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Sep 30 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
WarGonzo: Lyman is fucked, Russia has reportedly been forced from Yampol, Drobyshevo has either fallen or soon will.
[Yampil, Drobysheve]

Alexander Kots:
▶️Lyman encircled, Yampil abandoned, Drobysheve falling
▶️Ukrainian sabotage-reconnaissance groups active along supply road to Svatove, parts of which under AFU artillery control
▶️Russia inexplicably wasting missiles and drones elsewhere.
WarGonzo: Drobysheve has fallen. Lyman under full assault and supply lines being destroyed.
Putin pulled a Hitler and ordered no retreat and now the bulk of the forces holding the front are about to be captured or killed and their armour will become a new Ukrainian brigade.
#pt
WarGonzo: Lyman has fallen to Ukraine
Russia officially announces a goodwill gesture in Lyman

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More from @Ayei_Eloheichem

CasualtiesOfTheDay 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Sep 29
Pentagon on mobilization: "If you think about the consequences that they kind of feel that they're in right now and you compare that to World War I and World War II, that certainly says a lot about what the Ukrainians have been able to do to the Russian Army." Image
Pentagon: "It's much harder to generate that force than I think folks will say...The mechanics of outfitting that size of a force is very difficult...The majority of the people who would train those individuals, those individuals are in Ukraine."

Image
Pentagon: "We haven't seen an increase [in armour]...The Ukrainians have done a pretty good job of destroying Russian equipment over the course of the last seven plus months. And as you would guess, that equipment is in most cases irreplaceable."

Image
Read 5 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Sep 29
I wonder if this is still true. Would they actually be crazy enough to invade the North again with even less combat-capable forces?
The Union State seems to be mobilizing. Looks like they are going to go for Kyiv again, this time alongside Belarus?
Read 8 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Sep 28
Most based US arms package yet!

$1.1 billion includes counter-UAS systems, 2 multi-missions radars, 2 UAS radars, 150 armoured HMMWVs, and EIGHTEEN MORE HIMARS!!!!!
The US has committed ~$17 billion in military aid to Ukraine since this began. Full list of pledged and/or delivered aid:

Read 5 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Sep 27
Gosh, I wonder who was behind this sabotage 🙄
Read 7 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Sep 8
Gigachad Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi and Lieutenant General Mykhailo Zabrodskyi call for ATACMS and other long-range strike assets in order to negate Russia's true "Center of Gravity" and end the war.

Nothing else will do it. ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/356…
"It’s precisely this [long-range strike] capability that should be considered as the Russian army’s Center of Gravity from a military standpoint. As long as the current situation persists, this war can last for years."

"Russia’s...Center of Gravity...lies in the war’s 'remote' nature for most average Russians. Thanks to this lack of proximity, they perceive not so painfully all the losses, failures, and...costs of this war in all its senses."

#ATACMSforUkraine
Read 12 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Sep 7
Pavel Luzin: Russia's Soviet ammunition stocks, especially of 122 mm and 152 mm shells, have been depleted since 2002 and especially after Chechnya, Georgia 2008, Ukraine 2014, Syria, and now this: theins.ru/en/politics/25… Image
Luzin: Given estimates of shell production/restoration and firing rates (>7 million shells since Feb. 24), Russia will face severe shortages in artillery shells by December 2022.

This is even without counting munitions destroyed in Ukrainian strikes.
Image
Luzin: Aside from shell shortages, there is also wear on artillery systems and Russian logistics and maintenance leaving much to be desired.

Apparently, the practice of regularly using S-300/400 as land-attack systems began at least 5 years ago.
ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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