Todays post is a bit different. I am going to tackle the Russian myth that they won WWII and that the allies were bit players. This is a historic lie. Starting off let us admit, that most of the dying was done in the east, but dying is not how you win
wars. Second, most of the German army was tied down in the east but this is not in and of itself important. There was a lot of German kit that could have changed the course of the war in the East except for the allies. Take for example the 88mm gun. The German's in the East
never had enough of them because of the need to defend Germany from allied heavy bombers. Ditto the German air force that was forced to surrender the skies to the VVS in order to defend Germany and her logistics like Ploiesti? How much steel and diesel was diverted to the U-boat
campaign, concrete for the Atlantic Wall, armored reserves kept out of the USSR and tied down in Italy or in France, or lost in North Africa. It's not about the bulk of the troops, but about the margins of Soviet victories. Would they have been possible if Germany was fighting a
one front war? That is the first thing to consider. The answer to that is in the second part. Soviet losses in material, territory, industrial capacity and population were compounded by Stalin's move to ship everything he could east. Yes, this preserved a nucleus of Soviet
production capacity but it meant that until 1943 the USSR would be running mostly on pre-war stocks of ammunition. The low ebb was the Summer of 42 when the Germans actually had numerical superiority. The failure of the Soviet spring offensive, industrial disruption and the
losses in 41 left the Sovet's almost out of tanks. It wasn't much better with small arms, artillery ammunition, motor transport etc. Allied tanks manly British played a role in the Soviet victory at Stalingrad and Sherman's began arriving in Russia before the 6th Army surrendered
in early 43. Lend lease would play an increasingly vital role in the Soviet war effort in the end amounting to half the Soviet explosives used, almost all its high-octane fuel for combat aircraft, 1 in 4 planes, most 4x4 trucks, a huge portion of its AFV fleet, radios etc. Again,
it is not just the numbers, but the margins of Soviet victory. Could the USSR have done it without lend lease? I think a Germany not distracted in the West, and a USSR not supported by the West ends up with a holocaust zone stretching from the Bay of Biscay to the outskirts of
Moscow that lasted far longer than it did in actual history. Germany had a real shot at beating the Soviets thankfully the Nazi Regime much like Putin's regime was horribly corrupt and unfocused and more interested in evil than in winning. Germany got as far as she did because of
professionalism of the German Army. Luckily, Putin does not have a professional army. The Z as half the swastika is actually very fitting... All the evil, none of the professional army. Also, fitting is Russian fascists are now on the receiving end of Western military aid. From a
low ebb running out of tanks, ammunition and kit of all kinds the Ukrainians are increasingly equipped with the modern implements of war by the Free World. Again, it is about the margins. Ukrainian valor is exceptional, but valor does not counter WWI levels of artillery.
Valor +HIMARS though.... Russia is losing, has ultimately lost this war the way it was being fought. She lacks the resources to change. Mobilization of manpower equipped with rusty rifles and tanks 40 years out of date won't change that. Thats why Putin ordered sham referenda to
set the stage for more nuclear threats. Actually, following through on them however would be the equivalent of Hitler declaring war on the US on Dec 11, 1941. It sealed his fate and doomed Germany to have every one of its cities reduced to rubble. Except the dead won't number
350K, but millions. Russians know this, the talking heads openly admit it. Its bluster, and even if its not we must stay the course or eventually it won't be. If Putin wants a second front, we can't stop him. All we can do is make sure that it's there if he wants it by demanding
that our political leaders like @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton and @RepFrenchHill stay strong and continue to support @POTUS. We also have to do our part in making sure Russian narratives do not control the public discourse. #NAFO and the #FELLAS are fighting this fight, join us.
You can also donate to worthwhile charities like @MriyaAid, @UkraineAidOps or support combat units like @georgian_legion. Also important is promoting Ukraine and Ukrainians into the other parts of your lives. Your passion carries more weight that a news blurb from a corrupted
media establishment. How many times have you seen me promote @Teoyaomiquu, @MrKovalenko, @ferlain, @katalina_ada, @krides and others? I talk about them with my local friends as well. Give them a follow and lets those close to you know that you care about Ukraine. We must do our
part. Until Ukraine wins on Ukraine's terms: Slava Ukraini! #GenocideOfUkrainians #russiaisateroriststate #MobilizationInRussia @mfa_russia <--- still losing and now with Lend-Lease bitches.
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More from @JBelcourt73

Sep 27
This short clip from @bayraktar_1love says more about the modern Russian way of war as it regards its own troops than anything else I have seen. Hooley phuq.... These guys are screwed six ways from Sunday. I don't feel bad for them, they voted for this shit after all when they
marched to the commissariat in September rather than in the streets in February. We should all be thankful they really are that stupid. Can you imagine the world of hurt we would all be in, if the Russian's were even half as efficient as their ideological warfighting inspiration
the Mongols were? When the Mongols showed up and taught the early Russian's what real war was like the steppe horsemen had world class officers and logistics, highly trained and well-equipped troops and a ruthlessness that would make anyone but a Roman legionnaire blanche. They
Read 15 tweets
Sep 26
@mtracey, to answer your question in a longer more conversational format, yes I do see some issues here. Ok if anyone wants to follow along his post is here.
1. The first major issue is of course that 7 months in, Zelensky still does not have all the arms he needs to make sure his nation can fight and win a war against imperial aggression in order to stop a #GenocideOfUkrainians
2. The second major issue, Russia is moving to annex territories that she herself vouchsafed multiple times. Other than the genocide this is the big issue. If Russia cannot be a reliable partner because she steadfastly adheres to her legal obligations then she is at best a rouge
Read 16 tweets
Sep 24
Can't sleep so I guess I will get an early start on today's essay. Yesterday's blew up and caught me completely flatfooted as I did not consider it among my best works but it obviously resonated. That probably says more about you my readers than it does about me. Nuance is
important and the way I pointed out that Russia is using mobilization to affect an ethnic cleansing of its own minority populations hit a nerve. It shows that despite all the Russia Fuck OFF flying around twitter my readers at least realize that a big chunk of the Russian
population are actually captive peoples and only have value to Kleptograd in the provision of slave soldiers. WE see this idea that its someone else's duty to fight for Russia in the long lines of Russian men trying to flee. Now that they might get a notice (vs minorities being
Read 15 tweets
Sep 23
Mea Culpa, I was wrong. I really thought Russia calling up 300k reserves in the first wave of mobilization meant Russia was calling up 300k men who had recently served or had specialist skills. Nope, turns out its just a giant ethnic cleansing operation in Russia's Asian oblasts.
I mean how else do you describe raiding college classrooms, ethnic Armenian participation at 90% while ethnic Russian neighbors are single digit, and some villages having lost 25% or more of their men? About the only ethnic Russian's finding themselves in this fiasco are those
who showed up at the protests which at this point look like recruitment drives to further isolate average Russians in Moscow and St Petersburg from the war wrecking the rest of the country. So, yea 300k "reserves" is as legit as the sham referenda that started today. My apologies
Read 20 tweets
Sep 22
I bet Bejing is pissed. So as we all know by now, Medvedev says that Russia can use strategic nuclear weapons to keep Ukraine from liberating Ukrainian land. He didn't beat around the bush about it either. This follows on Putin's remarks about, "not bluffing". What many people
do not realize is how this will play in China. Xi just figured out he is shackled to a rabid dog. A primer on China's nuclear theory is needed. Despite what the US Mil-Ind complex and groups such as Rand like to say there was (as of 10-ish years ago the last time I looked) zero
evidence that China kept warheads mated to delivery systems the way the other P5 members do. armscontrol.org/blog/2019-08-2…
Read 13 tweets
Sep 21
So the long awaited "Russian Mobilization" has arrived. No, its not partial, that is poppycock. Its phased which is what I predicted. So lets dig into what it means shall we? There are 3 big take aways and then a bunch of ancillaries.
First, and the most beneficial to the Russian Army is the stop loss effect. Kontracti can no longer quit, contracts no longer expire and thousands of refuseniks now face prison if they do not submit. From a manpower perspective this is the peach, but there is a poison pit in the
center. This will not be good for morale. Telling a soldier he can't leave when he already wants to, when morale is at a low ebb and battlefield success seems impossible and that his fate by remaining is to join his comrades on sunflower duty is going to wreck cohesion. Putin's
Read 22 tweets

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