In this week’s edition, we will cover –
- Teams to Target
- Keepers Delight
- Options in Defence
- Midfield Debate
- Forwards Headache
- Captaincy Debate
Manchester City, Spurs, Chelsea and Liverpool are clearly the teams to target while picking players this GW based on data from @drafthound
Brighton & Brentford attack are also good shouts while data suggests avoiding Everton & Villa!
Our point of view –
If you are looking to Wildcard after GW8, do go through this image shared by @FPLOsama .
We can clearly see that Brighton attackers should be targeted for the next 3 games along with Nottingham and Newcastle defence.
Keepers Delight
With fixtures now coming thick and fast the only player from the best defence in the league who is least prone to rotation is Ederson. They now face a Villa side who have not been in good form with most of their attackers struggling (4 goals in 5 games)
Henderson is the man of the moment and the most in-form keeper. He ranks 1stfor saves/90 and goals prevented and now faces a Bournemouth side who have the worst xG so far and will be low on confidence after their performance against Liverpool.
Brighton have not kept a clean sheet in their last 6 meetings vs Leicester. On the other hand, Leicester have a tendency to find a way to score & have scored in each of their games so far. Just like last week, we feel you can avoid Sanchez for one more week.
Leeds have not started well defensively and have conceded in 4 out of their 5 games so far. To add to this, Brentford have been really good at home and have scored 6 goals in 2 games and are in Top 2 for big chances created (14 in 5 games) We would be avoiding Meslier yet again.
Options in Defence
Cancelo delivered yesterday, as expected. He was subbed off early which could mean he should start the game again this weekend.
Keeps on taking forward positions ✅
Best defence in the league ✅
James was kept out of the Saints game on Tuesday as a precaution and has already been seen back in the training pictures yesterday. He is now well rested & plays against a West Ham side who just can’t figure themselves out. We feel James should have a good outing this GW.
Forest will be facing a Bournemouth side who have already conceded 16 goals. Neco ranks 1st for threat amongst & shots taken & 3rd for xGi among defenders. BOU have also conceded most chances through their left flank & haven’t scored in 4/5 games (xG of 0.37 against Wolves)
Spurs have been solid defensively as are most Conte teams. They are in bottom 3 for xG Conceded, 2 clean sheets in 4 games & a total of 4 goals conceded. Considering the fixture congestion, we feel that Sanchez is the safest best in the Spurs defence while Romero is still injured
Robbo has not been his usual self this season. He is playing more like a forward body than a creator which suited his game earlier. Most of the chances are coming in from the right flank. With the coming fixture congestion, we feel he might be rotated with Tsimikas & can be sold
Midfield Debate
KDB was benched on Wednesday which makes it almost certain for him to start this weekend. He was first for big chances created and assists in the first 4 GWs. KDB will be crucial to break the defence such as Villa & we suggest to hold him atleast for this game.
Brighton have started really well this season. They rank 4th for xG in the league & now face a Leicester side who have already conceded 10 goals so far. Leicester have conceded most chances from their right and Trossard (7th for threat among midfielders) could benefit from this.
Kulu has been a better asset to own compared to Son who has not looked anything like last season so far. He comes at a cheaper price and has 1 goal & 2 assists in first 5 games and only behind KDB and Trent in terms of xA. Fulham have conceded 13 chances from their left flank ✅
With the main man - Rodrigo out, we don't have the confidence in investing in Leeds attack anymore. Brentford away is also a tough fixture for attackers. We will be avoiding their Mids.
With Nunez back next match, Diaz’s influence gets affected as we saw in matches before the red card. We feel with Wildcard coming into play soon, we can look to attack the fixtures by bringing in Brighton attackers instead.
Forwards headache
Fulham are currently amongst the worst 3 sides in terms of xGC in the league have conceded the most chances from the middle. Kane is in form currently with 4 goals in first 4 GWs and top 3 for xG. Looks like a perfect fixture for kane to shine
Leicester concede high number of their chances through the centre as well. Brighton are 4th in terms of xG and Welbeck ranks 3rd in terms of creativity among the forwards in the PL. Considering the defensive stats Leicester possess, this could be a good home game for Welbeck.
Brentford have been really good at home so far this season(6 goals in 2 home games). Now they face a poor defensive side in Leeds. Toney ranks first in terms of creativity & 2nd for big chances created among forwards this season& is owned by only 18.3% of the managers currently.
Fulham have not been good offensively away from home. Now they face a Spurs side who are in top 3 for xG Conceded and have so far only allowed 4 goals in 5 games. If you could, we would advice avoiding Mitrovic this week.
Villa have looked poor in attack this season and a fixture against the best defensive side isn't going to help Watkins. He continues to be on our avoid list.
Captaincy Debate
Sir Harry Kane has had a dreamy start to this season, unlike his previous seasons. He now plays a Fulham sidewho are in bottom 3 in terms of xG so far. He is probably the best captaincy option this week.
Haaland has taken the baton from Salah for being the FPL King (or has he not?). An absolute beast of a striker who can punish anyday on his day (and his days come most often than not) Villa have been conceding a lot of chances through the middle.
Salah absolutely loves playing against Everton (4 goals and 1 assist in 8 games). He finally looks to have got some form to carry into the derby and we would back the Egyptian king to deliver yet again. Perma captain fighting hard.
Everything you need to know from an FPL perspective from GW1 if you missed watching any of the games🙌
Bookmark for later reference💙
Let's. Get. Started.
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
xG (2.21 vs 1.70)
Big Chances: 3 vs 3
Defcon: VVD (21), Tavernier (20), Adams (19), Senesi (15)
- Liverpool kicked off their title defense with a thrilling 4-2 victory over Bournemouth at Anfield. Debutant Ekitike inspired a two-goal lead before Bournemouth's fightback leveled the score, but late strikes from Chiesa and Salah secured the points in a chaotic encounter.
- Liverpool started brightly, with Salah's 4th-minute curler tipped over by Petrovic and VVD heading over in the 5th minute. They took the lead in the 37th minute when Mac Allister offloaded to Ekitike, who poked through Senesi's legs and steered into the bottom-right corner. Ekitike headed over in the 39th minute, but Liverpool doubled their lead in the 49th minute as Ekitike held off his man and teed up Gakpo for a composed finish. Mac Allister forced a full-stretch save from Petrovic in the 52nd minute, but Bournemouth's double strike left Liverpool reeling. Slot's substitution of Chiesa for Wirtz paid off in the 88th minute, as Chiesa sliced a volley into the bottom-right corner from a cleared ball. Salah sealed the win in the 90+4th minute with a right-footed caress into the bottom-right corner after chasing Endo's clearance. Ekitike was outstanding on debut with a goal and assist, while Salah's goal and constant threat underlined his opener dominance. Liverpool's 19 shots, 10 on target, and 2.21 xG showcased their attacking prowess despite defensive lapses.
- Bournemouth threatened early, with Semenyo lunging over in the 7th minute from Truffert's whipped delivery. They missed a huge opening in the 35th minute when Tavernier scuffed straight at Alisson from Smith's pull-back. Trailing at halftime, Bournemouth ramped up pressure, with Brooks leaving a ball for Tavernier in the 63rd minute, though Tavernier scuffed again. Semenyo halved the deficit in the 64th minute, prodding under Alisson after Brooks' perfect ball on the counter. He leveled in the 76th minute with a blistering left-footed drill into the bottom-right corner after Traore's simple offload. Bournemouth's comeback faltered late, unable to capitalize further despite pressing. Semenyo was sensational with a brace and relentless runs, while Brooks' assist and speed sparked the revival. Bournemouth's 10 shots, 3 on target, and 1.70 xG reflected their spirited fightback, though defensive frailties cost them.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle
xG (0.20 vs 1.43)
Big Chances: 1 vs 2
Defcon: Onana (14), Cash (11), Schar (11), Burn(11)
- Aston Villa and Newcastle United played out a goalless draw at Villa Park where Newcastle dominated but couldn't convert their chances. The Magpies racked up 1.43xG through multiple opportunities, while Villa managed just 0.20 xG and were reduced to 10 men late on.
- Villa started defensively, absorbing Newcastle's early pressure without creating any chances in the opening half, managing 0.00 xG as their final-third presence was non-existent. The second half began brightly with Kamara's 47th-minute glancing header from a short corner saved by Pope at point-blank range. A whipped corner in the 54th minute bounced through the area and flashed wide of the far post. Konsa was sent off in the 66th minute with a straight red card for a foul on Anthony Gordon, leaving Villa shorthanded. They still threatened in the 87th minute when Watkins picked out substitute Malen, whose tight-angle shot was saved by Pope at the near post. Bizot was solid with key saves while Rogers' looked lively in the first half. An off day for Villa.
- Newcastle burst out strongly, with Elanga's 3rd-minute shot parried by Bizot and Gordon firing over on the rebound. Gordon had a shot saved in the 8th minute and headed over in the 11th minute from Barnes' cross. Elanga's 13th-minute volley flashed across goal, and Gordon's 16th-minute drive was tipped wide. Barnes set up Gordon for a blocked shot in the 27th minute, and Schar fired over from 25 yards in the 28th minute. After halftime, Newcastle continued pressing, with Trippier's 68th-minute free-kick leading to Schar's overhit shot. Barnes' 73rd-minute volley was blocked by Cash, and Tino Livramento's 81st-minute volley flashed across goal. Gordon's 88th-minute curler went over, and he had a 90+2nd-minute strike saved by Bizot. Osula's 90+4th-minute shot was blocked by Mings. Gordon was outstanding with multiple chances (5 shots), while Elanga's debut flair created opportunities. Newcastle's 15 shots, 3 on target, underlined their dominance but poor finishing.
Everything you need to know to about the key injuries, suspensions and late fitness doubts ahead of GW1✅
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ARSENAL
⚠️Trossard – Missed the last pre-season game due to a groin injury; Will be a late fitness call
❌Jesus – Knee injury; Potential return in Nov
ASTON VILLA
❓Rogers – Ankle sprain during pre-season; expected back in time for GW1 (75% chance); Watch out for Emery's press conference
⛔Martínez – Suspended for GW1
⚠️Barkley, Garcia- Knock is still being assessed
COMMON MISTAKES TO AVOID WHILE MAKING FPL TRANSFERS
Our chain of unconventional threads continue where we share the common mistakes made by a new FPL player ✅
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1. Weigh the pros & cons of taking hits (deducting points for extra transfers). A hit might be worth it for a key player or to address a major weakness, but consider the long-term impact on your points tally and alternative solutions.
2. Fixture schedules are crucial in transfer planning. Upcoming easy fixtures can make a player more attractive, while tough fixtures might make you hesitant. Balance short-term gains with long-term strategy and consider player consistency.
- Best Trent Replacements
- Keeper for the Season
- Wood: Keep or Sell?
- The Midfield Choices
- Mateta vs Marmoush vs Evanilson vs Joao Pedro
Bookmark & share this post if you like it ✅
- Best Trent Replacements
While so many managers have already sold the Liverpool fullback, here's a list of options, considering all factors, that you should consider if you're looking to replace Trent in your #FPL team:
The stand-out option is without a doubt, Gvardiol. With City's fixtures till the end of the season & his attacking instincts, he is a solid option, especially at his price of 6.0m. He is Top for xG (4.18), 2nd for xGI (6.66) & in the Top 10 for xA (2.48) this season.
- Cold Palmer - not anymore?
- Midfield Punts
- Time to get Haaland?
- Gvardiol vs N. Williams vs Kerkez
- TAA: Keep or Sell?
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- Cold Palmer - not anymore?
When asked whether it’s time to sell Palmer around GW26, we covered it as part of the Helpdesk and mentioned to HOLD him until BGW29, especially with the fixtures vs Southampton and Leicester.
We all know how that’s gone so it’s time to rethink.
Here’s a quick look at his stats from the last 4 GWs: