida.

So I said hello and asked him what he was doing with that money. Image
He told me that since 2014, he’s been handing out $1s and $5s to strangers, here and elsewhere.

So of course, I ask him about it.
He said he’s given away more than $13,000 to strangers, kids, and people he meets at Waffle House (his favorite) and elsewhere.

And they all come with that note you see in the picture. He copies and cut these out every few days.

Obviously, I ask about the note.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 26
A little perspective on the Florida Democratic primary for Governor and the general election environment.

Yes, a thread.
I cannot stress enough how tough of an environment the general will be. I've worked pretty hard on two pretty high-profile generals here (Gillum '18/Crist '14).

Biden is -11 in Florida.
(Morning Consult)

This time in:
2014: Obama was +/-0
2018: Trump was -11
(Gallup)
Obviously my friend (and longtime client) Charlie Crist is running for governor again. So in 2014, he started + double digits against Rick Scott. That's crazy high for Florida.

At this point in 2014, Crist was +6 RCP average. And Rick Scott had spent $6.5 million on TV.
Read 17 tweets
Mar 14
Been waiting more than three years for this to drop. Looks like we may finally find out where Ron DeSantis got the foreign money he used against @AndrewGillum in 2018.

Russian oligarch Andrey Muraviev.
The day after the election, the Russian Oligarch, allegedly, was most thrilled about the "victory in Florida." And was ready for his kickback.

justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/r…
Here is the donation still listed on DeSantis' political committee page. DeSantis was apparently an early and easy target, as this indictment says the foreign national donor scheme started "in or about June 2018."

friendsofrondesantis.com/wp-content/upl…
Read 10 tweets
Jan 27
The “white discomfort ❄️” bill passed another Florida GOP controlled committee yesterday, but not without this powerful testimony from Rep. @RamonAlexander.

Putting the full thing here so future generations, if allowed, can see who fought against whitewashing history.
Thank you to everyone sharing this and following @RamonAlexander. Because Republicans control the entire legislative process in Florida, all we have are our voices.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 13, 2021
Moments ago, @GovRonDeSantis let someone stand behind the Seal of Florida and say: "The vaccine changes your RNA."

It does not. No corrections. No shame.

Facts here: cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…)
This misinformation press conference is also posted on @Facebook. Assuming it will get flagged soon.

facebook.com/GovRonDeSantis…
Statewide elected officials @JimmyPatronis and @AshleyMoodyFL were also there. I know they see my tweets.

Will either one of you put out a statement or tweet correcting this misinformation at your press conference?
Read 7 tweets
Oct 23, 2020
Time for a little breakdown on Florida mail and early voting numbers, if you're into that.
First, here is a .gif of the first 4,771,956 votes cast here including when and where voters have been voting.

Breaks down like this:

DEM: 2,110,366
GOP: 1,682,849
N/3/I: 978,741
Now the obvious.

@FlaDems's being up by 427,517 votes right now is still so shocking and unprecedented. It's just never worked like this here. In 2016, this far from Election Day, Republicans were up by 15,280 after 2,870,211 votes.

I'll let you do the math on that...
Read 13 tweets

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