Bandits impose levies on farmers in many parts of the North. Terrorism, thinly disguised as banditry, as become a form of government in the north. Bar Kwara and Kogi - even in Kogi, ISWAP is becoming visible- there's no safe haven in the North.
Will 2023 poll hold?
Will 2023 poll hold?
The question answers itself and presupposes two "IFS".
1. If election doesn't hold, what will happen? If the election holds, what will happen?
a. It will precipitate a constitutional crisis.
b. Results will be written in virtually 17 states of the north
1. If election doesn't hold, what will happen? If the election holds, what will happen?
a. It will precipitate a constitutional crisis.
b. Results will be written in virtually 17 states of the north
2. If the conditions that appear now to threaten 2023 persist, what will happen?
If you are a student of history and an expert in military vanguardism, you'd know that it is these conditions that precipitate military putsch.
If you are a student of history and an expert in military vanguardism, you'd know that it is these conditions that precipitate military putsch.
If you throw in the factor I term X ( in 1983, it was the threat of the ruling party losing the moral power of governance; and 2023 may become the threat of opposition - read #Obidient- winning power) into the equation, there will be troubling times ahead.
The real opposition may come from outside. Will Western powers accept non-democratic regime change?
If there's assurance that their economic and national interests will be protected, it will be a done deal. The Brits may turn their eyes away; but the Americans, don't trust them
If there's assurance that their economic and national interests will be protected, it will be a done deal. The Brits may turn their eyes away; but the Americans, don't trust them
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