In this week’s edition, we will cover –
- Teams to Target
- Keepers Delight
- Options in Defence
- Midfield Debate
- Forwards Headache
- Captaincy Debate
- Wildcard
Manchester City, Newcastle and Spurs are clearly the teams to target while picking players this GW based on data from @drafthound
Arsenal & Villa attack are also good shouts this week while data suggests avoiding Leicester & Wolves!
A callout here would be that Spurs have not looked anywhere close to what they were last season. So, think twice before doubling or tripling up on their players. Also, Everton have been good defensively. They aren’t a boogey team and shouldn’t be targeted.
Keepers Delight
Pope is the standout option for the managers who are wildcarding. Newcastle have conceded a lot of shots this season but most of them have been low XG which means one thing– SAVE POINTS. He now faces a side with the worst xG & worst for Big chances created so far
Ederson would be our second choice for this Gameweek. City are the best defensive side in the league (best xGC in the league) and play a Wolves side who are finding it difficult to score goals with just 3 goals so far this season. More points for Ederson can surely be on the way.
Arsenal have not kept a clean sheet in their last 3 games. They are now facing Brentford who have been really attacking at home (10 goals in 3 home games). Ramsdale himself has not been in a great form & not getting those save points. Avoid for now as there are better options.
Options in Defence
Wolves are in a mess right now with all their strikers injured & just signed Costa. They have found it tough to score(19th) & are in bottom 6 for xG. This makes Cancelo the best defender to own in the premium category– more so as he might start playing at RB
Newcastle have been good defensively & their opponents this GW have struggled both offensively & defensively. It's the attacking threat of Trippier which makes him a great option to own. He's on set pieces & ranks 2nd in terms of creativity among all defenders this season.
Leicester concede a lot of chances through their flanks. From what we have seen this season, Conte’s wingbacks are no less than strikers while attacking. They are at the end of a lot of crosses and whoever starts between Sess/Perisic this week, he could haul.
We will be avoiding Neco Williams this Gameweek as we do not expect Nottingham to keep a clean sheet against Fulham. They have now conceded 10 goals in last 3 games (even BOU managed to score 3 goals against them). Just relying on Neco's attacking return can be risky.
Midfield Debate
KDB ranks 1st for big chance involvements among all midfielders and 1st for xA in the premier league. Considering the fact that a lot of managers are looking to move on from Salah, KDB can be a like for like replacement if not better. Last season repeat? Please?
Southampton have conceded 6 goals in their 3 away games. Most of the chances have been conceded from their left flank where Bailey operates and we are backing the 4.7m midfielder to do well this week. He has done a good job in a lackluster Villa team so far.
Son hasn’t looked anywhere close to what he did last season. We know he overperformed his numbers last season too but this season has been BAD so far. Yes – so far because we know the quality of the player & that Leicester concede a ton from their flanks. Give him one last week.
Martinelli ranks 3rd for big chance involvements among midfielders & 2nd best for non-penalty xGi for midfielders priced at 6.5 or below. He's a set and forget pick at his price range & is also involved in most Arsenal attacks. We expect him to do well against Bretford this week.
Bournemouth have the 3rd worst xGC (expected goal conceded) in the league this season & have conceded 100 crosses down the left flank, more than twice as many as their right flank, and 25 more than any other team. Almiron will be operating from that wing and should do well.
Neto has 0 attacking returns in 6 Gameweeks now. It's time to move on from him as there are better options available now in the 6.5 million or below category. We feel he can become a good option from Gameweek 11, now that Diego Casta has been signed.
Forwards headache
There is not much to say about the FPL KING. He ranks 1st for goals scored, xG and big chance involvements in the league. He is a must have.
Mitrovic is another player who has certainly passed the eye test & backed it up with amazing stats- ranks 2nd in the league for goals scored & xG this season. He will be facing NFO this week who concede majority of their chances through the middle & have the worst xGC in league
Isak has had a good couple of games already for Newcastle. He should have scored against Palace too (couldn’t finish the chip)
Passed the eye test✅
He has been involved in 3 big chances so far & faces a BOU side who have already conceded 18 goals(majority through the middle)
Captaincy Debate
A well-rested Haaland will now play against a Wolves side who haven’t conceded a lot of chances but when they have, it’s been through the centre. Let’s just leave it here. Haaland will be our first recommendation for this week.
Leicester are in Bottom 5 for xGC (expected goal conceded) this season. 5 of the 16 goals that they have conceded have been to strikers. Losing Fofana won’t help them either and hence SIR HAROLD KANE is expected to continue his good run of form and deliver yet again.
Son has not had a great start to the season. He has lacked confidence but got into good positions in the last 2 games. If there is one game that can bring Son back in form, it is this Leicester game. The home advantage can be massive & we feel if Son starts, he could do well.
Wildcard
We have made a detailed video covering the Wildcard scenario and our draft!
Please note - Since United's game has been postponed as well, we can replace Rashford and Dalot in the draft with Maddison and Fofana or Keep Dalot as well.
Everything you need to know from an FPL perspective from GW1 if you missed watching any of the games🙌
Bookmark for later reference💙
Let's. Get. Started.
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
xG (2.21 vs 1.70)
Big Chances: 3 vs 3
Defcon: VVD (21), Tavernier (20), Adams (19), Senesi (15)
- Liverpool kicked off their title defense with a thrilling 4-2 victory over Bournemouth at Anfield. Debutant Ekitike inspired a two-goal lead before Bournemouth's fightback leveled the score, but late strikes from Chiesa and Salah secured the points in a chaotic encounter.
- Liverpool started brightly, with Salah's 4th-minute curler tipped over by Petrovic and VVD heading over in the 5th minute. They took the lead in the 37th minute when Mac Allister offloaded to Ekitike, who poked through Senesi's legs and steered into the bottom-right corner. Ekitike headed over in the 39th minute, but Liverpool doubled their lead in the 49th minute as Ekitike held off his man and teed up Gakpo for a composed finish. Mac Allister forced a full-stretch save from Petrovic in the 52nd minute, but Bournemouth's double strike left Liverpool reeling. Slot's substitution of Chiesa for Wirtz paid off in the 88th minute, as Chiesa sliced a volley into the bottom-right corner from a cleared ball. Salah sealed the win in the 90+4th minute with a right-footed caress into the bottom-right corner after chasing Endo's clearance. Ekitike was outstanding on debut with a goal and assist, while Salah's goal and constant threat underlined his opener dominance. Liverpool's 19 shots, 10 on target, and 2.21 xG showcased their attacking prowess despite defensive lapses.
- Bournemouth threatened early, with Semenyo lunging over in the 7th minute from Truffert's whipped delivery. They missed a huge opening in the 35th minute when Tavernier scuffed straight at Alisson from Smith's pull-back. Trailing at halftime, Bournemouth ramped up pressure, with Brooks leaving a ball for Tavernier in the 63rd minute, though Tavernier scuffed again. Semenyo halved the deficit in the 64th minute, prodding under Alisson after Brooks' perfect ball on the counter. He leveled in the 76th minute with a blistering left-footed drill into the bottom-right corner after Traore's simple offload. Bournemouth's comeback faltered late, unable to capitalize further despite pressing. Semenyo was sensational with a brace and relentless runs, while Brooks' assist and speed sparked the revival. Bournemouth's 10 shots, 3 on target, and 1.70 xG reflected their spirited fightback, though defensive frailties cost them.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle
xG (0.20 vs 1.43)
Big Chances: 1 vs 2
Defcon: Onana (14), Cash (11), Schar (11), Burn(11)
- Aston Villa and Newcastle United played out a goalless draw at Villa Park where Newcastle dominated but couldn't convert their chances. The Magpies racked up 1.43xG through multiple opportunities, while Villa managed just 0.20 xG and were reduced to 10 men late on.
- Villa started defensively, absorbing Newcastle's early pressure without creating any chances in the opening half, managing 0.00 xG as their final-third presence was non-existent. The second half began brightly with Kamara's 47th-minute glancing header from a short corner saved by Pope at point-blank range. A whipped corner in the 54th minute bounced through the area and flashed wide of the far post. Konsa was sent off in the 66th minute with a straight red card for a foul on Anthony Gordon, leaving Villa shorthanded. They still threatened in the 87th minute when Watkins picked out substitute Malen, whose tight-angle shot was saved by Pope at the near post. Bizot was solid with key saves while Rogers' looked lively in the first half. An off day for Villa.
- Newcastle burst out strongly, with Elanga's 3rd-minute shot parried by Bizot and Gordon firing over on the rebound. Gordon had a shot saved in the 8th minute and headed over in the 11th minute from Barnes' cross. Elanga's 13th-minute volley flashed across goal, and Gordon's 16th-minute drive was tipped wide. Barnes set up Gordon for a blocked shot in the 27th minute, and Schar fired over from 25 yards in the 28th minute. After halftime, Newcastle continued pressing, with Trippier's 68th-minute free-kick leading to Schar's overhit shot. Barnes' 73rd-minute volley was blocked by Cash, and Tino Livramento's 81st-minute volley flashed across goal. Gordon's 88th-minute curler went over, and he had a 90+2nd-minute strike saved by Bizot. Osula's 90+4th-minute shot was blocked by Mings. Gordon was outstanding with multiple chances (5 shots), while Elanga's debut flair created opportunities. Newcastle's 15 shots, 3 on target, underlined their dominance but poor finishing.
Everything you need to know to about the key injuries, suspensions and late fitness doubts ahead of GW1✅
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ARSENAL
⚠️Trossard – Missed the last pre-season game due to a groin injury; Will be a late fitness call
❌Jesus – Knee injury; Potential return in Nov
ASTON VILLA
❓Rogers – Ankle sprain during pre-season; expected back in time for GW1 (75% chance); Watch out for Emery's press conference
⛔Martínez – Suspended for GW1
⚠️Barkley, Garcia- Knock is still being assessed
COMMON MISTAKES TO AVOID WHILE MAKING FPL TRANSFERS
Our chain of unconventional threads continue where we share the common mistakes made by a new FPL player ✅
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1. Weigh the pros & cons of taking hits (deducting points for extra transfers). A hit might be worth it for a key player or to address a major weakness, but consider the long-term impact on your points tally and alternative solutions.
2. Fixture schedules are crucial in transfer planning. Upcoming easy fixtures can make a player more attractive, while tough fixtures might make you hesitant. Balance short-term gains with long-term strategy and consider player consistency.
- Best Trent Replacements
- Keeper for the Season
- Wood: Keep or Sell?
- The Midfield Choices
- Mateta vs Marmoush vs Evanilson vs Joao Pedro
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- Best Trent Replacements
While so many managers have already sold the Liverpool fullback, here's a list of options, considering all factors, that you should consider if you're looking to replace Trent in your #FPL team:
The stand-out option is without a doubt, Gvardiol. With City's fixtures till the end of the season & his attacking instincts, he is a solid option, especially at his price of 6.0m. He is Top for xG (4.18), 2nd for xGI (6.66) & in the Top 10 for xA (2.48) this season.
- Cold Palmer - not anymore?
- Midfield Punts
- Time to get Haaland?
- Gvardiol vs N. Williams vs Kerkez
- TAA: Keep or Sell?
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- Cold Palmer - not anymore?
When asked whether it’s time to sell Palmer around GW26, we covered it as part of the Helpdesk and mentioned to HOLD him until BGW29, especially with the fixtures vs Southampton and Leicester.
We all know how that’s gone so it’s time to rethink.
Here’s a quick look at his stats from the last 4 GWs: