Thread by @althecat

Never forget this data…. From @CyberAlexi

Would love to hear a logical explanation from @timnitGebru of this doesn’t prove that there was a pre-planned cyber-disinfo campaign ready to go - for the TPLF’s pre-emotive treacherous strike against the ENDF.

Wouldn’t mind hearing @TsedaleLemma on this question too since she’s a media boss and best buddies with @timnitGebru.

For the full paper see here, it was updated and extended. But what really matters are the events at the beginning. mediamanipulation.org/case-studies/d…

Both @CyberAlexi and @timnitGebru would have you believe this evidence shows the opposite of what it shows. But real numbers rarely lie which is why the period right at the beginning of the war is so important.

Which info op was better prepared?

Clearly team TPLF was, maybe it was just because they were super skilled! But how did they know a #TigrayGenocide had started in November 4th when Amhara Forces were on that day holding back a TPLF invasion convoy at Karaka.

The blue line is pro Ethiopia tweets. A Ethiopian Twitter response was not coordinated and was not even visible/remotely competitive till the end of November.

And at the end of December the pro-Ethiopia Twitter effort was dwarfed by #StandWithTigray and #TigrayGenocide both launched Nov 4th with a “click to tweet” website launched 2 days later.

But while the GoE was losing the info war by end of November they had won the actual war.

The TPLF counter to this unassailable argument appears to be that the Govt of Ethiopia/ENDF led the TPLF into a trap by sacrificing 6000 of its own soldiers so that it would have an excuse to invade Tigray.

This bizarre idea is hard to get your head around - so we won’t try.

Importantly there is absolutely no evidence to support it and tonne of facts/knowledge/evidence about the lead up to the war which shows it is false.