Thread

Has farm income increased ? #Punjab

#Paddy, farmers income/acre increased from Rs 37,660 in 2013-14 to Rs 53,000 in 2020-21,i.e. 40.73%

#Wheat farmers income/ acre increased to Rs 39,500 in 2020-21 Vs Rs 27,000 in 2013-14, an increase of 46.3%

What about input costs
👇
For growing #paddy in #Punjab per acre, in 2013-14, farmers owning land spent Rs 9,000 as input cost, & farmers leasing land spent Rs 24,000. But in 2021, farmers owning land spent Rs 18,000+ i.e. 100% increase, & farmers leasing land spent Rs 43,000, which is a 79.2% increase !
The input cost included around Rs 500 to grow a #paddy nursery for a one acre field in 2013-14, which has now increased to Rs 1,200; in 2013-14, the labor cost for transplanting nursery into the main field was 1800/acre, which has now increased to Rs 3500/acre i.e. 100% increase
In 2013-14, Rs 1,500/acre was the cost for preparing the field for #paddy transplanting which also included 3 operations of ploughing & 1 operation of puddling; but on account of diesel cost hike, now in 2022 the cost to prepare the field is upwards of Rs 2800/acre i.e. 90% hike.
Input cost for DAP & urea in 2013-14 amounted to Rs Rs 1700/acre, which has now increased to Rs 2400/acre in 2022; with an 50& increase in weedicides/sprays required in #paddy, final straw is the harvesting cost with combines, combine rent increased from 1200/acre to Rs 2500/acre
By these calculations, in 2013-14 farmers owning land used to earn Rs 28,660/acre & Rs 13,660/acre from a rented field after meeting the input cost. Now farmer owning land earns Rs 35,000/acre i.e. increase of 22% & a farmer renting land earns Rs 10,000/acre—a decrease of 27%.
It is clear for even a 8 year old, that farmers income have decreased in some cases & if we factor in the inflation, we can safely say that farmers income have decreased But, travesty is that @PMOIndia is not ready to admit failure, instead is claiming farmers income have doubled

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More from @ramanmann1974

Jul 26
Thread

#Punjab finances

With a debt of 2.63 lakh crore, a revenue deficit of 12,554 crore, a fiscal liability of 24,352 Cr, a liability of 6,068 Cr on debt servicing & GST compensation regime coming to an end in June 2022, AAP Govt has a mammoth task w.r.t keeping it's promises
Punjab's power subsidy bill is already set to touch 18,000 crore this fiscal even as an amount of 7,117 crore is due from the previous fiscal. Govt says that 300 free units will cost 1800 crore, but the power experts say that the government would end up paying Rs 3,000 crore !
The state government is already grappling with free travel facility for women in public sector buses that has cost the exchequer Rs 600 crore this year and state owned transport bodies are crying foul.
Read 11 tweets
May 10
Thread

Will Govt have enough wheat for Public Distribution System (NFSA), Midday Meals & other regular welfare schemes including Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana ?

Will Govt have enough wheat for open market sales to flour mills ?

Will we see #wheat #atta prices spike ? Image
With #wheat opening stocks of 19 million ton (MT) & expected procurement of 18.5 MT, Govt will have 37.5 MT of wheat available for 2022-23. We take out the Min buffer Stock for March 31, which is 7.5 MT, it will leave 30 MT available for sale from government godowns this fiscal.
Govt requires 26 million ton (MT) to run Public Distribution System, Midday Meals & other regular welfare schemes, 5.4 MT for Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana scheme for April-Sept 2022; this alone comes to 31.4 MT, which is more than what the Govt will b holding this year
Read 5 tweets
Apr 19
Thread

Can we export #wheat

There is 10~15% #wheat yield loss in Punjab, Haryana, UP & MP, due to weather anomalies; wheat to mustard acreage shift & farmers holding back crop & exports; Seems, Govt procurement target of 44 million tons will fall short by around 10 million tons
#Haryana has set a target of 85 lakh ton #wheat procurement, but in the first 17 days, State mandis have witnessed nearly 20% less wheat arrival compared to last year. #Punjab has a target of 130 lakh ton, but reliable sources say procurement would likely be around 100 lakh tons.
Govt position is that "India's new season #wheat harvest is underway, with this year's production at a record 111.32 million tons-making it the 6'th season in a row that India has produced a surplus. But, it seems nobody factored yield loss of 10~15% i.e. at least 11 million tons
Read 9 tweets
Apr 19
Thread
👇
Reality of Doubling #Farmers Income by Modi Govt by 2022

Dalwai committee formed to double farmer's income ,talked about ‘real’ growth in farmer income & calculated that this would require an annual avg of 10.4% growth in income for 7 years, starting with 2015-16 base.
The #farm household’s avg monthly income of ₹8,059 in 2015-16 is an “extrapolation” of the Situation Assessment Survey (SAS) of 2012-13. The extrapolation was done by the Ashok Dalwai-headed committee (DFI committee) constituted in 2017 to suggest how to double #farmers’ income.
Economic Survey 2021-22, indicated that the avg monthly income per #agricultural household in the country stood at Rs 10,218 in 2019, up from Rs 8,059 in 2015-16, & Rs 6,426 in 2013-14, whereas #farmers income in Jharkhand, M.P, Nagaland, Odisha decreased between 2015-16 to 2019
Read 5 tweets
Apr 18
Cheeseburger in U.S, explains bigger grocery bill of American consumers. they r seeing food prices rise at the fastest rate in decades. Supply chain snarls, labor shortages & climate challenges (plus the conflict in Ukraine) share the blame, but the main culprit is #Consolidation
Beef

Beef costs 16% more Vs March 2021.

Tyson, JBS, National & Cargill have been accused of increasing prices on meat products while keeping rancher profits low, they control over 80 % of the beef supply chain.

4 companies owning 80% beef supply is "pure" consolidation guys !
Bun

US port congestion has hampered bread bakers, who were waiting longer for those products. 50 input costs had jumped by double digits as of Jan, including hikes in the prices for wheat & natural gas reqd to power ovens. this was before Ukraine crisis, a major wheat exporter
Read 12 tweets
Dec 5, 2021
Thread
👇
How, over the past 40 years, U.S food supply chain has become concentrated in hands of a few large multinationals, which serve as middlemen in everything from seed genetics to hog processing to supermarkets. Do we want such a business model in India; think hard, do we ?
~From 1975 to 2015, Market share of 4 largest beef packing firms increased from 25% to 85%.

~From 1988 to 2016, Market share of 4 largest soybean seed firms increased from 42% to 76%.

~From 1976 to 2015, Market share of 4 largest hog processing firms increased from 33% to 66% !
~From 1997 to 2018, Market share of 4 "top grocers" increased from 25% to 44%.

~~From 1988 to 2016, Market share of 4 largest corn seed firms increased from 59% to 85%.

~6 brands acct for half the global chocolate market, an asymmetrical market that favors only buyers & traders
Read 12 tweets

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