'Doing it' seems to refer primarily to achieving withdrawal from EU
TCA is mentioned, albeit gliding over all the things it stops in cooperation
The rest is about 'the opportunities'
2/
Those are:
- FTAs (which have almost all just been replacing ones that existed while EU members);
- freeports (which could have been done inside EU);
- agri/fish reforms (fair enough);
- immigration changes
3/
This last gets most space
ofc a 'points-based' system already existed for non-EU states before leaving EU, so all the examples listed could have been handled the same way
yes, controls now exist on EU nationals, but I leave it to others to discuss how that's going
4/
As for Rwanda, being inside EU would probably have further hindered viability of scheme, but equally being outside UK also has lost options in working w France on people smuggling
5/
And we can also note the absence of any mention of NIP problems, on-going issues over citizens' rights and the collapse of trust by the EU in British policy/intentions
6/
Overall, even given the freedom to write what he likes, Johnson comes up with a pretty thin package here, all resting on that operationalisation of the #EUref vote
/end
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Of course, part of British complaint over Protocol was overly-zealous implementation by EU. These procedures are exactly about UK being under-zealous, so London might reflect on whether this is all going to plan
Also, clear that EU is less likely to accept flexibilities if UK continues on this path, so closes down that path, pushing us into 'change the mandate' territory, which makes a damaging collapse in relations more likely
A reminder that tomorrow is also first day of #NIPBill committee stage in Commons: will CON candidates use this as an opportunity to stake a claim as 'true Brexiters'? Is a vote enough, or do they need to speak on floor?
Best guess on how CON leadership contest affects Brexit
tl;dr probably aggravates EU relations in short run, certainly doesn't improve them longer-term
1/
Starting point is really bad relations right now: EU lacks trust in UK as good faith partner, NIP Bill continues through Parliament, long period of antagonistic rhetoric from govt
2/
None of candidates put Brexit centrally in their pitches, so it's more of a hygiene factor: show you're tough on this to please electorate (ie MPs), then move on
(also, some recognition that no-one wants to revisit all this)
3/
Was thinking about this again today: if democracy is to have any meaning then we all have to actively be democrats and fight for its values and principles
If you can cast mind all the way back to yesterday morning, when Zahawi was doing the broadcast round and talking about 'delivery, delivery, delivery' as the focus from now on, it exactly failed to address the process failings of this govt
Outputs are all well and good, if you can get them, but if the means of reaching them looks (and is) suspect then you lose some of your broader legitimacy and make it harder to achieve anything in the future