Thread by @JBelcourt73

I bet Bejing is pissed. So as we all know by now, Medvedev says that Russia can use strategic nuclear weapons to keep Ukraine from liberating Ukrainian land. He didn't beat around the bush about it either. This follows on Putin's remarks about, "not bluffing". What many people

do not realize is how this will play in China. Xi just figured out he is shackled to a rabid dog. A primer on China's nuclear theory is needed. Despite what the US Mil-Ind complex and groups such as Rand like to say there was (as of 10-ish years ago the last time I looked) zero

evidence that China kept warheads mated to delivery systems the way the other P5 members do. armscontrol.org/blog/2019-08-2…

China has also publicly stated a no first use policy (along with India). Most other nuclear powers have more ambiguity for various reasons. If you are interested the search terms are "No First Use" or "NFU policy". Russia's recent statements however put China in a pickle.

China is now on the escalation ladder thanks to Russia. There is little doubt that Ukraine will continue to liberate its territory and it is highly likely but not assured that Russia is simply bluffing. What will Russia do when Ukraine regains more lost lands and peoples? For the

US and NATO the course of action is obvious, make sure that we don't get caught flat footed: surge SSN's into the Norwegian sea, make sure the tridents, minutemen and B-2's are armed and ready to go, and make sure strategic space assets are watching everywhere over Russia all the

time to get as much warning as possible. Yeah, big risks for miscalculations here but it is what it is. Fermi Paradox anyone? China however is in a special place in that she does have some actions she can take to de-escalate without consigning Ukraine to genocide. As the world's

oldest culturally contiguous urban civilization and one of the most densely populated nation's nuclear war would end her. It is not winnable for anyone, least of all China. China can either begin to escalate with everyone else, or she can begin to pressure Russia to wake the

fuck up. In pressuring Russia, China has more tools than we do. She is the sole support and source of many goods and most credit for Russia and her voice in the developing world is much more robust than anyone else thanks to Belt and Road. These can be powerful tools to isolate

Russia. Look, my intent is not to scare anyone, this is probably just mafioso threat display, but there is always a chance its not. If Russia does push the button, there is shit all anyone us can do. However, the worst thing to do is to acquiesce to the threat. It will only

embolden Russia to make more of them and actually move us closer to a nuclear winter. So keep supporting Ukraine, give to charities like @MriyaAid and the @georgian_legion. Stay informed via trusted sources like @MriyaReport. Counter Russian dis-info and promote Ukraine

in other parts of your life to keep public support up. Trust but push our leaders like @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, and @RepFrenchHill to stand up to Russia and not be bullied and then pray that God saves the world from madmen like Putin and Medvedev.

Until Ukraine wins on Ukraine's terms: Slava Ukraini! #russiaisateroriststate #nuclearweapons #nuclearterrorism #genocideofukrianians @mfa_russia <--- still losing and fuck your strategic nuclear weapons. You are writing yourselves out of the human race you sewer dwelling fucks.