🇪🇺 Commission President @vonderleyen about to give the State of the European Union speech #SOTEU - all female commissioners dressed in Ukrainian colours 💛💙
🇪🇺🇺🇦
(Sorry for the horrible snapshot quality)
🇺🇦 First Lady @ZelenskaUA is present and getting a standing ovation
Von der Leyen: “glory to a country of European heroes, Slava Ukraini”
“Sanctions are here to stay, now is not the time for appeasement but for resolve”
“We’re in this for the long haul”
VdL: “I want the people of the Western Balkans, Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia to know … you are part of our family, you are the future of our Union and our Union is not complete without you”.
“If we want to be credible when we ask candidate countries to strengthen their democracies, we must also eradicate corruption at home.”
A strong announcement on updates to the EU legal framework for fighting corruption - important to acknowledge that 🇪🇺 isn’t free from it
A very strong speech by @vonderleyen, calling things by their names - the international order is the very target of Russian missiles, & 🇷🇺 is not only waging a war on 🇺🇦 but on our energy, economy, values, and our future.
“Today Courage m has a name, and that name is Ukraine”
…where’s the edit button 😭 well, you get the message
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It’s absolutely correct to remind that this war is far from over. That’s why Ukraine needs strong & sustained support.
But one shouldn’t underestimate the Ukrainian successes of the past weeks and the substantial damage they have done to Russia either
So it’s entirely possible to cheer Ukraine’s successful counteroffensive while also being entirely realistic that the winter will be hard nonetheless.
Caution is important but should also be based on a realistic analysis of facts on the ground.
Russia has vast, but not endless resources. An overcautious assessment is likely to result from focusing too much on the still untapped Russian potential and too little on Ukraine’s proven abilities:
- quality vs. quantity of troops & equipment
- will to fight/ morale
At least he admits that he was completely wrong as recently as two weeks ago when he thought that whole Donbas would be in Russian hands within 6 months
Reminds me of how the chief of the German intelligence service had to be rescued from Kyiv because he didn’t see the invasion coming m.focus.de/politik/auslan…
🇫🇮 Foreign Minister Haavisto confirms what I suspected to be behind Finland’s decision not to join 🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇵🇱 in starting to reject all Russian citizens travelling with short-term Schengen visas: 🇫🇮 doesn’t consider all Russians a security threat, which would be required
Not surprising as it has been consistently emphasised in Finland that there’s no acute security threat directed against Finland currently (but Russia poses a future threat)
National and Schengen rules would allow a similar solution to be implemented in Finland as Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland will begin to implement from next Monday.
But it would require a decision to change the threat assessment, which Finland is reluctant to do
It’s just bonkers that stuff like this has to be said and it speaks volumes of the persistent tendency to ignore Ukrainians as as voice in matters that directly concern… well Ukraine
This really needs to change. It was a huge problem since 2014 that the focus was on Russian POV
Not only Putin made the mistake of not understanding what was going on in Ukraine and how the country changed since 2014. Because of the lack of a Ukrainian perspective in the discourse about the “Crimea crisis” (😵💫), the West also got Ukraine wrong
The consequences were not trivial. So many analysts overestimated Russia and underestimated Ukraine. And that had also (fatal !) policy implications: thinking that it’s no use to arm Ukraine properly ahead of the invasion and that it would be too big a provocation towards Russia
German voters should not accept a sudden amnesia as an excuse for years of bad energy policy and lack of risk management. But of course one also has to remember that Merkel was reelected again and again and no one strongly opposed the said bad policy.
Merkel’s rationale after 2014 was that Ukraine was the problem, and therefore Ukraine should be circumvented in the gas supply, so that Germany won’t get dragged into “Ukrainian problems” and become involved in the conflict
In the beginning of Russia’s invasion this year the discourse in Germany was for months on end, how far can Germany go without becoming a “warring party”. It was meant in the literal sense but fact is that Germany has been one of the main protagonists all along.
Hier ist es wieder, die false balance: ständig werden Leute eingeladen, über Themen zu sprechen, zu denen sie mehrmals demonstriert haben, schlicht nicht die Expertise zu haben. Nur weil sie aber eine *Meinung* dazu haben, wie auch immer abwegig die sein mag.
Es geht nicht darum, die freie Meinungsäußerung einzuschränken. Aber wenn Meinungen als Expertenwissen präsentiert werden, ist es hochproblematisch und macht eine sachliche Diskussion unmöglich. @dlfkultur
Wenn dann im schlimmsten Fall gar nicht mehr unterschieden wird, wer tatsächlich die relevante *Fach*expertise zu einem bestimmten Thema hat, kann das auch Folgen für politische Entscheidungsfindung haben.