Thread by @drbairdonline

Once you've looked at enough videos of nuclear, TNT & ANFO explosions, you realize the perpetrators of the 2020 #BeirutBlast actually stitched together this Frankenstein's monster from TWO huge explosions, one aboveground & the other belowground #25MonthsAndCounting

Thread
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It was the aboveground (possibly nuclear) bomb that produced the blast that rocked Beirut & the strange reddish mushroom cloud. And it was the belowground definitely nuclear 5+ kiloton bomb that blasted the grayish earth below the cloud, leaving behind a massive crater.
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If the word "nuclear" hasn't scared you off, you should know I premise my use of the word on the conclusion (discussed in numerous tweets) that the perps of #BeirutBlast & other state-directed terrorism for the past 40 years have mastered Minimum Residual Radiation (MRR) nukes
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Since almost everybody believes the 2020 #BeirutBlast was caused by an aboveground explosion involving 2750 tonnes of ammonium nitrate fertilizer, let's begin our comparative video analysis with the aboveground explosion.
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In an Aug 2021 thread I showed it was highly doubtful any of this AN could ever detonate, even more doubtful detonate simultaneously & even if they all miraculously detonated at once the configuration is not conducive to generating a concentrated blast
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https://twitter.com/drbairdonline/status/1426489486750326792

For their part, in #BeirutBlast aftermath, several teams of "experts" - who NEVER question the "official" AN story - based on analyses of blast arrival time, structural damage, seismic signals, etc., calculated an explosive yield ranging from 100 to 1100 tons TNT equivalent
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"Experts" use the term "TNT equivalent" to compare different effects (e.g., blast) of both nuclear and nonnuclear explosions by using various formulas to calculate how many, pounds, tons, kilotons, etc. of TNT it would take to produce the same effect.
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Although the "official" AN story is ridiculous, it is entirely possible that properly configured & detonated high explosives (HE) like TNT or ANFO could have been used. Indeed there are numerous examples of aboveground HE explosions used to generate exactly this kind of blast.
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Indeed, from late 1950s to early 1990s, US & Canada engaged in extensive program using aboveground hemispherical charges of TNT or ANFO with yields 450-4300 metric tons TNT equivalent as a way to test blast effects sidestepping nuclear test bans
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For our purposes, the most eerily similar HE test for comparison to the 2020 #BeirutBlast are the three tests of hemispherical charges employing 500 US tons TNT carried out by US & Canada on the island of Kahoʻolawe, Hawaii from Feb-June 1965
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Like the #BeirutBlast, the Sailor Hat tests (Bravo, Charlie & Delta) took place near open water, formed transient white Wilson clouds, had lots of reddish colors, created huge air blasts, blasted large craters & movie clips taken from land, air & sea capture all this
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However, using Windows Video Editor to examine the #BeirutBlast and Sailor Hat videos at 33 millisecond (ms) intervals (with t = 0 marking earliest appearance of a flash) reveals some major differences btwn the 500-ton TNT Sailor Hat blasts & the uncertain Beirut explosive
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For this analysis I will focus on the first of the Sailor Hat tests (Bravo) carried out 6 Feb 1965 b/c it is the best documented in the film & writings of Canadian chief scientist Dr. John Dewey as well as the only crater that was thoroughly measured
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First, let's examine the kind of fireball of 500-ton hemisphere of TNT sitting on Hawaiian basalt produces. After the initial flash (t = 0, ur) recedes, by 66 ms (ll) one can make out a bright white hemisphere that by 133 ms (lr) has spread slightly & become more yellowish.
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By 166 ms (ul) one can clearly see darkish ejecta with the glowing hemisphere becoming increasingly yellowish as more and more basalt is blasted out @ 300 ms (ur) & 600 ms (ll) while @ 766 ms (lr) you can even see ejecta splashing in the water.
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At 833 ms (l) one san see that the fireball is no longer really hemispherical & one can just make out the formation of a white Wilson condensation cloud, that by 1000 ms (r) (i.e., 1 second from the initial flash) only slightly obscures the fireball.
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By 1633 ms (ul) as the Wilson cloud lifts, one can see the fireball is increasingly reddish-orange with the base of what was the fireball increasingly covered by large blackish sections until there is no more fireball in contact with surface by 7600 ms (lr).
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From a distance we can see the fireball itself is simply slowly rising in the air - 2 sec (ul), 4 sec (ur), 6 sec (ll), 8 sec (lr) - as the fireball increasingly turns blackish
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After the fireball turns completely blackish @ 10 sec (ul), the still very hot cloud continues to rise as the base becomes narrower 12 sec (ur), 13 sec (ll) until the last still from the clip @ 13.733 sec (lr)
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So how does the known surface explosion of a 500-ton hemisphere of TNT compare to the #BeirutBlast? In short, not very well! First, although the Beirut flash is the same kind of bright white color, it is NOT a sphere. Is this b/c the detonation took place inside a warehouse?
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More amazingly the Beirut flash by 33 ms (ul) had transformed into a multi-colored fireball taller than the grain silos & continued expanding, rising, becoming more spherical & turning blacker @ 66 ms (ur), 100 ms (ll) & 133 ms (lr)
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Since quite a few "experts" have used this exact sequence of video images in support of the "official" 2020 #BeirutBlast narrative, it behooves us to examine more fully what this particular video has to reveal
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These "experts" used the radius of the Beirut fireball to calculate the explosive yield of the #BeirutBlast and in so doing showed the fireball @ 33 ms was almost perfectly spherical & the fireball was only slightly affected by ground surface effects as the fireball expanded
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What these "experts" seem to not know (or don't care) is that the critical thing about a fireball unaffected by ground surface effects is that there is NO way such an explosion is going to even compress the soil beneath it let alone BLAST a conventional crater!
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To demonstrate this w/o resorting to talk about nukes let me draw on the largest HE "air burst" ever carried out by US, the pre-Trinity detonation on 7 May 1945 of 100 tons of TNT stacked on a platform so that height of burst (HOB) was ~ 28 feet above the Alamogordo playa.
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The 100-ton TNT shot was a test run for Trinity, the 1st nuclear explosion 16 July 1945 on same spot, based on belief that blast properties were a function of cube root of explosive yield, thus 100 tons TNT @ 28 ft comparable to Trinity's estimated 4-5 kt TNT @ 100 ft
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It's hard to judge how much of the 100-ton TNT test shot's base we're seeing but fireball first appears nondescript (ul), forms a hemisphere 300 ms later (ur) & steadily rises to form a sphere @ 2 sec (ll) & continues to rise w/narrow cloud stem thru last still @ 5.5 sec (lr)
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The pre-Trinity 100-ton TNT test with its fireball did NOT blast a conventional crater. It merely compressed the ground forming a shallow "compression crater" abt 29 ft wide & less than 5 ft deep (seen in the lower right corner of photo next to Trinity's "compression crater")
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Based on cube-root scaling, Beirut's estimated 500 metric tons TNT - arranged the same way as pre-Trinity's 100 tons of TNT - would have to be stacked on top of a 36-ft high platform @ HOB = 49.5 ft inside that warehouse in order to create a similar blast as pre-Trinity
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To whatever minimal extent Beirut's fireball impacted the surface in the first 170 ms, it is clear that by at least t = 400 ms (before the Wilson cloud obscures the base) that the fireball is clear of the surface: 200 ms (ul), 300 ms (ur), 400 ms (ll), 500 ms (lr)
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Further confirming that Beirut's fireball did NOT blast a crater is the lack of any visual evidence of ejecta in the first 500 ms. In every HE hemispherical surface explosion video I've seen, there is always plenty of evidence of earth being ejected by fireball by 500 ms.
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That video is of "Minor Scale", claimed to be "the largest ever man-made non-nuclear explosion," detonating 4744 US tons ANFO poured in bulk into 44-ft radius fiberglass hemisphere, reported as equivalent to 4000 tons TNT, detonated 27 June 1985 at White Sands Missile Range.
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BTW, relevant to what I've just said about spherical fireballs, I believe that photo claimed by Wikipedia to be the "Minor Scale fireball immediately after detonation" is a FABRICATION. The official report has the photo you would expect from a hemispherical charge.
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In many ways the #BeirutBlast looks more like an ANFO (ammonium nitrate/fuel oil) explosion than TNT. Like Sailor Hat there's a bright flash (ul) followed by whitish hemisphere (ur) @ 33 ms. But like Beirut from 66 ms (ll) to 100 ms (lr) fireball disappears behind cloud/dust
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But whereas w/Minor Scale ANFO explosion you clearly see upward & outward ejection of earth as early as 66 ms (ul) - indeed Minor Scale looks like an underground nuclear explosion @ 300 ms (ur) & 500 ms (ll) - you see nothing like that by 500 ms w/the #BeirutBlast (lr)
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Indeed you don't see any sign of upward & outward ejection of earth until 2566 ms (i.e., 2.566 seconds after initial flash) (ul) as the Wilson cloud begins to lift, revealing a distinctly grayish ejecta below the reddish "cloud"
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Contrary to a typical "cloud stem" like that we've seen for Sailor Hat Bravo (left) where there the stem gets narrower as the "mushroom cloud" rises, in the #BeirutBlast (right) the "stem" actually gets WIDER over time
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Indeed the grayish ejecta seems to be coming NOT from any aboveground explosion but rather a very powerful UNDERGROUND explosion akin to (albeit much smaller than) Storax Sedan, the largest underground nuke (100 kt) ever detonated (July 1962) by US, 635 ft below the surface
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If the #BeirutBlast was too small to be a Storax Sedan, the height & mass of the grayish ejecta certainly makes this underground blast appear much more powerful than, say, Teapot ESS, a 1.2-kt device detonated 67 feet below the surface on 23 March 1955
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In addition to blasting out a huge crater, this #BeirutBlast underground explosion also generated a powerful air blast directed more vertically upward than horizontally, pushing up the earlier formed reddish "mushroom cloud" much higher in the sky
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The combination of the aboveground and belowground explosions - that were probably detonated almost simultaneously - ended up creating the Frankenstein's monster with which we began this thread, the likes of which the world had never seen before
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So what kind of explosive devices were these? How big were they? How deep and/or high were they detonated? Were they NUCLEAR or not? To start to answer these questions, I turn first to where I started back in Aug 2020 - the massive #BeirutBlast crater.
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https://twitter.com/drbairdonline/status/1292464143954350080

No official report has been released on #BeirutBlast crater. As I discuss in more detail on my website, Wikipedia claims diameter of 124 m reported by CNN (NYTimes said 140 m) & depth of 43 m reported by AFP. Those dimensions are generally accepted.
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drbairdonline.com/nuked/the-tell…

Few have a sense of HOW DEEP a 43-m deep crater actually is since it filled with seawater so quickly. It's the height of a 13-story building! #BeirutBlast crater is 3rd only to 100-m deep Storax Sedan (ur) & Soviet Chagan (lr) craters in terms of craters ever blasted my man!
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So could 500 tons TNT stacked on the floor of a warehouse in Beirut have blasted such a monstrous crater? NO WAAY! For example, 500 tons TNT sitting on Canadian prairie in Operation Snowball in 1964 blasted a crater 85 m diameter but ONLY 4 m deep (ignoring the upthrust)!
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The Snowball test wasn't an outlier. 1974 US Army compendium listed all crater data for surface hemisherical charges over sandy silty clay and came up with a correlation that shows 500 tons TNT would be expected to blast a crater 81.4 m in diameter but only 3.8 m deep.
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The official Minor Scale report stated on this largest of all manmade non-nuclear explosions (equivalent to 4 kt TNT): "The crater size was 345 feet in diameter (including the crater lip) and 80 feet in depth. The depth was about twice as deep as the predictions."
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Minor Scale authors were likely trying to inflate crater size b/c the standard for explosive cratering is to measure apparent crater dimensions from original ground surface, NOT top of the lip. Even so at 105 m wide & 24.5 m deep, Minor Scale much smaller than Beirut crater.
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Last we have the mysterious tale of the Sailor Hat Bravo crater. Today on Kahoʻolawe there is still a crater but this same exact spot was used by both Charlie & Delta, filled with sand before Delta & never officially measured as part of Operation Sailor Hat
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There is quite impressive film footage of what is likely the Sailor Hat Bravo crater blasted out of basalt but official dimensions were only 48 m diameter & 12 m deep, less than a third as deep as #BeirutBlast crater. The crater was reportedly filled in leaving no sign of it!
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Some might question whether the particular earth ejected by #BeirutBlast could've made a difference. NOT that much difference. The only info I've found is study of the grain silo construction that state there was ~16 m alluvial sand on top of chalk.
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hiddenarchitecture.net/beirut-grain-s…

So if even the largest non-nuclear explosive charge on the Warehouse 12 floor could NOT have blasted the #BeirutBlast crater, what could? It is clear from ALL the tomes on explosive cratering from 1600s thru WWI that ONLY an UNDERGROUND explosive could have done this.
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After WWII the US military engaged in numerous studies of aboveground, surface & underground explosive cratering although unfortunately many were classified and, as I've found in a study I'm working on now, published studies are increasingly suspect after circa 1980
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Fortunately some studies from 1950s & 1960s started becoming declassified (sometimes heavily redacted) beginning late 1970s. One study I've recently discovered & found most useful for forensic crater analysis is Capabilities of Atomic Weapons (1957 ed., declassified 1997).
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Figures 2-20 and 2-21 from Capabilities of Atomic Weapons (1957 ed) give quite clear-cut directions for how to calculate crater radius & depth based on burst height/depth & explosive yield in dry soil or soft rock.
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Although one could through trial & error use known crater radius & depth to backcalculate burst height/depth & yield, a far simpler approach is to simply come up w/polynomial equations for the Fig. 2-20 (l) & 2-21 (r) curves & use a graphing calculator to solve the equations.
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Interestingly solving the equations shows that the MINIMUM crater diameter is 141 m. The NYTimes 140 m wide crater has a MAXIMUM crater depth of 42.7 m while CNN's 124 m crater has a MAXIMUM crater depth of 39.0 m, both a bit shallower than "official" crater depth of 43 m.
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Solving the equations for the NYTimes 140 m wide crater at max crater depth 42.7 m comes up w/yield 5.40 kt TNT equivalent @ DOB 51.4 m (l). Solving for CNN 124 m wide crater at max crater depth 39.0 m comes up w/yield 3.81 kt @ DOB 46.6 m (r).
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Some "experts" - undoubtedly finding it hard to explain away 43-m deep crater - have proposed crater could NOT have been that deep. One study said crater MUST HAVE BEEN only 13.7 m deep while another claimed 4 m depth based on secret hydrographic survey done by Lebanese Navy!
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Actually, the table below (based on Figs. 2-20 & 2-21 assuming crater diameter 120 m) show shallower craters can require GREATER yields than deeper craters b/c charges would have to be at smaller depth of burst (DOB). A 15 m deep crater requires 47 kt @ 4 m ABOVE the surface!
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If even the smallest yield we can come up (3.08 kt) at all consistent with "official" dimensions (120 m crater diameter by 35 m depth) would still require DOB 28.7 m we are OBVIOUSLY talking about an underground NUKE rather than high explosives like Minor Scale.
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To give you an idea of what size nuclear device we are talking about, here's some images of W80 Intermediate Yield Strategic Cruise Missile Warhead manufactured by US in 1980s 11.8" wide x 31.4" long weighing 290 lbs that came in a 5 kt yield mod.
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nuclearweaponarchive.org/Usa/Weapons/W8…

As to how the perps placed that size nuke deep under Warehouse 12, they likely used a mobile drill rig that could easily drill the correct diameter borehole down required 30-60 m through 16 m alluvial sand into the chalk bedrock so that the nuke could be lowered to the bottom
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Of course, as I said in the 3rd tweet of this thread, I believe the perps used a Minimum Residual Radiation (MRR) nuke. A non-MRR nuke (like W80) would have left easily identifiable residual radioactivity all over Beirut & Mediterranean area wherever the dust settled.
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If you are NOT one of those who thinks the whole idea of an Minimum Residual Radiation nuke is a complete oxymoron (like "military intelligence"), take a look at what I've posted about them in numerous tweets, e.g., this thread.
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https://twitter.com/drbairdonline/status/1429235497298055168

If solid evidence screams the explosion HAS to be nuclear but there's NO radioactivity then I conclude the perps know how to HIDE the radioactivity. Furthermore I believe 5 nuclear states (US, USSR, Israel, France, China) have learned to do just that!
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https://twitter.com/drbairdonline/status/1309546684792225793

A 5.6 kt MRR nuke detonated 53 m below Warehouse 12 can explain the crater, grayish dust spewed out, rapid rise of reddish cloud & seismic activity, but what about the aboveground explosion that produced the reddish cloud & shock wave/air blast that devastated much of Beirut?
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Numerous "experts" have argued the reddish cloud is PROOF of ammonium nitrate explosion but I believe this claim is totally FALSE. In my research on "ammonium nitrate" explosions going back to 1921 Oppau, I have yet to come across a single one that produced a reddish cloud.
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Many "experts" have argued the "reddish" color of the #BeirutBlast cloud comes from the production of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) as a result of explosive decomposition of NH4NO3 but to me the orange-brownish color of NO2 (l) looks NOTHING like the "reddish" color of the cloud (r)
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Frankly in all my examination of nuclear & HE videos I've never seen anything like the palette of colors in the #BeirutBlast cloud. Indeed, I don't see how any HE could have created such a cloud. Which makes me suspect the aboveground bomb might be another 3rd-gen MRR nuke!
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Los Alamos physicist Ted Taylor asserted back in 1972 the amazing thing abt 3rd-gen nukes is they could be tailored to produce whatever combination of effects you want, even spew out "nothing but green paint"! If green paint, why not a palette of REDDISH colors?!
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For the #BeirutBlast, the perps obviously wanted a shockwave but did not want much in the way of initial or residual radiation, basically an MRR nuke which is essentially a "blast bomb."
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I have suggested one thing the perps definitely needed to avoid was interference w/videos of the explosion that they WANTED people to take, e.g. radiation/charged particles that physicist Heinz Pommer says interfered w/camera pixels in videos of nuclear strike in Yemen 2015
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There are other possibly better reasons to suggest the aboveground bomb might have been a 3rd-gen MRR nuke. Although I've never seen what the flash of a nuke detonated inside a building looks like, I find it curious the entire exterior of the warehouse lights up in the flash.
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There are indications (e.g., spherical fireball) the center of aboveground blast was well off the ground. I don't think the perps could've or would've wanted to stack enough HE atop a high platform to achieve this when they could simply hang an MRR nuke from the roof beams.
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As to the explosive yield & HOB of this aboveground nuke, I have no good correlations so I'll throw a bone to the "experts" and go with their range of 100-1100 tons TNT equiv (based on blast wave time of arrival, fireball, etc.) but with HOB the ceiling of Warehouse 12.
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Curiously, this range of 100-1100 tons TNT equivalent is EXACTLY the variable yield of the W-79 Mod 0 artillery shell, 8" wide, 44" long, & weighing 200 lbs that was also manufactured by the US in the 1980s!
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nuclearweaponarchive.org/Usa/Weapons/Al…
End of thread