Nick Schifrin Profile picture
Jul 22, 2022 5 tweets 1 min read Read on X
NEW from Senior U.S. Defense Official on the war in #Ukraine:

Russia has committed nearly 85% of its military to the war in Ukraine… It has removed military coverage from other areas on their border and around the world.
Russia is presently launching tens of thousands artillery rounds per day. “They can’t keep it up forever,” the official said. “They have expended a lot of their smarter munitions... Their capabilities are getting dumber.”
Official adds fight for Donetsk will “likely last through the summer,” with Russia achieving slow gains at high cost.

Official says Russia is “using rolling barrages,” but Russia still has not figured out how to use combined arms effectively.
Official says with the help of HIMARS, Ukraine has taken out more than a hundred “high-value” targets, attacking Russian command posts, ammunition depots, air-defense sites, radar and communications nodes, and long-range artillery positions.
Russia is taking hundreds of casualties a day. Among Russia’s military fatalities have been “thousands” of lieutenants and captains, “hundreds” of colonels, and “many” generals. “The chain of command is still struggling," the official said.

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More from @nickschifrin

Nov 22, 2023
NEW details from a senior administration official:
- This is a "full pause in military operations throughout Gaza," and the US hopes it will lead to a pause along the Lebanon border as well.
- The deal is expected to come with a "surge" in humanitarian supplies into Gaza.
- The intention of the first round was to release _all_ women and children, but Hamas indicated it could only deliver 50. Official said the deal is structured to "incentivize" Hamas to release all 90 or so women and children.
- Official confirmed that Hamas is not the only entity with hostages, but the US is holding Hamas responsible for delivering all hostages, no matter who is holding them.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 3, 2023
Senior Administration official gave wide ranging briefing to reporters almost 4 weeks after #October7. Highlights:

Future of Gaza:
- “We want to see unified governance between West Bank and Gaza." Clearest reference yet to desire for Palestinian Authority to take over Gaza
Expectations for the next week:
- The @IDF air campaign will get less intense, IDF will focus more on the ground operation.
On Jabalia refugee camp strikes:
- @IDF targeted and hit a Hamas tunnel where senior Hamas officers were living/hiding. "And when the tunnel collapsed, the city block collapsed."
Read 9 tweets
Sep 29, 2023
NSC Spokesman John Kirby just delivered an unusually specific warning about possible Serbian military action into Kosovo:
Kirby said this week's attack on police in northern Kosovo had "high level of sophistication and training" with “military grade” cache of weapons. “Not the kind of attack carried out randomly, or ad hoc… These kind of arms represent a threat to Kosovo, international personnel."
And Kirby revealed, “We are monitoring a large Serbian deployment along the border of Kosovo," including "unprecedented forward deployment of artillery, tanks, and service members.” “We are calling on Serbia to withdraw those forces.”
Read 4 tweets
May 11, 2023
.@JakeSullivan46 met China's top diplomat in Vienna for 8 hours over 2 days, the highest level bilateral conversations since @SecBlinken canceled Beijing visit over the spy balloon incident. Senior administration official just briefed. Highlights:
The meeting was “really candid, substantive and constructive.”

On the balloon, official said, “We’re seeking to move beyond that.” Asked again, the official repeated the point: “We’re clear on the breach of sovereignty… but we are trying to look forward.”
No updates on Blinken travel or Biden-Xi phone call, but official said multiple times the US was not giving concessions for diplomacy to continue: “We don’t see dialogue as something you get through concessions…. Diplomatic communication should be a regular occurrence.”
Read 5 tweets
May 11, 2023
Significant @ZelenskyyUa: Ukraine doesn't have enough armored vehicles to launch counteroffensive yet.
“In terms of how motivated our military are, we’re ready. In terms of enough personnel in our brigades, we’re ready. In terms of our equipment, not everything has arrived yet…
"We’re still expecting some things. They will reinforce our counteroffensive. And most importantly, they will protect our people. We’re expecting armored vehicles. They arrive in batches...
"We can advance with what we’ve got, and I think we can be successful, but we will lose a lot of people, but I think that is unacceptable. We need to wait, we need a bit more time.”
Read 4 tweets
Dec 17, 2022
NEW: Director @CIA Bill Burns tells @JudyWoodruff @TikTok is a threat to national security. "The parent company of TikTok is a Chinese company, the Chinese government is able to insist upon extracting the private data of a lot of TikTok users in this country...
"and also to shape the content of what goes on to TikTok, as well, to suit the interests of the Chinese leadership. I think those are real challenges and a source of real concern."
.@JudyWoodruff: And what would you recommend people tell their children or their young friends about whether to use TikTok?

Burns: "I'd be really careful."
Read 10 tweets

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