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Def Mon Profile picture
@DefMon3
Sep 25, 2022 • 14 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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Update 🧵September 25th.
Visit the interactive map for more details and explanations.

Todays presentation is brought to you by a Russian war hero.

Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper… Image
Yesterdays thread
75 shelling locations were reported by GSUA today. Image
FIRMS Data: 2022-09-25_18:20
Added 31 locations to kml
Filtered 30 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 57 false positives Image
Kup'yans'k
Based on shelling locations, I believe the AFU has established 2 bridgeheads in the Kup'yans'k area. Image
Lyman.
I belive the AFU has established atleast 5 crossings over the Oskil and SD river. The reason the russians are prepared to defend Lyman until the last man, is it's a key blocking positions for the axis of advance east of the Zherebets river. Image
Once Lyman falls, the axis west of Zherebets will have their flank protected by the eastern axis and they can start advancing towards Svatove.
RuAF have moved some reinforcements to the Siversk-Soledar area, but i do not think they will pose a threat to the AFU offensive.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed RuAF attacks in the area of Vymika, Soledar, Zaitseve and Kurdyumivka. It seems like RuAF have spread their forces more evenly along the line rather than focusing on the south side of Bakhmut. Image
I do not see any risk of Bakhmut being captured by RuAF in the foreseeable future.
Donetsk
RuAF tried to advance in the area of Pervomais'ke, Novomykhailivka and Pavlivka. They were plagued by smoking accidents and had to turn around. Image
Kherson
Not a lot of news is coming out of here. Kherson police reported the Russians are shelling the town Arkhanhel's'ke (not close to/in the area of). I think this indicates the AFU are in the town, but RuAF might also be in the other part of the town. Image
Russian hero. I'm sorry I forgot where I found it, so I can not give credit.
I was asked to draw why Lyman is important to the Russians. I hope this explains it.
With Ru in Lyman, the southern axis of advance towards Svatove will vulnerable. ImageImage

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More from @DefMon3

Def Mon Profile picture
Jul 14, 2024
The Russians have captured Urozhaine. They have wasted huge resources in doing so.
1/x
A few weeks a go I made this post:
2/x
You can go to to look at Russian vehicle looses, there is about 50? here. ukr.warspotting.net/map/
Image
Read 8 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Jul 2, 2024
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV. Image
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
Video of the 2nd SP bde.
Read 6 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Feb 15, 2024
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds. Image
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so. Image
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks. Image
Read 4 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Jan 28, 2024
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"

So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.

(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov) Image
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now. Image
Read 21 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 24, 2023
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove. Image
Legend and map link
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/oper…
Image
Kupyansk-Svatove
Russian recon forces attacked UA positions in Krokhmal'ne. Further south, AFU were seen advancing in to Novoselivs'ke. Image
Read 13 tweets
Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 10, 2023
An overview of the Ukrainian frontline changes for the last week. Image
Legend
Old UA line, is the estimated UA forward line on 2023-09-02
Interactive map can be found here:
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/oper…
Image
Kupyansk - Svatove
No noticeable changes, but it's clear RuAF are trying to advance west of Svatove, but without any major success.
Image
Image
Read 12 tweets

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