August 16, 2022 map update for @TheStudyofWar.

- Russian forces recaptured Solodke and Yehorivka in Donetsk. There were previously UA-liberated.

- New Russian claims in north Kharkiv and Donetsk oblast

- We refined the frontline on the Izyum axis.

More details below. 🧵
1. We recoded Solodke, Donetsk Oblast, and the western portion of Stepne, Donetsk Oblast as assessed Russian advances given a Ukrainian General Staff report on August 16 stating Russian forces are conducting offensive and assault operations in the area with “partial success.”
NASA FIRMS data from the past 24 hours additionally observed heat anomalies fires in the rear of Ukrainian-held territory northwest of Solodke, which would be consistent with a Russian advance into Solodke.

Source: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…
2. We recoded Yehorivka, Donetsk Oblast, as assessed Russian advances given footage posted on August 16 reportedly showing elements of Black Sea Fleet’s 810th Naval Infantry Brigade operating in the village.

Source: t.me/diza_donbass/1…
3. We expanded Russian claims to Odnorobivka, Kharkiv Oblast, given a Rybar map posted on August 16 claiming Russian control over the village. There is no visual evidence supporting this claim. Source: t.me/rybar/37317
4. We expanded Russian claims to the north and south of Siversk, Donetsk Oblast, given Luhansk People’s Republic Ambassador to Russia Rodion Miroshnik’s claim on August 16 that Russian forces surrounded Siversk on three sides. There is no visual evidence to support this...
claim. Miroshnik is also known to wildly exaggerate his territorial claims. Source: t.me/miroshnik_r/83…
5. We expanded Russian claims further west towards Nevelske, Donetsk Oblast, given Russian milblogger Yevgeny Poddubny’s claim on August 16 that Russian forces have advanced towards Nevelske.

Sources: t.me/miroshnik_r/83…; t.me/epoddubny/11949
6. We removed Russian claims from Pryshyb, Donetsk Oblast, given a Rybar map posted on August 16 depicting Ukrainian forces controlling the village.

Russian sources are seemingly no longer claiming Russian control in this area.

Source: i.ibb.co/30TKm5r/16-08-…
7. We recoded the cumulative Russian advances around Bohorodychne in northern Donetsk Oblast as Ukrainian counterattacks given Ukrainian forces have repelled Russian attacks on Bohorodychne and Russian forces have not yet established control over the village as of August 16.
As always, we will continue to refine our assessment as we collect and verify more information.

All of today's changes are live on the interactive map: storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6…

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More from @georgewbarros

Aug 17
August 17, 2022 Ukraine control of terrain map update for @TheStudyofWar.

- Russian forces made more confirmed gains in the south

- Russian sources claimed more unconfirmed gains in eastern Ukraine and Kharkiv Oblast

- We refined the Kherson frontline

More details below. 🧵
1. We expanded Russian assessed advances to Inzhenerne and Ukrainske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, given that the Ukrainian General Staff reported on August 17 that Russian forces mined Inzhenerne and Ukrainske.

Source: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u… Image
2. We expanded Russian assessed advances to the northwest of Spartak, Donetsk Oblast, given that the Ukrainian General Staff reported on August 17 that Russian forces had unspecified “partial success” in advancing in the direction of Opytne. Source: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u… Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 16
August 15, 2022 Ukraine control of terrain map update for @TheStudyofWar

- New video confirmed Russian forces took the KNAUF Factory near Soledar

- Russian forces claimed progress near Pervomayske and Vuhledar.

- We refined the Kherson frontline.

Details below.
1 We recoded the KNAUF factory near Soledar, Donetsk Oblast as assessed Russian advances given geoconfirmed video footage posted on August 14 and 15 showing Russian forces operating at the factory on an unspecified date.
Read 8 tweets
Aug 14
August 13, 2022 Ukraine control of terrain map update for @TheStudyofWar

More Russian gains in eastern Ukraine and one newly claimed Russian gain in Kharkiv Oblast.

Details below.
1. We recoded previous Russian claims approaching the east of Krasnohorivka in Donetsk Oblast to assessed advance given the Ukrainian General Staff reported on August 13 that Russian forces attempted an assault in the direction of Krasnohorivka. Source: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…
. We expanded Russian advances to Storozhove and towards Novosilka in Donetsk Oblast given that the Ukrainian General Staff reported on August 13 that Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian assault in the direction of Storozhove – Novosilka. Source: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…
Read 8 tweets
Jul 24
July 24, 2022 map update.

Three minor changes, all of which are slightly expanded Russian advances.

Details below.
1.We recoded Borshchova in Kharkiv Oblast as Russian advances after observing Russian forces in the town in geolocated combat footage. Sources: ;
2.We expanded Russian advances towards Velyka Komyshuvakha east of Barabashivka in Kharkiv Oblast after observing new geolocated combat footage. Sources: ; ; ;
Read 5 tweets
Jul 23
July 23, 2022 map update.

Two changes and evidence to debunk a Russian claim in the following short thread for @TheStudyofWar.
1. We refined the Russian assessed advances furthest extent near Rivnopil in Donetsk Oblast after observing geolocated combat footage. Sources: ; Image
2.We recoded Oleksandrivka in Kherson Oblast as Russian advances after observing Russian forces in the village on July 19 in footage posted on July 23. This is the latest visual evidence we have observed from Oleksandrivka. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jul 22
July 22, 2022 map update.

- The Ukrainian bridgehead on the Inhulets river now Russian-confirmed and is larger than assessed as of yesterday.

- Small Russian gains near Spirne

- New Russian claims in southern Pokrovske

Details in a thread below for @TheStudyofWar.🧵
1. We expanded Ukrainian counteroffensives on the Inhulets River bridgehead to Bilohirka in Kherson Oblast given the Ukrainian the Ukrainian General Staff reported on July 22 that Ukrainian forces repelled a russian assault in the Davydiv - Bilohirka direction, implying that... Image
Ukrainian forces control Bilohirka. Russian Telegram Channel Rybar confirmed on July 22 that Ukrainian forces forded the Inhulets River north of Lozove, and Rybar claimed Ukrainian forces from this ford supported a Ukrainian attempt to take up positions near Andriivka. (Rybar...
Read 10 tweets

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