FIRMS Data: 2022-09-29_18:27
Added 74 locations to kml
Filtered 166 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 62 false positives
Kupyansk
Heavy fighting seems to be going on in the surrounding settlements. In Vil'shana the orcs are stealing all the cars.
Lyman
Shandryholove liberated according to geolocated images.
Shellings indicate further advances north by the AFU. Drobysheve seems like a hard nut to crack, but crack it will. To the south east, the AFU are attacking in the Zarichne - Yampil direction.
Bakhmut north.
Ruaf Attacked in the direction of Vyimka and Bakhmutske. The attacks were repulsed by the AFU. 57th Motorized Rifle brigade is in this area, they have taken in reinforcements from he split up 3rd Army Corps.
Bakhmut south
This is the same thing as the last few weeks, RuAF focusing on attacking south of Bakhmut. There is no or very little progress for RuAF. All these attacks were repulsed.
Donetsk
RuAF keep attacking in the same areas. Pervomais'ke, Pobjeda, Novomykhailivka and Pavlivka. There was even a shelling reported in the area of Pisky today. Ukrainian ĂĽber soldiers successfully defended their positions.
Very little information is coming out from the Kherson - Zaporizhzhia section.
According to two pro russian channels the AFU broke the russian defenses around Stavky and successfully encircled Drobysheve. Someone just smacked the tip of the bulge and made it shrink. This is still unconfirmed RU rumors.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility.
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances.
A lot of people are asking what we see in this image.
The two orange circles show where the impacts were, 3 holes at each circle making it 6 in total. There is no other visible damage.
Image from @michaelh992
Since last fall, Russia have increased their effort to build shelters for aircrafts. I have identified 14 localtion where they have build or are building shelters.
Kirovske
45.1709, 35.1761
10 U shaped walls, no roof.
Engels AirBase
51.49953, 46.23520
Construction recently started, ground work for 10 shelters.