Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Aug 15, 2022 24 tweets 9 min read Read on X
My daily update, this time for August 14th and August 15th. #ukrdailyupdate

If you would like to view the map: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
The general state around Kharkiv has remained unchanged for many weeks, but the past day or two has been full of exciting fake news published by Russia. They claim to have captured Udy (1), but, oddly enough, the Ukrainian soldiers in Udy claim otherwise.
I see absolutely no evidence that Russia has captured Udy. Russia sent reconnaissance towards Pytomnyk as well (2).
Beyond these two minor offensive actions, Russia is continuously shelling the entire Kharkiv area, mainly targeting private homes.
In the Izyum area, Russia attacked Mazanivka (3) and repeatedly attacked Dolyna (4). All of the attacks failed. North of Izyum, people claim to see fewer and fewer Russian soldiers.
In the Siversk area, Russia sent reconnaissance towards Serebrianka (5), but they focused their attention further south. They repeatedly attacked Ivano-Darivka (6) and the outskirts of Spirne (7). All of these attacks failed.
The Russian attack on Yakovlivka has also had limited success (11). As a result, Russia is attempting to wrap around the east of Yakovlivka to push north towards Vesele (10). This attack made little progress.
Russians also sent a reconnaissance team around the flank of Vesele (9), but they were identified and destroyed. Russian recon (Spetsnaz?) is trying to find a way around the eastern side of Soledar (12).
Meanwhile, within Soledar, Russian forces are slowly trying to push north out of the captured Knauf Gips factory towards the Belokamensk factory and the Gypsum mine (13). It might be more clear on OpenStreetMap.
I re-evaluated the Russian position in Bakhmut and moved the front line backward around 1.2km. Russia is attacking Bakhmut (14), and they made some progress this weekend. But that progress is accounted for in this lost control.
South of Bakhmut, Russia is attacking Zaitseve (15) and Kodema (17). Both are fortified towns, and the fighting is heavy, especially in Kodema. Russian forces claimed to have captured Vershyna (16). They have said this so often that I do not trust them.
In the Donetsk area, Russia focused on trying to exploit their success in Pisky, even though they did not capture the town yet. (they may have captured it tonight)
North of Avdiivka, Russia is trying to capture Krasnohorivka (18). The attack has had no notable success, but it is the northern pincer to encircle Avdiivka.
My sources told me Russian forces moved towards the airfield east of Pisky (19). If they capture this area, they could attack Vodyane to the north. The runway and Vodyane are both heavily fortified.
Russians are still trying to capture the northwestern part of Pisky (20), and now they are pushing towards Pervomaiske (21). Pervomaiske is another heavily fortified town. It is possible Russia captured Pisky tonight.
A bit south of Pisky, Russia is trying to break through the Ukrainian line north of Lozove (22) and west of Staromykhailivka (23). Neither attack has measurable success.
South of Donetsk, Russia is trying to push west out of Solodke again. They attempt to do this every few weeks, and each time they get destroyed by Ukrainian artillery.
This time they attacked Novomykhailivka (24), Vodyane (25), and Volodymyrivka (26). All three attacks got hammered by Ukrainian artillery.
Russians attacked Pavlivka, which is now a daily occurrence without measurable success (27).
Ukrainian forces identified and destroyed Russian reconnaissance near Prechystivka (28).
Russians continued their attack in the general Velyka Novosilka area with assaults on Vremivka (29). When these assaults failed, they sent recon to find a way around the Ukrainian defenses (30). Unfortunately for them, they were spotted and neutralized.
Ukrainian forces destroyed Russian equipment in Tokmak (A), and partisans (more likely special forces) destroyed a rail bridge near Melitopol (B).
I do not have anything to say about Kherson, but here are some images showing the current state of the map.
Oh, and I almost forgot, Ukraine shot HIMARS into the headquarters of the infamous mercenaries called the Wagner Group in Popasna. Their openly (and proudly) Nazi leader survived the strike.
That is all I have for today.

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More from @AndrewPerpetua

Jan 23
The main thing that any educated person needs to keep in mind at all times is that realpolitik is fake and everyone who believes in it is typically universally wrong on every single word they ever say.
It is especially funny because realpolitik people are almost never experts in any domain, and they get their info from aggregators. And those aggregators know the realpolitik people use them, and as such present info in a way most likely to influence the realpolitik.
They end up just being unwitting amplifiers of misinformation.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 11, 2025
Frankly I think the fastest way to end the war in Ukraine is not by sending tanks or by idiotic peace proposals. The fastest way is to set up factories across europe to produce 1000-2000 long range strike drones per day, and launch hundreds if not thousands of drones into Russia every single day until the country collapses. If they think sending 500 drones into Ukraine is a threat, see how they respond when 3000 drones fly into Russia.
With this many drones you can hammer every single factory, powerplant, substation, oil refinery, and mine in russia relentlessly.
Europe had a million drone program, to supply 1 million fpv drones. Fuck fpv drones. Have a 1 million drone program to supply 1 million strike drones. That's your million drones.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 3, 2025
The "stupid westerners, sanctions do not work, we smuggle goods in illegally. muahaha, Russia unstoppable" people tickle me. Sanctions are not for stopping goods entirely, they are for increasing friction because the resources you spend smuggling are resources not spent growing
People fundamentally don't understand the purpose of a sanction. Sanctions are not to stop the war now, although they do damage Russia, the real goal of a sanction is long term economic damage to permanently shrink their economic growth on the timescale of decades.
The sanction is basically saying "okay, you're a threat to me today, and maybe I can't do much about it now, but I will shrink you and outgrow you so in 50-100 years you are no longer a threat to me at all". It is a long term play.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 1, 2025
The Russians claim they shoot down Ukrainian aircraft the moment the missile leaves the tube, but we're supposed to believe they shot down two Black Hawks on Tuesday and only announced it after Ukraine leaked Black Hawk footage on Friday. These Black Hawks join the 650 F-16s and 450,000 M777s Russia has 'destroyed.'
GUYS. I AM GOING TO POST A VIDEO WHERE I WILL BLUR THE UNIT LOGOS TO SHIT SO NOBODY CAN TELL I STOLE THE VIDEOS FROM THE ARCHIVE AND THEN POST IT TO THE INTERNET SAYING I KILLED ALL THE SPECIAL FORCES
And then media outlets and super smart think tank people all over the world will believe me for some reason and then everyone will be like omg all the special forces died.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 18, 2025
Guys I took my division and charged them into combat and while we lost 50% of our armored vehicles and 45% of our infantry are dead, and several of our HQs were destroyed and most of our best officers are dead, we captured a village where 200 once lived so we’re winning the war.
Tomorrow we will send our next division to assault the next village. That one had a population of 1200. Its actually considered a huge city, when you think about it. If we can capture that, we will send our third division to capture the hamlet behind it.
Every day we advance. That means we’re winning.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 21, 2025
This is what Russia does. A country that only exports oil, gas, and war. This is the city of Marinka. Image
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Read 4 tweets

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