Jeff Gilchrist Profile picture
Sep 24, 2022 43 tweets 13 min read Read on X
COVID-19: Things everyone should know (Part 1: Immune System)

With poor public health messaging, the general public doesn't seem to know some important things about how COVID-19 and the immune system actually works. 🧵1/ Image
This thread will highlight some at a very high level without going into too much scientific jargon and references will be left for the end. 2/
Did you know that the COVID-19 virus (SARS-CoV-2) actually has the ability to actively suppress and hide from multiple parts of your immune system? Even if you have been vaccinated or previously infected, some immune cells that were trained to identify the virus will not see...3/
...that your cells are infected because the virus can turn off the early warning system of the infected cell to call for help. Normally your infected cells can trigger an alarm and immune cells will kill them, but have now become invisible. 4/
Not only that but the virus is pretty sneaky and sets up a secret compartment inside the cell to replicate where it can't easily be detected by some of the immune system sensors. 5/
That is one of the reasons why the COVID-19 vaccines don't completely prevent infection because the virus can hide long enough from your immune system to replicate in large enough numbers to be infectious to others even if you don't get seriously ill. 6/
The newer COVID-19 variants are getting better and better at suppressing and evading the immune system which is why so many people are becoming reinfected again. 7/
The current COVID-19 vaccines you get in your arm, generate blood antibodies throughout your body which provide protection in most organs but do not generate many antibodies in your nose and upper airway where the virus enters your body. 8/
It turns out you need local (mucosal) antibodies in these areas to protect your upper airway and brain from infection, which is another reason why the intramuscular vaccines do not completely stop infection. 9/
New nasal spray COVID-19 vaccines are being developed and now approved in some countries (India, China) that will generate these mucosal antibodies. You may have heard that vaccine protection "wanes" over time but what does that mean? 10/
When your immune system first encounters a new virus (whether you get infected or get your first vaccine dose) your immune system will generate antibodies to fight the virus and prevent them from infecting your cells. 11/
The first exposure takes longer to generate antibodies (10-20 days depending on type) so it takes a while to fight off the virus (or build immunity from a vaccine dose). Naturally over time the antibody levels drop after the virus is gone since your body can't use energy... 12/ Image
...to keep high levels of antibodies for every pathogen it has ever encountered. Instead, it creates memory immune cells so it can create more antibodies to fight off the virus should you get exposed again. 13/
The next time your immune system encounters the same virus, it can respond much faster, mobilizing the memory cells to generate new antibodies and this time it only takes 3-10 days instead of 10-20 days. 14/ Image
With COVID-19 actively suppressing and hiding from parts of the immune system, it can replicate long enough and fast enough for you to become infectious even if you were previously infected or vaccinated before the antibody levels get high enough to fight off the virus. 15/
Thankfully immune system memory can generate antibodies fast enough to protect most people from serious illness, even if it doesn't stop you from being contagious. 16/
Since immune memory takes time to build up antibodies when exposed to the virus, people have more protection from infection and severe disease when antibody levels are still relatively high so they can spring into action immediately. 17/
Antibody levels tend to hit their maximum levels within a month of getting exposed and then slowly decline over time with much faster declines between 4 and 6 months. 18/
This is why you typically see recommendations to get booster doses between 3 and 6 months after your last dose because antibody levels have decreased significantly by 6 months. 19/
What happens when you get multiple doses of vaccines? First, most of the vaccines people received as children to protect against other diseases needed multiple doses. 20/
Vaccines for measles, mumps, rubella, HPV, hepatitis B are all 2 doses, and Diphtheria, Tetanus, and Pertussis are all 4 dose vaccines, with tetanus needing a booster every 10 years. 21/
For the COVID-19 mRNA vaccines specifically, the first dose generates antibodies to a certain level and immune cells look at certain parts of the COVID virus spike that is given in the vaccine and memorize it. 22/
The second dose generates antibodies to an even higher level than the first, and the immune system memorizes even more parts of the spike protein. 23/
So far this has continued where subsequent doses generate higher and higher levels of antibodies which then take longer to decrease below a minimum threshold because they start out higher. 24/
Since the immune system continues to learn about different parts of the virus spike even though the virus has been mutating, it will still recognize the virus and generate a response, but antibodies are less effective against newer variants that have mutated significantly. 25/
Getting a booster dose after 6 months restores and likely increases your antibody levels to a higher level which temporarily provides more immediate protection should you be exposed to the virus again. 26/
The new bivalent booster doses also include one of the newer variants like BA.1 (Canada, UK) or BA.5 (USA) so your immune system will learn about some of the mutations and hopefully be able to identify new variants more easily. 27/
If you do get infected, do you know how long you are contagious for? Studies have found that with the Omicron variant, 75% of people they tested after 5 days from symptom onset were still contagious, 50% of people after 8 days, and 24% of people after 10 days. 28/
This is not just testing positive, but they actually cultured the virus to see if it was still viable and replicating. So that means if people only isolate for 24 hours or even 5 days after testing positive, they are likely still contagious and could be infecting others. 29/
Rapid Antigen Tests (RATs) are great for this purpose since they only test positive when there is a high viral load detected which means you are likely contagious. 30/
Have you heard or been told that tests can be positive for weeks or months after infection? That is the PCR test which amplifies the RNA signal and is usually done in a lab. 31/ 👇Click "Show Replies" to continue thread...
Since PCR tests can detect very low levels of virus, testing positive doesn't tell you if you are still contagious and can test positive long after you are no longer contagious. 32/
But since RATs testing positive almost always means you are contagious, they can be used to help see when you stop being contagious and then safely leave isolation. 33/
But... What you really want to do is prevent becoming infected in the first place. Each time you get infected or reinfected there is a chance you can develop long-term consequences or possibly permanent damage to your body as COVID-19 is not a cold. 34/
While being vaccinated can reduce the chance of developing Long COVID, even 1 in 10 vaccinated people who got infected developed Long COVID. 35/
Infection puts people at increased risk of heart attack, stroke, cardiovascular issues, blot clots, brain damage, neurological and many more issues even months after infection. This happens in both adults and children, and even with mild infections. 36/
This means that we can't rely on vaccines alone, but need to invest in additional measures that are variant proof. Part 2 will discuss how the virus is transmitted and ways to help reduce the risk of becoming infected. 37/
For people who want a web link to share, you can find it here: threadreaderapp.com/thread/1573772…
Part 2 of this thread on transmission and protection is now available here:

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More from @jeffgilchrist

Jun 1
*** Ontario Virus Update | June 1 ***

Hospitalizations due to COVID have decreased from 38 to 21 in the last update. Influenza hospitalizations decreased from 51 to 44 and RSV decreased from 20 to 18 so moving in the right direction but still not finished for the season yet. 1/ This stacked bar chart displays weekly new hospitalizations in Ontario specifically attributed to COVID-19, Influenza, and RSV. The data tracks the fluctuating volume of patients over time, highlighting seasonal surges and the relative contribution of each respiratory virus to the overall healthcare burden.
Looking at age groups, those age 75+ had the highest rates of hospitalization due to COVID but decreased since last update. Tied for second place are the 0-4 and 65-74 age groups. 2/ This 100% stacked area chart illustrates the weekly proportion of COVID-19 hospital admissions per 100,000 population in Ontario across different age groups. The graph visualizes how the relative distribution of hospitalizations shifts over time among demographics ranging from infants to seniors aged 75 and older.
COVID case rates decreased across most age groups this past update except for age <1 which had a significant increase and almost matching the same levels as age 80+. The 1-4 and 60-79 age groups currently have the same rates. 3/ This multi-line graph tracks the weekly rate of COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population in Ontario, categorized by various age groups from infants to seniors aged 80 and older. The data trends highlight the fluctuations in infection rates across different demographics over the year.
Read 10 tweets
May 30
Filtering the air may help prevent your own infection from becoming more severe

If everyone in a household becomes infected with the same virus, does it help to isolate from each other and can you be a danger to yourself? Read on to find out...🧵1/

#AirQuality #IAQ #Ventilation This grouped bar chart, titled "COVID Positive Abnormal Chest CT by Air Quality Setting", displays the percentage of abnormal chest CT scans among COVID-positive patients across three different tiers of air quality control. The graph compares overall and asymptomatic cases, illustrating a clear downward trend in the percentage of abnormal scans as air filtration and ventilation efficiency improve from household levels to high-efficiency aerosol control.
An interesting hypothesis-generating study was published recently that asked if an infected person's condition can become even worse by re-inhaling their own virus particles ( ). 2/sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Is a transition from a milder upper respiratory tract infection (runny nose, sore throat) to a more severe lower respiratory tract infection like pneumonia is significantly driven by the physical mechanism of inhaling virus containing aerosols deep into the lungs? 3/
Read 26 tweets
May 24
*** Ontario Virus Update | May 24 ***

Hospitalizations due to COVID have increased from 34 to 38 in the last update. Influenza hospitalizations decreased from 57 to 51 and RSV decreased from 33 to 20. 🧵1/

#Ontario #Virus #COVID #RSV #Influenza #Hospital This stacked bar chart displays weekly new hospitalizations in Ontario specifically attributed to COVID-19, Influenza, and RSV. The data tracks the fluctuating volume of patients over time, highlighting seasonal surges and the relative contribution of each respiratory virus to the overall healthcare burden.
Looking at age groups, those age 75+ had the highest rates of hospitalization due to COVID but decreased since last update. Second place is age 65-74 which increased, and third place is age 0-4 which also increased. 2/ This 100% stacked area chart illustrates the weekly proportion of COVID-19 hospital admissions per 100,000 population in Ontario across different age groups. The graph visualizes how the relative distribution of hospitalizations shifts over time among demographics ranging from infants to seniors aged 75 and older.
COVID case rates were fairly stable across age groups this past update except for age 80+ which had a significant decrease but still maintain the highest rates. The 0-4 and 60-79 age groups currently have similar rates. 3/ This multi-line graph tracks the weekly rate of COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population in Ontario, categorized by various age groups from infants to seniors aged 80 and older. The data trends highlight the fluctuations in infection rates across different demographics over the year.
Read 10 tweets
May 10
*** Ontario Variant Update | May 10 ***

In Ontario, the NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus" variant family shot to 74.7% of sequenced genomes from COVID tests while the XFG.* "Stratus" family dropped to 15.8% and the BA.3.2 "Cicada" family decreased below 10% again.🧵1/
#Ontario #COVID #Variant This multi-line chart tracks the lineage frequency of various COVID-19 variant families in Ontario over time, based on sequenced genome samples. The graph illustrates the changing prevalence of specific variant families, showing how different lineages compete and evolve as the dominant strains within the province.
Ontario released another month of sequencing data by age and we continue to see high ratios of Cicada in children with another 51 BA.3.2.2.* sequences out of 617 new sequences ( ). 2/publichealthontario.ca/-/media/docume…
With 126 Cicada sequences from 1,828 total, we see children still have the highest proportion which decreases after age 5-11 as age increases with significant drops from age 60+. 3/ This bar chart illustrates the percentage of the BA.3.2.* Cicada COVID-19 variant lineage among different age groups in Ontario over a designated time period. The graph visualizes the relative prevalence of the lineage across demographics, highlighting how the variant is distributed from young children to seniors aged 80 and older.
Read 11 tweets
Apr 28
*** Ontario Variant Update | Apr 28 ***

There was some competition for variant dominance during the month of March but the NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus" family currently holds first place with 49.5% while the XFG.* "Stratus" family sits at 38.1% of sequenced genomes from COVID tests. 🧵1/ This multi-line chart tracks the lineage frequency of various COVID-19 variant families in Ontario over time, based on sequenced genome samples. The graph illustrates the changing prevalence of specific variant families, showing how different lineages compete and evolve as the dominant strains within the province.
The BA.3.2 "Cicada" family has been slowing climbing and now above 10%. 2/
Looking at specific variants, RC.5 Nimbus currently holds first place at 13.4%, SH.1 Nimbus is a close second at 13.3%, RC.6 Nimbus is making a comeback at 11.3%, XFG.1.1.2 Stratus is at 8.2%, RT.2 Cicada at 7.2%, PQ.2.1 Nimbus at 5.2%, and RE.1.2 Cicada at 2.1%. 3/ This multi-line chart tracks the lineage frequency of emerging COVID-19 subvariants in Ontario over time, based on genomic sequencing data. The graph visualizes the shifting percentage of total cases represented by each specific lineage, highlighting the growth and competition of various viral strains.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 13
*** Ontario Virus & Variant Update | Apr 13 ***

Hospitalizations due to COVID have gone down from 153 to 123 in the last update. Influenza hospitalizations decreased from 59 to 47 and RSV decreased from 110 to 85. 🧵1/

#Ontario #Virus #Variant #COVID #RSV #Influenza #Hospital Graph of New hospitalizations in Ontario due to COVID, Influenza or RSV.
Looking at age groups, those age 75+ had the highest rates of hospitalization due to COVID but decreased since last update. Second place is age 0-4 and their levels are currently increasing while age 65-74 has the third highest rate and also decreased since last update. 2/ Graph of New hospitalization rate in Ontario due to COVID by age group (100% Stacked).
The youngest age group 0-4 currently have a hospitalization rate due to COVID that are 17x higher than age 5-17, 17x higher than age 18-49, and 2.8x higher than adults 50-64. 3/
Read 25 tweets

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