In this week’s edition, we will cover –
- Teams to Target
- Keepers Delight
- Options in Defence
- Midfield Debate
- Forwards Headache
- Captaincy Debate
Manchester City, Spurs, Chelsea and Liverpool are clearly the teams to target while picking players this GW based on data from @drafthound
Brighton & Brentford attack are also good shouts while data suggests avoiding Everton & Villa!
Our point of view –
If you are looking to Wildcard after GW8, do go through this image shared by @FPLOsama .
We can clearly see that Brighton attackers should be targeted for the next 3 games along with Nottingham and Newcastle defence.
Keepers Delight
With fixtures now coming thick and fast the only player from the best defence in the league who is least prone to rotation is Ederson. They now face a Villa side who have not been in good form with most of their attackers struggling (4 goals in 5 games)
Henderson is the man of the moment and the most in-form keeper. He ranks 1stfor saves/90 and goals prevented and now faces a Bournemouth side who have the worst xG so far and will be low on confidence after their performance against Liverpool.
Brighton have not kept a clean sheet in their last 6 meetings vs Leicester. On the other hand, Leicester have a tendency to find a way to score & have scored in each of their games so far. Just like last week, we feel you can avoid Sanchez for one more week.
Leeds have not started well defensively and have conceded in 4 out of their 5 games so far. To add to this, Brentford have been really good at home and have scored 6 goals in 2 games and are in Top 2 for big chances created (14 in 5 games) We would be avoiding Meslier yet again.
Options in Defence
Cancelo delivered yesterday, as expected. He was subbed off early which could mean he should start the game again this weekend.
Keeps on taking forward positions ✅
Best defence in the league ✅
James was kept out of the Saints game on Tuesday as a precaution and has already been seen back in the training pictures yesterday. He is now well rested & plays against a West Ham side who just can’t figure themselves out. We feel James should have a good outing this GW.
Forest will be facing a Bournemouth side who have already conceded 16 goals. Neco ranks 1st for threat amongst & shots taken & 3rd for xGi among defenders. BOU have also conceded most chances through their left flank & haven’t scored in 4/5 games (xG of 0.37 against Wolves)
Spurs have been solid defensively as are most Conte teams. They are in bottom 3 for xG Conceded, 2 clean sheets in 4 games & a total of 4 goals conceded. Considering the fixture congestion, we feel that Sanchez is the safest best in the Spurs defence while Romero is still injured
Robbo has not been his usual self this season. He is playing more like a forward body than a creator which suited his game earlier. Most of the chances are coming in from the right flank. With the coming fixture congestion, we feel he might be rotated with Tsimikas & can be sold
Midfield Debate
KDB was benched on Wednesday which makes it almost certain for him to start this weekend. He was first for big chances created and assists in the first 4 GWs. KDB will be crucial to break the defence such as Villa & we suggest to hold him atleast for this game.
Brighton have started really well this season. They rank 4th for xG in the league & now face a Leicester side who have already conceded 10 goals so far. Leicester have conceded most chances from their right and Trossard (7th for threat among midfielders) could benefit from this.
Kulu has been a better asset to own compared to Son who has not looked anything like last season so far. He comes at a cheaper price and has 1 goal & 2 assists in first 5 games and only behind KDB and Trent in terms of xA. Fulham have conceded 13 chances from their left flank ✅
With the main man - Rodrigo out, we don't have the confidence in investing in Leeds attack anymore. Brentford away is also a tough fixture for attackers. We will be avoiding their Mids.
With Nunez back next match, Diaz’s influence gets affected as we saw in matches before the red card. We feel with Wildcard coming into play soon, we can look to attack the fixtures by bringing in Brighton attackers instead.
Forwards headache
Fulham are currently amongst the worst 3 sides in terms of xGC in the league have conceded the most chances from the middle. Kane is in form currently with 4 goals in first 4 GWs and top 3 for xG. Looks like a perfect fixture for kane to shine
Leicester concede high number of their chances through the centre as well. Brighton are 4th in terms of xG and Welbeck ranks 3rd in terms of creativity among the forwards in the PL. Considering the defensive stats Leicester possess, this could be a good home game for Welbeck.
Brentford have been really good at home so far this season(6 goals in 2 home games). Now they face a poor defensive side in Leeds. Toney ranks first in terms of creativity & 2nd for big chances created among forwards this season& is owned by only 18.3% of the managers currently.
Fulham have not been good offensively away from home. Now they face a Spurs side who are in top 3 for xG Conceded and have so far only allowed 4 goals in 5 games. If you could, we would advice avoiding Mitrovic this week.
Villa have looked poor in attack this season and a fixture against the best defensive side isn't going to help Watkins. He continues to be on our avoid list.
Captaincy Debate
Sir Harry Kane has had a dreamy start to this season, unlike his previous seasons. He now plays a Fulham sidewho are in bottom 3 in terms of xG so far. He is probably the best captaincy option this week.
Haaland has taken the baton from Salah for being the FPL King (or has he not?). An absolute beast of a striker who can punish anyday on his day (and his days come most often than not) Villa have been conceding a lot of chances through the middle.
Salah absolutely loves playing against Everton (4 goals and 1 assist in 8 games). He finally looks to have got some form to carry into the derby and we would back the Egyptian king to deliver yet again. Perma captain fighting hard.
We cover:
- Fulham: Worth the hype?
- Best Cunha replacements
- Amad vs Enzo vs Rogers
- Time to get Spurs assets back?
- Robinson vs Hall
- When to Wildcard?
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- Fulham: Worth the hype?
There has been plenty of talk amongst the #FPLCommunity about picking Fulham assets into their next teams ahead of GW17. Let’s look into the possible reasons and some suggested choices:
The run-in that includes four fixtures against teams in the bottom 5 for xGC this season, is one of the key reasons behind the popularity.
We cover:
- Is Haaland back?
- Budget Defenders
- Double ARS defence - the way ahead?
- Amad vs Enzo as the enabler
- Isak or Jackson - Once again
- Trent vs VVD vs Robbo
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- Is Haaland back?
Last GW marked some sort of return for the main man. A goal and two bonus points helped him end with 8. But even that didn't justify his 15M price tag.
City lost again midweek to Juventus and there are no signs of improvement as much as Pep might want to
showcase it. United have been a happy opponent for City in the PL in the recent past but considering they play Villa away after that as well, we feel Salah + Saka + Palmer is the way to go for this December fixture run!
Everything you need to know from FPL perspective for GW14 if you missed watching any of the games 🙌
Bookmark for later reference 💙
Let's. Get. Started.
Newcastle United vs Liverpool
xG (1.97 vs 1.69)
- A game which in all fairness ended with the correct scoreline. Both teams played well and deserved a point at the least. Newcastle took the lead with an Isak screamer which was followed by Salah special and he rescued Liverpool once again this season all on his own. A late equalizer from Newcastle and it ended 3-3
- Newcastle started the first half on top and pressed Liverpool really well, excellent. Stifled Liverpool's ability to build out from the back. Thereafter, Liverpool's misery was further compounded by not winning the aerial duels or second balls in the first half. They missed a lot of chances and it could have genuinely been a lot more from Isak. He is a very good option going forward. Gordon had a good couple of moments. Their defence isn't good and we would stay away.
- It was one of those games were Liverpool didn't really play well but thanks to their EGYPTIAN HERO, they can go home with a point. Gomez and Quansah aren't really good players and showed us why. Kelleher had his first bad game in a while and could have done well twice. Liverpool’s attacking flourished, with Salah more central and working around Núñez, as Alexander-Arnold repeatedly advanced. TAA came on in the second half and showed us why he is the premium defender. SALAH is the FPL KING and needs to be in the HALL OF FAME.
Southampton vs Chelsea
xG (1.56 vs 5.43)
- Chelsea continued their fine run of form with a 5-1 victory away at Southampton, who were reduced to 10 men.
- Chelsea went in front early on through Disasi’s header but were quickly pegged back. They reclaimed the lead through goals from Nkunku and Madueke, before Palmer and substitute Sancho added to their lead in the second half. Felix created the most chances (3), while Jorgensen only had 3 saves to make on his PL debut. They moved into 2nd on the PL table with a superior GD than Arsenal, and are the league’s top scoring team with 31 goals.
- It was a miserable night for Southampton and that started after they had equalised early on through a goal by Aribo. Stephens was shown a red card in the first half after an entanglement with Cucurella. They did not have many answers to the rampage of Chelsea’s attacking power, and conceded 12 big chances and 51 touches in their own box.
We cover:
- Isak vs Jackson
- Time up for Wolves assets?
- Timber vs Gabriel vs TAA
- Best Midfield Enablers
- Spurs Attackers: Keep or Sell?
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- Isak vs Jackson
This season:
Price: 8.4m vs 8.2m
Goals: 5 vs 8
Assists: 3 vs 4
xG/90: 0.48 vs 0.59
xGi: 0.60 vs 0.64
Bonus Points: 10 vs 12
Ownership: 16.1% vs 28%
The Bois Pick: Jackson
While both teams have favorable fixtures, Jackson stands out with stronger underlying stats and plays for a more functional team. Chelsea, thriving under Maresca are 1st for xG, 2nd for Big Chances Created (51) and have scored the most goals, so far.
Everything you need to know from FPL perspective for GW13 if you missed watching any of the games 🙌
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Let's. Get. Started.
Liverpool vs Manchester City
xG (3.53 vs 0.80)
- Another game and another disappointing performance by Pep's team. Feel its a habit now and whenever we cover Manchester City we start with disappointment. 7 games without a win now and 7 games without a clean sheet. Okay, let's give City this one because they haven't been keeping clean sheets since last season but how disappointing has their attack been this season? Awful. Liverpool, on the other hand, were brilliant and Gravenberch and VVD especially were amazing yesterday. Salah's continued his rich form with yet another goal and an assist and delivered the final chokeslam.
- Let's start with VVD because he had a massive game and humbled Haaland as well as dominated most set pieces. He really played well alongside Trent who was on fire as well. He got in a lot of good position, especially because of City's non existing midfield. Salah's assist was a thing of beauty as he and Gakpo caught Walker sleeping yet again. Salah's creative game has gone up a notch which makes him an even better FPL asset. Overall, a very energetic performance from Liverpool.
- Haaland was lost. Absolutely nothing from him. ZERO contribution in the whole game. Pocketed, humbled and taught to be respectful. His other team members were taught a similar story as well. Silva was playing as a CDM which was astonishing. Rico Lewis played and ran like a kid once again with no physicality. The downside of Foden needs to be studied. He has been so so so bad this season after winning the player of the season in 2023/24. City tried to have more control in the second half but didn't make anything of it. City were dominated and the different in quality was enormous. As much as Pep tries to stay positive, IT's NOT LOOKING GOOD BRUH.
Manchester United vs Everton
xG (0.79 vs 0.76)
• An easy win for the reds and a good outing for Amorim at Old Trafford. A brace each from both Rashford and Zirkzee rounded up a dominating win against an Everton side who made a lot of personal mistakes, especially from an United target - Braithwaite.
• Amad is sensational and we are just starting to see the best of him. His intelligence, skills, creativeness is just way above the rest of the United wingers. Think his position is now fixed in the starting 11. It was Zirkzee’s best game for United with runners around him and proper profiling. Rashford had a good game and thrived near the final third. Today marked the first time in almost two years that Rashford has scored two or more goals in a Premier League game, with the last instance of that coming back in February 2023 against Leicester City. Bruno with yet another dominating performance and providing 2 good assists. United's defending was top notch as well. Martinez was a monster but got himself a yellow card which means he will miss the game against Arsenal along with Mainoo. The only player who wasn't as good and could be out of the team soon is Dalot. He isn't a LWB and doesn't have a final ball. We don't rate him in the final third and we could see him replaced very soon (something to remember from FPL perspective)
• Everton have won just one of their last 32 Premier League away games against Manchester United (D8 L23), picking up a 1-0 victory in December 2013. There were some good moments from them as they actually pressed well and individual mistakes cost them hard. Pickford should also have done on two occasions and could have saved them but didn't. DCL was benched for the game and had no impact after coming on. United were actually scrambling for the longest time and Everton looked solid for the first 30 mins until a huge deflection gave United the led and then they took the next step and dominated. Everton now have the 2nd lowest chances created in the Premier League, Lowest goal scorers in the league, 7 wins in 35 matches and not a single goal scored since October!
We cover:
- Sell Haaland due to City’s form?
- Choices in Defence
- How to replace Wood?
- Time up for Brentford assets?
- Cunha vs Joao Pedro
- Midfield Mayhem
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- Sell Haaland due to City’s form?
Another disappointing performance from Manchester City and another week where the luck didn't favour Haaland. He now has just 2 goals from an xG of 8.1. A huge underperformance which stresses the fact that
Haaland is getting the chances but isn't able to convert them.
As bad as City have been in the last one month, Haaland still managed to score a brace midweek and he should be back amongst a lot of goals in the PL very soon.