Today in Beijing, I investigated the #chinacoup so you don’t have to. At considerable personal risk, I ventured out to some neuralgic key points in the city. Disturbing finds. Brace yourselves. /1
This is Xinhua Gate, the main entrance to the Zhongnanhai compound, where the entire central leadership resides and works, including Xi Jinping.
Elite paratroopers have wrested control over the gate, cunningly disguised as the five middle-aged dudes who always stand there. /2
Nearby Tian’anmen Square swarms with thugs in plainclothes. I’ve been in China long enough to know these are not tourists. /3
Rebels in army fatigues guard the headquarters of the State Grid, controlling electricity supply in the capital. /4
The Second Ring Road close to the Foreign Ministry.
One of Beijing’s main thoroughfares, it has been closed off to civilian traffic. A column of military vehicles stretches about 80 kilometers from here to some place in Hebei. /5
In front of the Central Station, holdouts from army units loyal to Xi have dug themselves in, guarding that crucial railway hub from their positions fortified with sandbags. /6
Alas, hope is dim. Coup reinforcements arrive in armored personnel carriers.
Send us your thoughts and prayers. /end
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Chinese police stations overseas have caused global outrage.
It’s been under-appreciated that these stations were not set up by the central government, but by the police of individual Chinese cities, one of which is Qingtian.
We went there and made interesting discoveries /1
Qingtian has a population of ~500,000. According to local authorities, an additional 330,000 people from Qingtian live abroad.
Traders who dealt in sculptures crafted from pyrophyllite, a colorful mineral abundant in the mountains around Qingtian, were the first to emigrate /2
This started in the late Qing period. Today, there are Qingtian communities all over the world, particularly in Italy and Spain.
Returnees have introduced foreign cuisines to this rural town. The only other place in China where I’ve found such decent Italian fare is Shanghai /3
About that #Hamburg port deal: From my perspective, not a national security problem per se, as #Cosco gets no controlling stake and there won’t be a sale of physical infrastructure or land, but only of company shares.
BUT
1/
The dealmaking apparently was highly dubious. If a partner blackmails you with rerouting freight if you don’t sell him a stake, he’s maybe not such a desirable partner to begin with.
2/
RECIPROCITY. There is NO WAY China would ever, ever allow a foreign entity to acquire a stake in one of its own ports, let alone the country’s most important one.
3/
Hartmut Rosa ist die nächste intellektuelle Enttäuschung. Seine Vorstellung, man könne China als Friedensmakler mobilisieren, schreit von einem erheblichen Unverständnis und Uninformiertheit über den strategischen Outlooks Chinas spiegel.de/politik/deutsc…
China sieht sich als aufsteigende und die USA als absteigende Macht. Noch nie, so sieht man es in Peking, hat ein Hegemon friedlich den Staffelstab an die nächste Supermacht übergeben. Eine Eskalation mit Washington scheint aus dieser Warte unvermeidlich
Das ist das Long Game, auf das China sein Verhalten ausrichtet. Ja, es liegt in Pekings Interesse, dass der Krieg in der Ukraine rasch endet. Gewichtiger ist allerdings das Interesse, den Westen keine Punkte machen zu lassen und dabei den strategischen Partner RU zu schwächen
Yesterday, I landed in Germany for a visit. It’s the first time I left China in ~10 months.
Some first random observations 🧵
1. Frankfurt airport was full of people, and almost nobody was wearing a mask. UNTHINKABLE in China.
It felt liberating, but frankly also quite reckless. I’ll need time to wean off my Chinese pandemic socialization.
2. Frankfurt is beautiful! The architecture - built, re-built and preserved over centuries.
What a difference to Chinese cities, which have been totally remade during recent decades of rapid growth and where history often is erased, apart from a few stand-alone historic sites.