The Ukrainian drive to liberate her people and her lands continues unabated. Putin's illegal annexation and the speech that translates a declaration of war against the world be dammed. In fact, part of Ukraine's efforts were a deliberate counter-troll by Zelensky with the
announcement that Ukraine would seek fast track approval to join NATO. This puts a serious a kink in Russia's plans to escalate to de-escalate in order to achieve a frozen conflict that Putin can spin into some semblance of victory. Now he has to worry that Ukraine has its own
umbrella because the West did not back down. It puts him in a box that a prideful man will have a hard time escaping. Sunken costs fallacies are a bitch when you are trapped in them. The smart move is to take the loss, but he can't. He might be willing to burn the world over it,
but given how he had to address the Russian public over the snafu-ed mobilization he is likely facing some serious internal pressures to fix this shit in a way that doesn't destroy Russia. Victory is impossible and more and more of his inner circle will begin to see it now.
with battlefield losses (dead) over 58K and men fleeing of between 200-500K Russia's long-term demographics just took a major hit. Thise men will never father children. Russia's birth rate was already an unsustainable 1.5 children per woman and now that is going to drop because
those lost men are prime fathering years. Add in how many Russian men already die early because life in Russia just grinds them down with poverty, alcoholism, violence etc and the situation is that much worse. In 10 years or so there will be at least a million fewer children born
there would have been. Unlike previous wars, I don't think Russia will see any sort of major uptick in birth rates among those who remain. There is going to be enough mechanization and urbanization that extra mouths to feed won't be offset by the extra labor they provide too the
family farm. It's a pickle Russia is going to have a hell of time fixing and when the Russian population finally twigs to it woo boooyyyy! The ethnic groups will probalby twig first, they see the streets devoid of men in general and young men in particular. Putin's speech about
Russia being a nation devoted to religions won't wash well. Where are the Buddihist in his inner circle, among the oligarchs and generals? They know its all claptrap meant for "white" Russians. Ditto those parts about opposing colonialism. Russia is the world's oldest and most
enduring colonial power and she began her empire before Columbus set sail from Europe looking for a way to Asia. In fact modern Russia stretches from sea to shining sea and she maintains that empire by force. Putin's war was never about NATO expansion, but about reversing Russian
imperial decline since 1991 and once more bringing her captive populations under the imperial yoke of Moscow. Georgia, paratroops in Kazakhstan, backing Armenia, provocations in the Baltics, separatist movements in multiple countries and of course the war in Ukraine are all aimed
at reversing imperial decline and defusing the demographic time bomb that Russia is. Luckily, the West finally found the courage to say no more and has been supporting Ukraine in her war to chart her own destiny. This support must continue and is why I write my elected leaders
everyday. @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, and @RepFrenchHill know where I stand and what I demand of them. Do yours? In case you haven't noticed, Russia has pulled out all the stops to try and flip public opinion against Ukraine. its up to us to make sure our leaders understand
that we support Ukraine and they must do so as well. it is also up to us to promote Ukraine and Ukrainian voices into the other parts of our lives and too battle Russian dis-info. #NAFO #FELLAS are a great way to do this. Join us, expansion is non-negotiable. Plus the donation
helps support the @georgian_legion. Countering Russian trolling requires more than memes though. It requires good information. You can find that 24/7 at @MriyaReport a space dedicated to all things Ukraine or touching on the war there. It also a supports @MriyaAid a worthwhile
charity dedicated to Ukraine. We must all do our part to end the #genocideofUkrainians. If not that charity there are others, @UkraineAidOps, @U24_gov_ua and others. With the Russian army encircled in #Lyman and the front lines having pushed them back to #Kreminna now is the time
than ever to act up and speak up. Until Ukraine wins on Ukraine's terms: Slava Ukraini! #RussiaIsATerroristState #UkraineWar #nuclearwar @mfa_russia <--- still losing because Ukraine won't stop, can't stop.
@threadreaderapp unroll please

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Raver: NAFO's official polemist, Slava Ukraini!

Raver: NAFO's official polemist, Slava Ukraini! Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @JBelcourt73

Oct 3
Now the focus swings back to Kherson as the one two, three punch combos by Ukraine keep landing on soft parts in the Russian line. For those asking how does this keep happenings (mainly tankies and vatniks) here is a quick lesson on probable reasons. First the Russian Army isn't
big enough to do everything it wanted to do back in Feb. Early war losses in men and equipment meant even with the "goodwill gestures" around Kyiv what was left was still not big enough to do everything it still wanted to do. Especially since so much was tied down trying to
dig the Azovstal defenders out of their fortress. Big plans need with small armies require small enemies, focus, speed, violence of action and competence. Russia had none of these so each set back left them weaker. Each setback and repulsed shot left them less able to make
Read 21 tweets
Oct 2
Lyman is liberated, and many of the Russian's there are no longer combatants as they are now dead, wounded or captured. This loss is going to add even more pressure to the Russian need to get bodies to the front. It seems unlikely that fear of bad reports and the constant
drumbeat of send more men now and endemic corruption will permit Russia to actually train the mobilized soldiers. The troops answering the call (vs the men fleeing to foreign shores) are basically going to be untrained militia fighters. Losses are going to skyrocket. We may be
about to enter/ have entered a feed back loop. Where Russian mothers who have lost sons, and other mothers who have sent their sons into exile become too big of a political problem to ignore. Putin has already had to address the screw ups, but now the Czar will be shown to have
Read 12 tweets
Sep 30
So in todays awesome sauce news roundup. I have two things to report, one is local-ish awesome sauce the other is spicy awesome sauce. First the local.
This local news report and the follow on comments on twitter show at least 3 other Arkansans who are #Fellas other than me. That warms my heart and adds weight to my daily reminders to @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, and @RepFrenchHill that #NAFO
is alive and well in the Natural State: WPS! It's also a message to people like @lavern_spicer that we vote for Ukraine, not against it. America has a moral duty to oppose fascism and genocide, its a promise our grandparents made to the World when we fought Hitler and Tojo.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 29
Did the US destroy the Nordstream pipelines? Seems to be a common question being pushed by Kleptograd's supporters. Although we can't know for sure since we won't have access to the forensic evidence who has the most to gain? Occam's Razor and the Socratic Method will have to
do. Some of the questions that need answering are: who had the most to gain, who had easiest access, who has the technical means. Why were they attacked in the way they were. Why was USN ASW aircraft so active over the area. What was that Kilo class SS doing? How would the US get
a SSN into the area. Ready set go! 1. Who had the most to gain? If you think about it, Russia has the most to gain by the destruction of the pipelines. Both were dead lines that were never coming back online at anything close to full capacity because Germany had already made
Read 18 tweets
Sep 28
Johnny Rico was once asked by Jean V Dubois how many lives were worth fighting for. It's an important question given today's climate. BTW, if you don't know who Mr. Rico and Mr. Dubois are, well you are missing out on one of the great philosophical works of the modern age.
Although the question posed to Mr. Rico was about the fate of POW's after a fictional WWIII it bears on the world we live in today exactly because we may be on the cusp of WWIII. Putin appears to be betting the fate of humanity on a deadly serious question. Will the US respond
with force if I use nuclear weapons. There are only 3 possible answers to that question. 1. Yes, so I might as well go all in ad initio and cue REM to play one last time.
Read 21 tweets
Sep 27
This short clip from @bayraktar_1love says more about the modern Russian way of war as it regards its own troops than anything else I have seen. Hooley phuq.... These guys are screwed six ways from Sunday. I don't feel bad for them, they voted for this shit after all when they
marched to the commissariat in September rather than in the streets in February. We should all be thankful they really are that stupid. Can you imagine the world of hurt we would all be in, if the Russian's were even half as efficient as their ideological warfighting inspiration
the Mongols were? When the Mongols showed up and taught the early Russian's what real war was like the steppe horsemen had world class officers and logistics, highly trained and well-equipped troops and a ruthlessness that would make anyone but a Roman legionnaire blanche. They
Read 15 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(