Matthew DeVerna Profile picture
Jul 21 11 tweets 5 min read
Can we find and predict which accounts spread the most #misinformation on Twitter? What is Twitter doing about misinformation #superspreaders?

We take a stab at this problem in our new working paper. doi.org/10.48550/arXiv…

A 🧵 for results… 👇
We use various metrics to predict whether an account will be a superspreader in future months and then see which ones perform the best. Then we do a qualitative review of the worst superspreaders we find and report what we learned.

The four major results are…
1) How we find them:
We extend the classic h-index metric to the misinformation domain and propose the False Information Broadcaster index (FIB index).

This metric finds the worst misinfo. spreaders who consistently share low-credibility content.
2) Who they are:
Many (not all) of the superspreaders we find are verified!

We find pundits with large followings, low-credibility media outlets, personal accounts affiliated with those media outlets, and a range of less popular influencers.

Most (not all) are conservative.
3a) What they do:
Our analysis found that 10 superspreaders (0.003% of accounts) were responsible for originating over 34% of the misinformation shared during the eight months that followed their identification, and 1,000 accounts (0.25%) were responsible for more than 70%!
3b) What they do:
We also learn that superspreaders utilize more toxic language than the average misinformation sharer on Twitter.
4a) What is Twitter doing about it?
Unsurprisingly, many of the accounts we found were suspended by Twitter. Good, right? Maybe not…
4b) Our analysis also suggests that Twitter may be more lenient with prominent superspreaders.

Of the superspreaders who were suspended, less than 3% were verified and less than 10% had more than 150k followers.
We hope this work (1) spurs more research into superspreaders and (2) sheds light on one of our key concerns:

The more prominent misinformation superspreaders become, the greater their negative impact will be, and the more difficult they become to reign in.
Check out the (working!) paper (doi.org/10.48550/arXiv…) for all of the juicy details.

Please do reach out to us with your comments and constructive criticism.
BIG thanks to @RachithAiyappa @diogofpacheco @jb_tweets and @OSoMe_IU for all their help on this project!!

Keep your eyes 👀 peeled for more work on superspreaders in the future!!!

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