In Canada our Charter Rights are subject to such limits as are demonstrably justified in a free and democratic society. So says S.1 of the Charter. Govt action limiting rights is subject to review using the criteria in Oakes which are fairly stringent. 1/
There are a series of actions pending before the Federal Court and the British Columbia Supreme Court seeking to overturn the travel mandates, vax passports and various other COVID related measures which prima facie take away Canadians' Charter Rights. 2/
In each of these cases the govt, federal or provincial, will have to meet the various branches of the Oakes test. Proportionality, rational connection and so on. 3/
At the outset of the COVID "pandemic" almost nothing was known about the disease, its effects, its treatment or what might work to contain it. It looked serious. PHOs and gov't dropped a series of measures on the population. It was a PH emergency. 4/
In those circumstances the Courts, not unreasonably either declined to hear challenges or went out of their way to defer to PH and gov't. While I don't like these outcomes, in a state of ignorance relying on "experts" makes sense. 5/
We are well past that state of confusion. We can, in fact (rather than in goofy models per Dr. Tam) assess the efficacy of the jabs (not much), the boosters (may actually cause harm) and the NPIs (largely a waste of time) with hard evidence. 6/
We can also assess the evidence used by PHO and gov't to impose the various restrictions. For example, in the Peckford matter, cross exam evidence suggests the restrictions were imposed without any evidence they would do a thing to prevent infection. 7/
Each day which passes takes us further away from the panic and confusion of Feb and March 2020. Which means that there will be less and less judicial deference paid to PHO/govt hand waving. What is the evidence? 8/
The ad hoc solutions of passports, church closures, vax mandates, travel restrictions were given a pass early on largely because there was no solid evidence either way as to their efficacy. Now there is. 9/
My #PPC friends tend to see the Courts as captured by the liberal narrative and the administrative state. I don't. While many judges may have a liberal lean, they also tend to be very serious about the law and the evidence before them. 10/
Legal actions exist in particular moments in time. A year ago many people still thought the jabs prevented transmission and had no adverse effects. Using strong arm tactics to force the unjabbed to uphold the greater good seemed justified. 11/
Omicron finished off the idea the jabs prevented infection and transmission. The growing number of reported adverse events has cracked the facade of "safe". And the parties to the actions have and will continue to present evidence to that effect. 12/
Making the injection of a largely disappointing and potentially dangerous substance a pre-condition for the exercise of Charter Rights is a less and less attractive legal position. 13/
It is little wonder that the feds have postponed the hearings in Federal Court in the Peckford and Harrison matters. They realize that as the smoke clears they have no evidence travel mandates did or do a damned thing vis a vis COVID. 14/
We won't have to wait that long for Chief Justice Christopher Hinkson of the BC Supreme Court to rule on a quartet of cases heard in the Spring going to vax passports and other restrictions. I would expect a decision in the next few weeks. 15/
Hinkson has the opportunity to set standards for the legitimate suspension of Charter Rights. At a guess, that standard is going to be very stiff indeed. "You suspended the Charter because of staff shortages?" asked Hinkson, CJBC. This will be interesting. 16/16
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Hibernation Day #313 | Perfect, quite warm, summer day. I barely went out save for a gorgeous evening walk with Angus and my sweetie. There are a couple of days a year where the temperature is, exactly, right. This was one of them. 1/
I suspect the narrative is continuing to crumble. Suspect because I wasted very little time online today. Again, mental health may be more important than physical health in getting through this madness. 2/
There is some fun being had with Dr. Tam silly modelling (based, I suspect, on @DavidFisman"s earlier, discredited, work). If we had done nothing millions of Canadians would have been infected and 100s of thousands would have died, according to the models. 3/
Hibernation Day #312 | Went garage saling with the boys. Normally Susan does the run but she was down with an incoming migraine (boo!). Perfect summer day. Lots of sales. I bought a hose nozzle and a squeegee: total outlay, $1.25. 1/
While there were some sales with masks, most were mask free. More importantly, all were really normal. People chatting and haggling, junk which had sat in a closet for 20 years was presented as bounty. And some of it was. 2/
I went garage saling six months ago and there was a sense of fear, people standing off, "Please mask" signs. All that has gone. Yes, there are still people walking their dogs on their own, wearing masks. But they are very rare. 3/
So two things seem to be happening, @CPC_HQ does not seem to be able to stop @PierrePoilievre from taking the leadership. Speculation is growing that come Fall, there will be a push for a rerun of the lockdown/passport system in support of the 2nd Gen jab. 1/
New lockdowns/passports/mandates to push another lightly tested product is, at this stage, speculative but a claque of Covidians seem intent on re-masking and excited about the jab 2.0. So, assuming PP becomes leader, what will he do? 2/
The politics of COVID seem to be that the more urban you are the more terrified of the bug you are and the more eager you are for strict measures for the greater good regardless of scientific or health merit. 3/
Hibernation Day #311 | Sunny, warm with warmer coming this weekend. Narrative collapse continues with the Federal Court usefully providing the documents @rupasubramanya used for her story alleging that there was no scientific basis for the flight vax mandates. 1/
But the thing which is emerging is how superficial and facile the actual vax/COVID knowledge of these people is. The scientist were to the point and admitted a lack of hard evidence, the civil servants were all about the talking points. Never good in cross-exam. 3/
Inflation is galloping ahead. Supply chains are shakey. The over heated housing markets in Toronto, Vancouver and even sleepy Victoria are slowing. Big tech is laying off in the tens of thousands. COVID is still a thing and hospitals are on the brink...1/
Meanwhile, after a rather cool Spring, July was a very nearly perfect summer month and August looks to be the same. Victoria is a tourist town and it's buzzing. The Cruise ships are back. Victoria is also a government town but it is also on vacation. 2/
Gas prices have dropped nearly $0.50 a litre. The first shock of 20% food price inflation has been absorbed. BBQs are being fired up and the beaches are full. My sense is that people realize that the Fall and Winter maybe pretty difficult and are making the best of it. 3/
Hibernation Day #296 | Summer! Warm, a bit breezy. My own business, after three weeks in the anticipated doldrums is picking up. I basically take the week before Canada Day and the two weeks after as my vacation. It's lovely. 1/
The COVID file has gone silent. Wave 7 is a ripple. But we are torquing up BA.5 for late summer, early Fall. At this point, PHO and gov't need another wave to blend the jab issues into. People are getting sick. Almost all of them are jabbed. A new variant is required. 2/
People are on vacation. As they should be. But, apparently, that means that nothing can be accomplished on surge capacity for hospitals or serious ventilation for indoor spaces. The Fall respiratory season is literally 90 days away. And, nothing. 3/