1. Have a clear trading plan before you start your day
-- Support and Resistance
-- Trap Zones
-- Indicators on Multi TF analysis
-- Clear Bear/Bull Zone
-- Path of Least Resistance
Then decide where/which options to sell.
...1/n
2. Traditional technical analysis may fail. Consolidation > Breakout > Consolidation may not work always. New trend is V-up, /\-down trends, fake breakouts and fake selloffs. Be prepared for all these when creating a position. Any Option Position can be challenged...2/n
3. As an Option Trader you can not predict where the market will go. You can only predict where market might not go.
4. Positions from carry forward point of view of smart money are highly masked. Any trending move is preceded by a lot of fake breakouts....3/n
5. Unlimited adjustment cannot work &one should have fixed target and SL on position.
6. We traded in high vix environment for quite some time. Now that the Vix is low, sold options will not witness fast theta decay. But position going against you will gain theta very fast. 4/n
7. Forget the loss as soon as you can. Learn from what worked and what did not and plan your next trade, week or month.
That's a wrap!
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Thread on understanding OI Sparkline and how it can be used for Intraday Trading.
Market is all about trend. Trend is identifiable or visible on Open Interest also if one can track it. This trend is present in Change of OI with respect to OI on previous day.
1/n
Consider this Option Chain on Intraday time frame for example.
Strike 16000 CE, 13 Apr 2022
Total OI is - 62029
Change in OI is - 22439
What this tells us is: 22,439 contracts were added today. This is Intraday Buildup. 66,684 added to 16000 PE, Intraday. 2/n
Similarly when Change in OI goes negative for example in the attached option chain of #BANKNIFTY, 13 Jul 2022, 1:15 PM writers at 35500 PE at 35400 PE are covering their position as it is now In the Money.
This is positional unwinding. Traders who carried are now exiting. 3/n
1. Chose the Options your sell wisely. OTM's witness theta decay very fast and will be forgiving in slight adverse move. ITM/ATM are for momentum play and best to trade with proper SL and position sizing.
If you intend to trade options like stock with technical analysis with SL, probabilities and position sizing, its best to trade in ITM/ATM options.
If your intention is to benefit from massive theta decay fast with slight safety from spikes then OTM options with hedge are best.
2. Never Leave Positions Unattended.
As a rule of thumb, always have an eye on your positions in case you need to cut them. Specifically for people with a day job. Many times I have seen people taking position with hedge (OTM) going back to job with a thinking...
The most underrated part of trading is Probabilities, Risk Management and Position Sizing. New traders are looking for Holy Grail Strategy.
When a new trader enters the market, First, he is always underfunded with no understanding of System.
A Detailed V. Important Thread 1/n
...Second, his expectations of returns from the market are unrealistic. I cannot remember how many instances I have had of chatting with traders wanting to double there money in a month or expecting a 100% return in an year or expecting a 20% return over a trade....2/n
During Covid, many were ready to leave the jobs with trading capital of 2-3 lakhs. A senior citizen lady with dire need of finances wanted to trade with Rs. 50,000 in option buying. Most often than not, these new traders blow their accounts off.
This is what needs to be done 3/n
What is RSI indicator?
RSI is used on price to identify oversold and overbought market conditions. In relative terms, when RSI line touches the 30 line, price is said to be oversold. When RSI touches the 70 line, price is said to be overbought.
Problem of using RSI traditionally is that in heavily trending market #RSI can remain oversold and overbought for a considerably long duration. Consider example of #TATACHEM for example. If you keep selling because of RSI Oversold, you can continue to make losses.
So the proper way is to use RSI + Divergence.
What is RSI Divergence? When price is moving in opposite direction of the RSI.
1. Near 70, Price is making Higher Highs & RSI is making Lower Highs; or 2. Near 30, Price is making Lower Lows & RSI is making Higher Lows.
Salaried/Employed folks wish to start their own business. Lure of working for self, sky is the limit for growth, freedom of time etc etc makes it look lucrative. Being in business, this is what I have learnt over few years. Hope you can learn something from my experience. 1/n
1. Early 20's are good for you to explore, make mistakes, find your passion. But too many mistakes can soon take you to early 30's without any growth. Learn from experience of others and figure out what you want as early as you can. 2/n
2. If you are stuck in a job and waiting for right time to quit, then right time will never come. Sometimes you have to take a leap of faith trusting in yourself.
Recently had a discussion wherein trader was facing the problem of Over Trading. A Thread...
Over Trading is when: 1. Trading out of boredom, excitement, or revenge 2. Trading with fear of loss or greed over profit. 3. Trading without a plan
1/n
What is the root cause of Over Trading? In my opinion, the root cause is 1. Trading being the primary source of income. 2. Trading without a proper strategy and homework. 3. Greed for more profits. 4. Problem locking in profits leading to a minor loss and revenge trading. 2/n
5. Failure to accept controlled loss as a part of trading.
Here are few scenarios of how it happens when you want a certain profit. 1. You make a loss and now desperately want to get breakeven. You overtrade and further slide into the red. 3/n