Michael Kobs Profile picture
Aug 5 16 tweets 6 min read
#Yelenovka A few observations in the white noise of wild speculations: All the pictures I could find were taken from the northeast corner of the building (POV) and essentially show only the opposite side. The only exception is a remarkable photo by
@EvaKBartlett (upper left). Image
I have no doubt that [whatsoever] hit the roof on the SE corner (red arrows). The roof sheets are bent away from the center almost in a circle. The underlying structure of the beams is equally deformed and the white debris east of the apparent impact confirms this assumption. Image
No photo shows if and how much the adjacent building was damaged. The fact is, it was damaged because otherwise there would be no white rubble on that side of the building. ImageImage
The photo by Eva Bartlett shows the area that is practically under the impact point. (WARNING VIOLENCE!)
The photo shows a burned body that was apparently forced through the spring bottom of his bed by the blast wave. This is not fire damage, which bent the steel ... Image
...of the springs to the point where the spring bottom fell apart, because the same heat would have burned the body far more. (Note that the body adapted to the damage in the knee joints, for example.) That is, the blast wave came practically vertically from above.
An interesting aspect is the frame in the E-wall, which is vertically below the impact. No glass visible, but the frame is undamaged. Imo, this circumstance can also only be explained by the fact that this frame was at right angles to the front of the blast wave.
Furthermore... Image
... this circumstance excludes a thermobaric expl., because the low-frequency pressure wave (by design) of a thermobaric expl. is reflected by walls/floors, travels back and forth and leaves a much greater destruction in all directions. Image
Taken together, this first says that Kiev's arguments about the absence of a crater and a thermobaric explosion inside are not confirmed (but contradicted) by the visual evidence. A crater would be expected only if [whatever] had hit the floor and exploded there.
Another interesting aspect is that even with a HIMARS (as with other missile HE warheads), the cloud of fragments spreads out around the explosion like a dougnut.
See the impacts of the fragments on the road surface and in the lamppost on the left. Image
Note also that the impacts in the lamppost are clearly visible due to the chipped paint, while no damage can be seen in the guardrail. Image
As a result, this means that a near-vertical or eastward leaning missile exploding at the level of the roof beams would leave no discernible fragment impacts in the lower part of the building and certainly not on its west side.
But it also means that the surrounding buildings must be no more devastated than this guardrail, the surface of which apparently defied the blast.
In this respect I warn against spreading any nonsense out of patriotism, which pleases one war party, but is confirmed by NOTHING. Image
Of course, you also have to ask yourself whether you want to follow a completely insane conspiracy theory, the premise of which is that Russian troops first collect HIMARS parts (somewhere far from the frontline) in order to blow up half of the POWs and save the other half. Image
Part of this conspiracy theory is the relocation of the POWs to a workshop allegedly prepared with a thermobaric charge. So it assumes several teams of accomplices who have had to work hard for maybe a week (and theoretically all have to be shot now.)
Also, let's remember that the same people who are now propagating this insane conspiracy theory basically always discredit any witnesses with first-hand knowledge up front because they're so scared they can never tell the truth. Image
+Important: It turns out that the Maxar satellite images were published upside down. So, the missile most likely hit at an angle either vertical or slanted towards west what explains the lack of fragmentation damage in the photos.
google.com/maps/place/47%… ImageImage

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Michael Kobs

Michael Kobs Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @MichaKobs

May 21
@caitoz That's exactly what's going on everyday in this war. Here is 3yrs old Arina "raped". The image was stolen from Novaya Gazeta.

meduza.io/feature/2022/0…
@caitoz On March 27, DPR forces found the body of a woman in the basement of an abandoned Azov base in Mariupol.
A week later his images were stolen and misused e.g. by presidential advisor Arestovich.
@caitoz ...and went around the world.
Read 8 tweets
May 3
I had that discussion yesterday but...
...maybe Lavrov watched History Channel
history.com/news/study-sug…
The discussion went on that even if Hitler had jewish ancestors it woule be a scandal to say that some jews are also antisemites.
I checked that like factcheckers do sometimes and found that Arabs are Semites according to Wikipedia. Image
Read 6 tweets
May 3
#Bucha a gogo
The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine announces over a month after Russian troops withdrew from the area that they found a grave with civilian torture victims in Kalynivka on April 29.
The nail bed of a torn out fingernail is bright red, the sweater unstained, the rope clean and the skin appears still rosy.
The Prosecutor General's Office blames the invaders which means that this body for weeks would be in the stage of decomposition.
news.yahoo.com/kyiv-region-bo…
The place is located a few meters north-east of Motyzhyn, where on April 2 the bodies of the mayor and her relatives were found. They were also allegedly abducted and executed by Russian troops.
Read 5 tweets
May 2
Today is the anniversary of the Odessa massacre and as far as I know no one has been held accountable.
Why? Because... Image
Here he is next to "Sotnik Mykola" in his Parubiy sponsored bulletproof vest before the massacre. Image
Read 9 tweets
Apr 30
There is some confusion in the highly educated West about what these soccer fans are shouting there. And whether the raised arm has anything to do with the Hitler salute.
Translation first:
They also shout "сила нації!".
Sounds like Nazi but means "strength of the nation".
See, here is the the slogan at the wall of an abandoned base of Nazi batallion Aidar in Donbass.
Read 15 tweets
Apr 30
Nun ja, wenn Russland die Bezahlung von Gas mit geklauten Rubels nicht akzeptieren will, dann könnte vielleicht der US-gewählte Präsident von Venezuela mit dem von Venezuela geklauten Gold für uns Öl in Venezuela kaufen.
Kleine Erinnerung: Das ist staatliche Piraterie!
Das übrigens auch:
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(