Gotta say, I'm increasingly amazed at how fast so many ppl rushed out takes on what bail reform did... given it is *really* hard to even figure out who is bail eligible, esp post-7/20 rollbacks.
In some cases, impossible: eligibility can often turn on things not in the data.
In some cases, impossible: eligibility can often turn on things not in the data.
Like, Burglary 2 is not bail-eligible, unless it takes place in the primary living space... which is not a section of 140.25(2).
Or, tell me who is bail-eligible here, given "identifiable person or property" isn't a ... thing in the NY Penal Law.
Or, tell me who is bail-eligible here, given "identifiable person or property" isn't a ... thing in the NY Penal Law.
The state bail data doesn't have an indicator for bail eligibility. You have to back it out yourself, and that is really hard.
I thought it was fairly easy, got smacked down (rightly) #onhere a bit recently, and have now spent hours and hours revising it.
I thought it was fairly easy, got smacked down (rightly) #onhere a bit recently, and have now spent hours and hours revising it.
I mean, I have multiple ... I don't know what to call them. "Ignorance Indicators," I guess. Variables to flag the cases where we simply cannot say with confidence whether someone was in fact legally bail eligible or not.
This is a big deal, because any criticism of "bail reform" has to focus on the cases where judges CANNOT impose bail, not just the ones where they CHOSE not to.
And that "cannot"? Phew, man. It's a mess to pin down.
And that "cannot"? Phew, man. It's a mess to pin down.
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