The PTC should make US cell production competitive with cell manufacturing in China.
This could lead to the US could becoming the second largest manufacturer of lithium-ion batteries after China. Although it is probably not until closer to 2030 that the US passes Europe.
As @AndyLeachBatt points out, a feature of the PTC is that it is chemistry agnostic. This would make LFP cells significantly cheaper than nickel based cells in the US
This would encourage LFP production, despite the fact that Iron isn't included as a critical mineral
1) Industry-University-Research Solidarity and Cooperation (from the Korean plan)
To stay ahead in the battery industry governments are recognizing the importance of investing in early stage research on next-gen tech, but more importantly having industry and academia collaborate
1b) We see this globally, in the U.K. you have the Faraday Battery Challenge and @FaradayInst.
1. We expect solid-state cells to be adopted in premium EVs first because they will be higher cost than liquid based cells.
2. We expect they could be cheaper by 2033, after this point adoption in non-premium segments accelerates.
3.We modeled EV economics, assuming the increase in range for a given pack size (kWh) would be favored. But if auto's use smaller packs to achieve the same range as liquid based cells, EVs using solid-state cells could be affordable sooner. It will probably be a mix in reality.
At the end of 2020, @BloombergNEF adapted its BattMan model to integrate solid-state cells.
At scale with developed supply chains, solid-state cells could be manufactured for 80% of the cost of liquid cells - with the same cathode.
When optimised they could be 40% cheaper...
A conventional cell is an 60Ah NMC (622) pouch cell manufactured in todays facilities.
Benchmark SSB is 60Ah NMC (622) pouch type solid state battery, produced on manufacturing lines of the same speed as our conventional cell. Using Lithium metal anode foil.