So two things seem to be happening, @CPC_HQ does not seem to be able to stop @PierrePoilievre from taking the leadership. Speculation is growing that come Fall, there will be a push for a rerun of the lockdown/passport system in support of the 2nd Gen jab. 1/
New lockdowns/passports/mandates to push another lightly tested product is, at this stage, speculative but a claque of Covidians seem intent on re-masking and excited about the jab 2.0. So, assuming PP becomes leader, what will he do? 2/
The politics of COVID seem to be that the more urban you are the more terrified of the bug you are and the more eager you are for strict measures for the greater good regardless of scientific or health merit. 3/
The Liberal/NDP coalition own those urban votes. If the Karens begin to shrill again in Fall, there is a pretty good chance those shrills will be answered. Loser O'Toole wasted his time trying to be even harder core than Trudeau and Singh. 4/
Got him no where. The @CPC_HQ Party of Toronto dimwits didn't realize the attachment of urbanites to whatever legacy media was peddling that week. Trudeau doubled down with his hate campaign against the unjabbed and won where he had to. 5/
@PierrePoilievre is going to be challenged very early on with the question of whether to support "public health" and "scientific consensus" or to carve his own path. It will be a real test of character because legacy media is already waiting to pounce. 6/
Oppose the lockdown/passport/mandate narrative and @PierrePoilievre will be denounced as a trucker adjacent, anti-science, anti-vaxer who cannot possibly win a General Election and whose opinions are so dangerous that they should not be reported. 7/
Which is where character comes in. O'Toole caved. Didn't even try to push back. I am hoping @PierrePoilievre is made of sterner stuff. Simply demanding that people advocating for Covid maximalist solutions show that they worked the last time is a start. 8/
But he also needs to center the Charter and Trudeau's willingness to trample Canadians' Rights without a shred of scientific evidence that putting in mandates would do the least good. 9/
We know Max and the #PPC took this principled stand from the get-go. Will @PierrePoilievre? I hope so. I think he would be surprised at how many "ungettable" voters have had enough of the Trudeau gov'ts simply ignoring our Rights. But he has to try. 10/10

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More from @jaycurrie

Aug 8
Hibernation Day #313 | Perfect, quite warm, summer day. I barely went out save for a gorgeous evening walk with Angus and my sweetie. There are a couple of days a year where the temperature is, exactly, right. This was one of them. 1/
I suspect the narrative is continuing to crumble. Suspect because I wasted very little time online today. Again, mental health may be more important than physical health in getting through this madness. 2/
There is some fun being had with Dr. Tam silly modelling (based, I suspect, on @DavidFisman"s earlier, discredited, work). If we had done nothing millions of Canadians would have been infected and 100s of thousands would have died, according to the models. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Aug 7
In Canada our Charter Rights are subject to such limits as are demonstrably justified in a free and democratic society. So says S.1 of the Charter. Govt action limiting rights is subject to review using the criteria in Oakes which are fairly stringent. 1/
There are a series of actions pending before the Federal Court and the British Columbia Supreme Court seeking to overturn the travel mandates, vax passports and various other COVID related measures which prima facie take away Canadians' Charter Rights. 2/
In each of these cases the govt, federal or provincial, will have to meet the various branches of the Oakes test. Proportionality, rational connection and so on. 3/
Read 16 tweets
Aug 7
Hibernation Day #312 | Went garage saling with the boys. Normally Susan does the run but she was down with an incoming migraine (boo!). Perfect summer day. Lots of sales. I bought a hose nozzle and a squeegee: total outlay, $1.25. 1/
While there were some sales with masks, most were mask free. More importantly, all were really normal. People chatting and haggling, junk which had sat in a closet for 20 years was presented as bounty. And some of it was. 2/
I went garage saling six months ago and there was a sense of fear, people standing off, "Please mask" signs. All that has gone. Yes, there are still people walking their dogs on their own, wearing masks. But they are very rare. 3/
Read 17 tweets
Aug 6
Hibernation Day #311 | Sunny, warm with warmer coming this weekend. Narrative collapse continues with the Federal Court usefully providing the documents @rupasubramanya used for her story alleging that there was no scientific basis for the flight vax mandates. 1/
But the thing which is emerging is how superficial and facile the actual vax/COVID knowledge of these people is. The scientist were to the point and admitted a lack of hard evidence, the civil servants were all about the talking points. Never good in cross-exam. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Aug 5
Inflation is galloping ahead. Supply chains are shakey. The over heated housing markets in Toronto, Vancouver and even sleepy Victoria are slowing. Big tech is laying off in the tens of thousands. COVID is still a thing and hospitals are on the brink...1/
Meanwhile, after a rather cool Spring, July was a very nearly perfect summer month and August looks to be the same. Victoria is a tourist town and it's buzzing. The Cruise ships are back. Victoria is also a government town but it is also on vacation. 2/
Gas prices have dropped nearly $0.50 a litre. The first shock of 20% food price inflation has been absorbed. BBQs are being fired up and the beaches are full. My sense is that people realize that the Fall and Winter maybe pretty difficult and are making the best of it. 3/
Read 17 tweets
Jul 22
Hibernation Day #296 | Summer! Warm, a bit breezy. My own business, after three weeks in the anticipated doldrums is picking up. I basically take the week before Canada Day and the two weeks after as my vacation. It's lovely. 1/
The COVID file has gone silent. Wave 7 is a ripple. But we are torquing up BA.5 for late summer, early Fall. At this point, PHO and gov't need another wave to blend the jab issues into. People are getting sick. Almost all of them are jabbed. A new variant is required. 2/
People are on vacation. As they should be. But, apparently, that means that nothing can be accomplished on surge capacity for hospitals or serious ventilation for indoor spaces. The Fall respiratory season is literally 90 days away. And, nothing. 3/
Read 16 tweets

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