@conorsen Welllll, that's not entirely true. See, for instance, the Dot-Com Bust. 472K jobs created in March 2000. Prints consistently in the 300-400 (and up) range throughout previous year. Then first negative print was in ... June 2000 (3 months later). 
@conorsen We then bounced in and out of negative territory for several months before the "official" #recession began in March 2001.
@conorsen You have a bit of a better case with the 1988-1990 cycle. Consistently stronger readings were mostly in 1988. But even there, we went from a +363K reading in January 1990 to a negative print in July 1990 (6 months later). Naturally, geopolitical developments contributed greatly.
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