After spending a whole day on this we managed to establish the most likely path of these Japanese mortar bombs to Ukraine: as we said initially, they were in fact provided by a third country - in this case it was the United States of America.
Japan is known for its strict lethal weapons export policy - but it was not always so.
In 1952 Japan was again allowed to manufacture weapons after WW2 and in the same year the US ordered a huge batch of 265,000 60mm mortar bombs from the Takakura Plant (Daido Steel).
These mortars bombs were ordered for the US and allied forces deployed in Korea and it seems after the end of the conflict at least a part of them were brought back to America.
This theory perfectly explains the use of Kanji characters, which are quite rare today - in the early 50s they were still used, which is confirmed by their presence on other types of weapons.
Here is a crate of Japanese M28A2 Bazooka rockets with the same characters.
Another piece of evidence for the Japanese origin of these bombs is the structure of the lot number.
LOT "J-NT-2-9*" matches the JSDF naming convention, where J used with license-built weapons, NT for a factory code, 2 for a "central number" and 9* for a serial number.
So the Taiwanese officials are correct to deny that the mortar bombs are from their stocks and they pre-date the current Japanese export policy.
Indeed a curious story stretching back many years; and another case of the US providing weapons from the most obscure sources!
Thanks everyone who helped to dig into this case (@SHIMASHObio and others)!

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More from @UAWeapons

Jul 10
#Ukraine: We continue to discover more and more strange weapons being supplied to Ukraine: the Territorial Defense Forces of Zaporizhzhia shared photos of previously unseen shells, which we IDed as J-M49A2 60mm mortar bombs with J-M52A2 fuzes - both manufactured by Japan 🇯🇵!
We were not the first who noticed them but for some reason these were reported to be Taiwanese mortar bombs. This was already denied by the Ministry of National Defense of the Republic of China - and we completely agree with this.
As we believe, these mortar bombs were manufactured by the Japanese company Daikin Industries (previously known as Osaka Kinzoku Kogyosho) - they are known to manufacture various projectiles for the Japan Self-Defense Forces.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 9
#Ukraine: Russian media showed videos of equipment "captured from the Ukrainian army in Lysychansk pocket".
However not everything is that simple: some vehicles have nothing to with Lysychansk and all shown were captured in #Luhansk Oblast over past months.
The first tank, a Ukrainian T-72AV was captured in the vicinity of Sievierodonetsk, Luhansk Oblast recently.

The second tank, a Ukrainian T-64BV, has no matches with tanks captured before, so we believe it is new.
The third, a Ukrainian T-64BV was captured back in April in Popasna, but was changed in it appearance to make ID harder.
Read 15 tweets
Jul 7
#Ukraine: Ukrainian troops currently deployed on the front line received a new batch of rare French HDP-2A2 anti-tank landmines.
These mines are triggered via magnetic influence sensors and then destroy a vehicle with a explosively formed projectile.

(h/t @kms_d4k)
Here they (white items) can be seen along with previously recorded German DM22 off-route mines and DM31 AT landmines.
Here is the result of the HDP2A2 being deployed- according to the source, this is what left of a Russian tank after it was blown up on a mine and then finished off with an AT launcher.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 3
#Russia: This morning two Russian cities were woken by explosions - the Ukrainian army fired on targets in #Belgorod and #Kursk, however neither were successfully hit according to preliminary information.
In the case of Belgorod the UAF used at least one Tochka-U tactical missile with either HE or cluster warhead (the Russian Ministry of Defense says three of them with cluster warheads were launched, but all were shot down).
As the governor of Belgorod Oblast says one of the Tochka-U was intercepted by Russian air defense systems but the wreckage of the missile fell on a civilian building killing 4 and injuring 4 more.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 3
#Ukraine: In this thread we will cover the losses of the Ukrainian army in Sievierodonetsk, #Luhansk Oblast: at least two US-supplied HMMWV M1115A1 armored IMVs were captured there by Russian forces, though one is seriously damaged and will be likely used for spare parts.
Three MT-12 100mm anti-tank guns were lost too - some shrapnel damage can be observed on one of them and another is completely destroyed together with the cargo truck that towed it.
A Ukrainian AT-105 Saxon armored personnel carrier, which was purchased from Britain in 2015, was destroyed by the Russian forces in the city.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 1
We passed by all the scandals before, but this is just getting ridiculous - the famous @CanadianUkrain1 account, who claims to be fighting on the side of Ukraine, is a liar.
Recently after months of using other people's photos he posted his "battle rifle" - what he wants people believe is a Soviet AKS-74U with a suppressor.
No matter how funny it sounds this is in fact an airsoft replica by CYMA (CM.045C). You can notice the exact same rail, and coating differing from the real thing, and other details which can be easily noticed by anyone who has ever seen an AK in real life.
Read 8 tweets

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