@TRyanGregory Toxic hubristic aggressive persecution & denialism based on faulty dogma in ID world is a feature, not a bug. Itβs been going on for centuries. The road is littered w examples
1800s
John Snow - water
Ignaz Semmelweis - hands
Lister & Pasteur - germs
@TRyanGregory In a keynote presentation at isrp2022.vfairs.com last week SARS1 outbreaks in Toronto were blamed squarely on droplet dogma & toxic relations between Toronto ID world & everyone else in sharp contrast to open-mindedness & collaborative relations between BC ID & others. π€·ββοΈ
I keep saying, "Someday I'll write a book" about the struggle to bring an engineering perspective to infection prevention & control in healthcare. For now I'll just write a thread.
Is there anything worse than knowing there are oceans full of icebergs ahead, how easy it is to engineer systems to detect & steer around them, but not being able to get the owners of the lines or anyone in command to listen as you blindly head straight for them?
I've been advocating for engineering & standards for air, water & surfaces in healthcare facilities to β¬οΈdisease transmission for over 30 years. The irony of being accused by out-of-touch ID/PH/IPAC/Epi of epistemic trespassing before & during the pandemic is gobsmacking.
Iβm starting to think CoVID is the most transmissible pathogen in human history and the most threatening to the course of civilization.
Omicron is so fast we likely have to rethink how we define transmissibility. In a single generation O can compete with measles for R0 but it can also spawn four generations for each generation of measles, 3 days vs 12.
Itβs stealthy, unlike measles, especially for vaxxed people. Asymptomatic spread is driving the pandemic. Vaccines can slow transmission but canβt stop it.
Ppl can get reinfected, 1, 2, 3 or 4 times a year. Each infection, even if mild can lead to a lifetime of chronic illness.
Friday of a long weekend @GovCanHealth@CPHO_Canada releases a devastating outlook for Canadaβs DELTA Wave.
Thereβs no way to sugar coat this. Itβs bad. Worse than you think. Made worse because itβs laced with hopium. And because of what they donβt show - cases past October.
DELTA wave started in July & will last thru April 2022.
DELTA wave is rising faster than any previous wave. Yes Virtually vertical. Just as school is starting.
DELTA wave will peak at Christmas.
On current trajectory, DELTA will overwhelm hospitals, possibly for months
Hopium:
Hospitalizations based on 12-39 yo 82.5% to 84.5% double vaxxed - currently only 66% 2 shots, 76% 1 shot
Last year I worked on a rapidly deployable CR type box fan air purifier design using standard mask filter materials wound around an engineered cardboard box w perforated cutouts for quick, easy deployment for safe in-class back to school.
In-class school was largely cancelled last year so there wasnβt a lot interest. Now, with governments everywhere still committed to September in-class school, even w unvaxxed kids in the presence of DELTA, parents are looking for CR box fan air purifiers.
This is what the filter material looks like after 9 months of running 24/7. Still effective but gross. And lower flow.