You might have seen people using Open Interest, CVD, and Predicted Funding rates to help inform a trading position. ๐ ๐ป๐
So what exactly is this stuff? and how can you set it up yourself for free?
But first, a real-time example from 15th September when we shorted $ATOM at $15.22
Here's the thesis we wrote out to short $ATOM.
What were these "few other indicators"?
Here's the rest of the conversation below. I'll try to break down each piece and then show you how to set these indicators up yourself.
1. "Price up but volume declining"
This is pretty self-explanatory. A rally on decreasing volume shows signs of buyer exhaustion.
2. "open interest up (lots of people going leveraged long"
Open interest (OI) is simply the number of open derivatives contracts on a particular asset. For me, it shows that there has been a lot of activity in $ATOM, which is now vulnerable.
3. "spot is selling i.e. blue line, perps are buying i.e. red line"
CVD is a trend indicator. It shows the size in which spot has been bought/sold, and the same for perpetual buying/selling. The divergence between the two is often telling as perps tend to be more speculative.
and here is our recorded entry at $15.22
and our exit for a quick +$8.5k a few hours later at $14.65
So to get this up and running first head to coinalyze.net > Futures Data > Coins
In this example, I'll choose $ETH
You'll land here, which is in itself useful as it shows aggregated OI across different exchanges. But to get that granularity we want, we'll have to scroll down a bit..
and pick a specific instrument on a specific exchange. I'm going to pick the Binance ETHUSD_PERP (the first one) since it's one of the most liquid and most frequently traded on Binance.
Now you're on this TradingView chart again, but the Indicators Tab will have a whole bunch of indicators that are only available on @coinalyzetool
If you press the little settings/gear symbol, you can customise the "Style" of each indicator to get it looking how you want
A quick note on funding.. green means longs PAY funding to be long perps (everyone doing the same thing), and negative funding means that longs are getting PAID funding to be long (demand for shorts is high).
and the liquidations tab works like this:
-> green bar = number of shorts liquidated
-> red bar = number of longs liquidated
Now I'm not going to spell out how to use each of these as a lot of this comes from experience and has to be used in conjunction with other context-specific things like Macro, event risk, what's happening on the higher time frame chart etc.
This data is most useful on LTF like the 5 min or 15 minute when planning an exit or entry. In general, look for signs of froth in OI, crowded funding positioning, spot deviating from what perps are doing, and a relatively quiet period of liquidations (calm before a storm?)
You'll notice these charts disappear and you'll have to set it all up again if you close the tab you're on. I have a premium account and I think it's worth it. But by now y'all know I ain't the kinda guy to shill a ref link so figure out if it's worth it for you.
Peace โ๏ธ
โข โข โข
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> leaves high-paying job as an interest rate trader, consistently writes weekly rates roundups and has a powerful vision to usher in the next wave of use cases for fixed-rate DeFi
See, most of the large (DeFi) DAOs have their total treasury value in their native token. They can't really sell it (perhaps OTC), but they do need to a) diversify their treasury and b) raise cash for operational purposes.
I know @debtdao are building some interesting stuff in this space, i.e. a debt marketplace for DAOs, complete with automated verification of project cash-flows to help identify credit worthiness/set out loan terms.
TVL down, yields evaporating, depeg risk, protocol hacks, grave dancing on UST, and a terrible macro outlook.
A DeFi investor perspective.. ๐งต
Total Valued Locked (TVL) has dropped from over $240bn into January to around $110bn today (-55%).
In parallel, there has been a flight to safety towards USDC and DAI, where supply-side yields have collapsed to sub 2%. i.e. when yield is not paid in some BS farming token.
The end of my first week back after a much needed vacation.
Great to be back in flow with my farming team @_iammarkc and @juanbugeth and equally as much joy in connecting with various players in the DeFi space.
3 highlights from this week.. ๐งต
1. @Instadapp where I can create #DeFi strategies such as collateral swaps, one-click deposit and borrow, and debt swaps all in one simple transaction.
2. @indexcoop who we are working with to build systematic arbitrage opportunities in index format, such as extracting the sustainable yield from ETH funding markets. This excites me as in TradFi I built and traded systematic investment strategies for large insitutions.
They help you understand positioning in the leveraged markets. Funding rates below 0.01% are bullish (green). Funding rates above 0.01% are bearish (red)
2. Aggregrated indicators for Open Interest (OI) and Cumulative Delta Volume (CDV). It helps understand the volume and direction of futures and options markets. coinalyze.net/ethereum/open-โฆ
3. Orderbook heatmaps using tradinglite.com . Helps visualise where limit buys and sells are placed across the major spot and future exchanges. Also helps to identify levels of support and resistance. Sometimes you can see spoofing in real time!
ETH is down more than -8% since we reported yesterday. Our portfolio is -3.3%.
Escalating concerns over Russia & Ukraine has led to this marketwide selloff. Our thoughts and plan are below..
We have taken more profits on some trades in the high-risk bucket. Proceeds used to accumulate and stake some $PTP in order to accrue vePTP - so we can get some boosted yield on our stablecoin deposits on Avalanche. By Tuesday, the boosted APR on stables (USDT) should be 32.1%.
We will then use that farmed PTP to enter the AVAX-PTP LP on beefy.finance which has been steadily paying around 800% APY. When we look to enter an LP like this, we also analyse the APY/TVL ratio's and can see that after a launch high, it has been very steady.