Jeff Gilchrist Profile picture
Sep 24, 2022 43 tweets 13 min read Read on X
COVID-19: Things everyone should know (Part 1: Immune System)

With poor public health messaging, the general public doesn't seem to know some important things about how COVID-19 and the immune system actually works. 🧵1/ Image
This thread will highlight some at a very high level without going into too much scientific jargon and references will be left for the end. 2/
Did you know that the COVID-19 virus (SARS-CoV-2) actually has the ability to actively suppress and hide from multiple parts of your immune system? Even if you have been vaccinated or previously infected, some immune cells that were trained to identify the virus will not see...3/
...that your cells are infected because the virus can turn off the early warning system of the infected cell to call for help. Normally your infected cells can trigger an alarm and immune cells will kill them, but have now become invisible. 4/
Not only that but the virus is pretty sneaky and sets up a secret compartment inside the cell to replicate where it can't easily be detected by some of the immune system sensors. 5/
That is one of the reasons why the COVID-19 vaccines don't completely prevent infection because the virus can hide long enough from your immune system to replicate in large enough numbers to be infectious to others even if you don't get seriously ill. 6/
The newer COVID-19 variants are getting better and better at suppressing and evading the immune system which is why so many people are becoming reinfected again. 7/
The current COVID-19 vaccines you get in your arm, generate blood antibodies throughout your body which provide protection in most organs but do not generate many antibodies in your nose and upper airway where the virus enters your body. 8/
It turns out you need local (mucosal) antibodies in these areas to protect your upper airway and brain from infection, which is another reason why the intramuscular vaccines do not completely stop infection. 9/
New nasal spray COVID-19 vaccines are being developed and now approved in some countries (India, China) that will generate these mucosal antibodies. You may have heard that vaccine protection "wanes" over time but what does that mean? 10/
When your immune system first encounters a new virus (whether you get infected or get your first vaccine dose) your immune system will generate antibodies to fight the virus and prevent them from infecting your cells. 11/
The first exposure takes longer to generate antibodies (10-20 days depending on type) so it takes a while to fight off the virus (or build immunity from a vaccine dose). Naturally over time the antibody levels drop after the virus is gone since your body can't use energy... 12/ Image
...to keep high levels of antibodies for every pathogen it has ever encountered. Instead, it creates memory immune cells so it can create more antibodies to fight off the virus should you get exposed again. 13/
The next time your immune system encounters the same virus, it can respond much faster, mobilizing the memory cells to generate new antibodies and this time it only takes 3-10 days instead of 10-20 days. 14/ Image
With COVID-19 actively suppressing and hiding from parts of the immune system, it can replicate long enough and fast enough for you to become infectious even if you were previously infected or vaccinated before the antibody levels get high enough to fight off the virus. 15/
Thankfully immune system memory can generate antibodies fast enough to protect most people from serious illness, even if it doesn't stop you from being contagious. 16/
Since immune memory takes time to build up antibodies when exposed to the virus, people have more protection from infection and severe disease when antibody levels are still relatively high so they can spring into action immediately. 17/
Antibody levels tend to hit their maximum levels within a month of getting exposed and then slowly decline over time with much faster declines between 4 and 6 months. 18/
This is why you typically see recommendations to get booster doses between 3 and 6 months after your last dose because antibody levels have decreased significantly by 6 months. 19/
What happens when you get multiple doses of vaccines? First, most of the vaccines people received as children to protect against other diseases needed multiple doses. 20/
Vaccines for measles, mumps, rubella, HPV, hepatitis B are all 2 doses, and Diphtheria, Tetanus, and Pertussis are all 4 dose vaccines, with tetanus needing a booster every 10 years. 21/
For the COVID-19 mRNA vaccines specifically, the first dose generates antibodies to a certain level and immune cells look at certain parts of the COVID virus spike that is given in the vaccine and memorize it. 22/
The second dose generates antibodies to an even higher level than the first, and the immune system memorizes even more parts of the spike protein. 23/
So far this has continued where subsequent doses generate higher and higher levels of antibodies which then take longer to decrease below a minimum threshold because they start out higher. 24/
Since the immune system continues to learn about different parts of the virus spike even though the virus has been mutating, it will still recognize the virus and generate a response, but antibodies are less effective against newer variants that have mutated significantly. 25/
Getting a booster dose after 6 months restores and likely increases your antibody levels to a higher level which temporarily provides more immediate protection should you be exposed to the virus again. 26/
The new bivalent booster doses also include one of the newer variants like BA.1 (Canada, UK) or BA.5 (USA) so your immune system will learn about some of the mutations and hopefully be able to identify new variants more easily. 27/
If you do get infected, do you know how long you are contagious for? Studies have found that with the Omicron variant, 75% of people they tested after 5 days from symptom onset were still contagious, 50% of people after 8 days, and 24% of people after 10 days. 28/
This is not just testing positive, but they actually cultured the virus to see if it was still viable and replicating. So that means if people only isolate for 24 hours or even 5 days after testing positive, they are likely still contagious and could be infecting others. 29/
Rapid Antigen Tests (RATs) are great for this purpose since they only test positive when there is a high viral load detected which means you are likely contagious. 30/
Have you heard or been told that tests can be positive for weeks or months after infection? That is the PCR test which amplifies the RNA signal and is usually done in a lab. 31/ 👇Click "Show Replies" to continue thread...
Since PCR tests can detect very low levels of virus, testing positive doesn't tell you if you are still contagious and can test positive long after you are no longer contagious. 32/
But since RATs testing positive almost always means you are contagious, they can be used to help see when you stop being contagious and then safely leave isolation. 33/
But... What you really want to do is prevent becoming infected in the first place. Each time you get infected or reinfected there is a chance you can develop long-term consequences or possibly permanent damage to your body as COVID-19 is not a cold. 34/
While being vaccinated can reduce the chance of developing Long COVID, even 1 in 10 vaccinated people who got infected developed Long COVID. 35/
Infection puts people at increased risk of heart attack, stroke, cardiovascular issues, blot clots, brain damage, neurological and many more issues even months after infection. This happens in both adults and children, and even with mild infections. 36/
This means that we can't rely on vaccines alone, but need to invest in additional measures that are variant proof. Part 2 will discuss how the virus is transmitted and ways to help reduce the risk of becoming infected. 37/
For people who want a web link to share, you can find it here: threadreaderapp.com/thread/1573772…
Part 2 of this thread on transmission and protection is now available here:

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More from @jeffgilchrist

Apr 28
*** Ontario Variant Update | Apr 28 ***

There was some competition for variant dominance during the month of March but the NB.1.8.1.* "Nimbus" family currently holds first place with 49.5% while the XFG.* "Stratus" family sits at 38.1% of sequenced genomes from COVID tests. 🧵1/ This multi-line chart tracks the lineage frequency of various COVID-19 variant families in Ontario over time, based on sequenced genome samples. The graph illustrates the changing prevalence of specific variant families, showing how different lineages compete and evolve as the dominant strains within the province.
The BA.3.2 "Cicada" family has been slowing climbing and now above 10%. 2/
Looking at specific variants, RC.5 Nimbus currently holds first place at 13.4%, SH.1 Nimbus is a close second at 13.3%, RC.6 Nimbus is making a comeback at 11.3%, XFG.1.1.2 Stratus is at 8.2%, RT.2 Cicada at 7.2%, PQ.2.1 Nimbus at 5.2%, and RE.1.2 Cicada at 2.1%. 3/ This multi-line chart tracks the lineage frequency of emerging COVID-19 subvariants in Ontario over time, based on genomic sequencing data. The graph visualizes the shifting percentage of total cases represented by each specific lineage, highlighting the growth and competition of various viral strains.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 13
*** Ontario Virus & Variant Update | Apr 13 ***

Hospitalizations due to COVID have gone down from 153 to 123 in the last update. Influenza hospitalizations decreased from 59 to 47 and RSV decreased from 110 to 85. 🧵1/

#Ontario #Virus #Variant #COVID #RSV #Influenza #Hospital Graph of New hospitalizations in Ontario due to COVID, Influenza or RSV.
Looking at age groups, those age 75+ had the highest rates of hospitalization due to COVID but decreased since last update. Second place is age 0-4 and their levels are currently increasing while age 65-74 has the third highest rate and also decreased since last update. 2/ Graph of New hospitalization rate in Ontario due to COVID by age group (100% Stacked).
The youngest age group 0-4 currently have a hospitalization rate due to COVID that are 17x higher than age 5-17, 17x higher than age 18-49, and 2.8x higher than adults 50-64. 3/
Read 25 tweets
Mar 22
*** Ontario COVID Hospitalization Rates by Age ***

Data is now available for hospital admissions due to COVID by age group going back to Oct 2021. This provides interesting insights into how much children have been impacted with serious infections compared to adults. 🧵1/ Graph of New hospitalization rate in Ontario due to COVID by age group (100% Stacked).
Chart of COVID hospital admissions per 100k population by age group from Oct. 2021 to Aug. 2025 in Ontario, Ottawa, and Toronto.
We have heard from many sources throughout the pandemic that COVID isn't serious in children or they are not impacted as much as adults with some people still claiming this today. 2/
What about today, with lower circulation happening more recently and not the huge waves seen in the past, is anyone even being hospitalized for COVID anymore? The most recent update (week of March 8, 2026) there were 188 people hospitalized in Ontario due to COVID. 3/
Read 20 tweets
Mar 14
*** Ontario Virus & Variant Update | Mar 14 ***

Hospitalizations due to COVID have gone down from 190 to 138 in the last update. Influenza hospitalizations remained stable around 49 and RSV decreased slightly from 194 to 184. 🧵1/

#Ontario #Virus #Variant #COVID #RSV #Influenza Graph of New hospitalizations in Ontario due to COVID, Influenza or RSV.
Looking at age groups, those age 75+ had the highest rates of hospitalization due to COVID but decreased since last update. Second place is age 65-74 and their levels are currently decreasing while age 0-4 has the third highest rate and also decreased since last update. 2/ Graph of New hospitalization rate in Ontario due to COVID by age group (100% Stacked).
The youngest age group 0-4 currently have a hospitalization rate due to COVID that are 11x higher than age 5-17, 5.5x higher than age 18-49, and 2x higher than adults 50-64. 3/
Read 16 tweets
Jan 11
*** Ontario Virus & Variant Update | Jan 11 ***

Hospitalizations due to COVID increased from 176 to 241 in the last update. Influenza hospitalizations have start dropping from the peak of 1,400 to 1,095 with RSV increasing from 121 to 156. 🧵1/ Graph of New hospitalizations in Ontario due to COVID, Influenza or RSV.
Looking back over the past few years, new hospitalizations for RSV have remained pretty stable the last two years around 2,500 and a decrease from 2023, while COVID has been significantly dropping each year, 26,571 in 2023 to 15,739 in 2024 to 6,788 in 2025. 2/ Graph of New hospitalizations in Ontario due to COVID, Influenza or RSV, grouped by calendar year.
Influenza has been doing the opposite, increasing significantly each year from 3,486, to 4,380 in 2024, to 12,818 in 2025. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Oct 25, 2025
How does various mask fit compare to filter the air and protect you or others?

Most masks, even baggy blue procedure masks use filtering material that can filter 95%+ of particles that pass through it, but the key is "pass through it". 🧵1/ Bar chart titled “Equivalent Exposure Time to Unmasked Person.” The chart compares how long different masks/respirators extend the equivalent exposure time relative to being unmasked. The x-axis shows unmasked infection times of 1, 5, and 10 minutes. The y-axis shows equivalent masked exposure time, ranging up to 5000 minutes. Seven mask types are represented by colored bars: - Procedure mask (loose fit, FF=2) - Ear loop mask (tight fit, FF=6) - Vertical bifold headband mask (FF=30) - N95 headband masks with fit factors of 100, 200, and 500 Key pattern: higher fit factor masks dramatically ...
Protection mostly depends on how well that mask fits your specific face and one that does not fit well, much of the air you breathe will go around the filter material and filter 0% of those particles. 2/
There has been a chart going around recently that talks about "Time it takes to transmit an infectious dose of COVID-19" which is misleading if you don't understand all of the details of how that table was made and what each component means. 3/
Read 25 tweets

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