The AP has called #FL11 GOP primary for Rep. Dan Webster. The longest-serving state legislator in FL history and its first GOP state House speaker since Reconstruction turns back far-right activist Laura Loomer in shockingly tight contest.
Over in GOP primary for open and dark red #OK02, former state Sen. Josh Brecheen leads state Rep. Avery Frix 54.5-45.5. Group affiliated with Club for Growth spent heavily for Brecheen, a former Club fellow.
AP calls #FL13 GOP primary for Trump's candidate, 2020 nominee Anna Paulina Luna. She'll face former DoD official Eric Lynn in seat GOP gerrymandered into 53-46 Trump.
10% of estimated vote in for #OKSEN GOP primary special, Rep. Markwayne Mullin leads former state House Speaker T.W. Shannon 62-38. Shannon lost a 2014 special primary for state's other Senate seat to James Lankford.
Two GOP primary calls from AP: Matt Gaetz wins in #FL01, former Secretary of State Laurel Lee prevails in new #FL15. Gaetz is safe, Lee likely to face 2020 Dem nominee Alan Cohn in 51-48 Trump seat.
We also have an early AP call for Rep. Markwayne Mullin in #OKSEN GOP primary. Mullin will be favorite over former colleague Kendra Horn, and the Cherokee Nation member would be first Native American to serve in Senate since Ben Nighthorse Campbell retired in 2005.
Cory Mills wins #FL07 GOP primary per AP. Mills ran ads promoting how his tear gas products used on protestors, but now frontrunner for gerrymandered 52-47 Trump seat.
Resigning #OKSEN Jim Inhofe will NOT be happy that Rep. Markwayne Mullin is his likely successor. At all. readfrontier.org/stories/jim-in…
Former state Sen. Josh Brecheen maintains 53-47 lead in #OK02 GOP runoff to replace Mullin with 25% of estimated vote in.
Oklahoma Dems are longshots for both Senate seats, but they can at least save money on signage. Madison Horn and Kenda Horn are the nominees for each race. #OKSEN
#OK02 GOP runoff remains about where it's been for a while. Former state Sen. Josh Brecheen leads 52-48 with 41% of estimated vote in.
AP calls #FL27 Dem primary for state Sen. Annette Taddeo, the fav of national Dems. She'll go up against GOP Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar in Miami-area seat GOP turned from 51-48 Biden to 50-49 Trump.
Also got an AP call in #FL15 Dem primary for Alan Cohn, a former TV anchor who was 2020 nominee in old version of the seat. He'll face former Secretary of State Laurel Lee in 51-48 Trump seat in Tampa area.
And we have an AP call in dark blue #FL10 for gun safety activist Maxwell Alejandro Frost JUST before polls close in New York, closing out Florida's big races! Frost, who is 25, will almost certainly be youngest member of Congress.
New York absentee ballots received by Aug. 30 will be counted as long as postmarked by today, so some tight races may remain uncalled for a bit.
Just like that, AP says we're at 73% reporting in #NY12. Rep. Jerry Nadler smoking fellow Rep. Carolyn Maloney 56-27, attorney Suraj Patel at just 16
We're also at 44% in the open #NY10. Dan Goldman up 27-22 on Yuh-Line Niou in the Dem primary for this safely blue seat in Lower Manhattan/nearby parts of Brooklyn
We're at 15% in the open #NY03 on Long Island. DNC member Robert Zimmerman has a wide 43-22 lead on Deputy Suffolk County Executive Jon Kaiman in the Dem primary
We've shot up to 86% counted in #NY10, per AP, and Dan Goldman's lead on Yuh-Line Niou has shrunk to 26-23
26% of the vote counted in #NY17 and Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney has a 64-36 lead on state Sen. Alessandra Biaggi. Gotta imagine Mondaire Jones, currently in 3rd place in #NY10, would have had a better shot here, since he repped 75% of the 17th
23% reporting in the Dem primary in #NY16. Freshman Rep. Jamaal Bowman holding off a pair of more moderate challengers who seem to be splitting the anti-incumbent vote. Bowman up 62-21 on Westchester Cty Legislator Vedat Gashi
Call in #NY12 for Rep. Jerry Nadler, who defeats fellow 30-year veteran and cmte chair Carolyn Maloney. After he wins this fall, he will be the first person in more than a century to represent the Upper East Side and Upper West Side in a single district
In the #NY19 special, the vote so far is lopsided in favor of Dem Pat Ryan, but don't read too much into it. Much of it has come from his home turf of Ulster County, plus it's likely early/mail votes, which will favor Dems
Gonna be a lot of teeth-gnashing: AP says 99% counted in #NY10 Dem primary, Dan Goldman up 25.2 to 24.2 on Yuh-Line Niou. No call yet
AP call in #NY17 for Sean Patrick Maloney, who hosed Democrats by jumping one district to the south from #NY18, where he repped 3/4ths of residents. He made the 18th more vulnerable by making it an open seat, and screwed over progressive Mondaire Jones
Hang on: AP has now adjusted "expected vote" in #NY10 *down* to 92% from 99% just minutes ago. Still 25-24 lead for Goldman, but this suggests there may yet be more play in the joints
AP calls the runoff in deep red #OK02 for former state Sen. Josh Brecheen, who had the help of the Club for Growth. He narrowly beats state Rep. Avery Frix 52-48 and will easily win in November, tho it wasn't that long ago that Dems did well in "Little Dixie"
GOP primary for open #NY01 starts out with establishment fav Nick LaLota up 47-29 (41% of estimated vote in) against Michelle Bond, a cryptocurrency trader who vastly outspent him. Winner goes up against Suffolk County Legislator Bridget Fleming in 49.4-49.2 Biden seat.
We're also at 41% of estimated vote for #NY03 Dem primary, story remains the same: DNC member Robert Zimmerman leads deputy Suffolk County executive Jon Kaiman 39-25. Biden would have won 53-45 here.
Over in blue #NY16, Rep. Jamaal Bowman fending off Westchester County Legislator Vedat Gashi 57-23 with 42% of estimated vote in.
The GOP establishment could be in for a loss in swingy #NY22. With 66% of estimated vote in, Brandon Williams leads self-funder Steve Wells 57-43; CLF made late buys to help Wells.
The #NY22 Dem primary is unexpectedly looking a lot tighter. While Navy veteran Francis Conole vastly outspent rivals, he leads Air Force veteran Sarah Klee Hood only 41-38 with 75% of estimated vote in.
Proto Trump Carl Paladino posts 54-46 lead over state GOP chair Nick Langworthy with 72% of estimated vote in for safely red #NY23 GOP primary
AP's "Est. Vote Counted" keeps *dropping* in #NY10—now down to 90%. But Goldman's lead bumped up to 25.6 to 24.0
Digging in a bit deeper, the remaining precincts to count in #NY10 look favorable to Dan Goldman. By Assembly district, what's left is largely in AD66, a wealthy lower Manhattan seat where he's beating Niou 5,251 to 1,726 & she's in third web.enrboenyc.us/CD25622AD1.html
A loss for what passes for today's GOP establishment in #NY22: Navy vet beats bizman Steve Wells, who had air support from the Congressional Leadership Fund. Still no call on Dem side, where Francis Conole leads Sarah Hood 41-37 w/99% estimated reporting. Top pickup opp for Ds
Here's an unexpected one: Freshman GOP Rep. Andrew Garbarino has just 54% of the vote in #NY02 primary. He faces a MAGA-fied primary challenge from Navy vet Robert Cornicelli. So many Republican incumbents performing weakly against unheralded challengers this year
Despite heavy spending against him, Nick LaLota, who serves as chief of staff of the Suffolk County Legislature, turns back cryptocurrency trader Michelle Bond 47-28 in #NY01 GOP primary. He'll face Suffolk County Legislator Bridget Fleming for this closely divided open seat
Garbarino's challenger had a tenth of his money, but the incumbent voted for for the infrastructure bill, same-sex/interracial marriage protection, and the Jan. 6 cmte. That last one in particular seems to have fueled the rise of a lot of GOP Some Dudes
There's now an AP call for Garbarino in #NY02, but 54% in the primary is soft and could instigate another challenge next time if he wins re-election. First, tho, he must face Dem Jackie Gordon in this 50-48 Trump district
Another GOP incumbent not having a swell night: Far-right Rep. Claudia Tenney winning just 52-42 over Mario Fratto in #NY24. However, Tenney's old #NY22 was pretty much obliterated in redistricting & she represents just 6% of the new 24th
In the #NY19 special, Dem Pat Ryan is up 53-47 with 87% of the vote estimated to be counted, per AP. However, the outstanding vote should favor Republican Marc Molinaro, though this one will likely be close
Of note: The #NY19 that tonight's special is being held in shares the bulk of its DNA with the old-old #NY20, the site of a famous special election that Dems unexpectedly won in 2009. It also led to the greatest Swing State Project headline of all time, courtesy @hellofasandwich
Former Hempstead Supervisor Laura Gillen easily wins Dem nod in open #NY04. She's beating Nassau County Legislator Carrié Solages 64-23 & will try to hold this seat for Dems against Hempstead Councilman Anthony D'Esposito in November
ABC, NBC, and CBS have all called the #NY19 special for Democrat Pat Ryan. No AP as yet, but this is looking like quite the upset

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More from @DKElections

Aug 24
Hero of the night is looking like @votevets. They spent $500,000 to help Pat Ryan in #NY19 and were the only Dem group to really get involved in terms of independent expenditures
No AP call in #NY23 GOP primary yet, but NBC has called it for state party chair Nick Langworthy. Black eye for Elise Stefanik, #3 in the House GOP, who endorsed racist Carl Paladino—a move that led other House GOP leaders to claim she'd "gone rogue"! nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
The DCCC did run a joint ad with Ryan (it seemed like a so-called "hybrid" ad, where costs are split), but it's not clear how much the cmte spent on it axios.com/2022/08/10/new…
Read 5 tweets
Aug 23
Gun safety activist Maxwell Alejandro Frost has expanded his lead in safely blue #FL10. 76% of estimated vote in, he's beating state Sen. Randolph Bracy 34-25; ex-Reps. Alan Grayson and Corrine Brown at 16 and 10.
#FL11 is TIGHT. 71% of estimated vote in, Webster leads Loomer 47.8-47.7, margin of 95 VOTES.
Two of #FL11's four counties, Orange and Polk, aren't reporting anything. If Loomer's strength is confided to The Villages, gives Webster breathing room. If not ...
Read 13 tweets
Aug 23
Polls have closed in most of Florida, where a huge amount of votes usually start coming in early; Oklahoma is at 8 PM ET/ 7 local time, New York 9 ET. We'll be liveblogging the results and tweeting here dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
This is the biggest U.S. election night from now till November. Check out our cheat sheet for what to follow! docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
You can also find our preview of tonight's MANY big races dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
Read 23 tweets
Aug 3
#AZ06: Juan Ciscomani takes 48-20 lead with 53% of estimated GOP vote in. For Dems, former state Sen. Kirsten Engel leads state Rep. Daniel Hernandez 61-34 with 65% of estimated vote in. Biden would have won new seat just 49.3-49.2
57% of estimated vote in for #WA03 top-two. Dem Marie Perez at 32%, pro-impeachment Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler leads Trump-backed Joe Kent 25-20.
Over in #WA04 top-two, pro-impeachment Rep. Dan Newhouse at 27. Dem Doug White leads Trump's guy, Loren Culp 26-22 for second.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 3
Meijer takes a 50.5-49.5 lead with 55% of estimated vote in thanks to more votes out of his Kent County base. Again, not getting a winner for a while. #MI03
We're minutes from a LOT of results out of Arizona and Washington, though more votes will be tallied in both states over the coming days.
AP calls GOP primary for red #MO04 for Mark Alford, a former TV anchor in Kansas City.
Read 15 tweets
Aug 3
NO side leads in Kansas 66-34 with 45% of AP's estimated vote in. Much of populous Johnson County; no side up 72-28 with 70% reporting there; Laura Kelly got 55% there in 2018.
The AP has called #MIGOV GOP primary for Tudor Dixon. The conservative commentator was an also-ran until 5 opponents thrown off ballot, now GOP's nominee in huge race against Dem Gretchen Whitmer.
Latest votes were bad for Kobach. With 34% of estimated vote in, state Sen. Kellie Warren leads him 40-37 in GOP #KSAG primary.
Read 25 tweets

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