Nick Schwellenbach Profile picture
Oct 6, 2022 18 tweets 8 min read Read on X
1/ 🧵EXCLUSIVE: Thru a #FOIA lawsuit, @POGOwatchdog got data on 2.3 million #PPP loans that the Small Business Administration flagged for scrutiny, incl potential fraud

But the SBA botched its review of billions of dollars of flagged loans

pogo.org/investigation/…
2/ There were some 4.3 million flags that SBA applied to these 2.3 million #PPP loans from August 2020 to Sept 2021 worth at least $189 billion. The flags were meant to help SBA assess whether a recipient should receive loan forgiveness
3/ But how did SBA use these flags? There were breakdowns in SBA's oversight of flagged #PPP loans, @POGOwatchdog found Image
4/ To speed things up, in the fall of 2020, SBA had a contractor create the capability to engage in bulk closures (called "batch dispositioning") of the flags applied to loans. An auditor found that the agency didn't ensure those flags were properly closed out
5/ Remember then-Treasury Secretary Mnuchin's pledge that every PPP loan $2 million and up would receive a "full review"?

SBA data shows that 99.1% of "special review" flags applied to these large loans were closed out on a day shortly before Biden was inaugurated
6/ On just 4 days in the last weeks of the Trump administration, SBA closed out 77% of the 4.3 million flags.

On one day - Jan 6, 2021 - SBA closed out 1.8 million or 41% of the flags.
7/ Those bulk closures came shortly before recipients could apply for a 2nd PPP loan.

Under the SBA's rules, PPP loan recipients couldn't get a 2nd PPP loan if they had outstanding flags.
8/ SBA didn't directly comment on what the Trump administration did, but a spokesperson told @POGOwatchdog that “From Day One, it has been a priority to address issues inherited from decision makers in the Trump Administration.” Image
9/ Under Biden, the SBA is examining forgiven loans. However, the SBA’s inspector general warned this year that earlier agency oversight failures may make it challenging “to recover funds for forgiven loans later determined to be ineligible.”
10/ A flag does not mean a loan recipient necessarily engaged in fraud. But some of the flags - if accurate - indicate clear-cut ineligibility. For example, if a business was created after February 15, 2020, it wasn't supposed to get a PPP loan.
11/ Adjusted for each county's business population, parts of the Midwest and Puerto Rico have a higher rate of flagged loans.

(Many of these counties are sparsely populated & under those circumstances, it doesn't take a lot of flags to rise to the top of the list) Image
12/ @POGOwatchdog also mapped out where SBA flagged loans where it found PPP loan recipients had large numbers of employees at residential addresses, a possible indicator of fraud, although there can be innocuous explanations as well Image
13/ SBA withheld the names of loan recipients. It also made it difficult to identify recipients by only giving their loan amounts in ranges & by withholding other info. But @POGOwatchdog was able to identify a few potential matches. Image
14/ There have been many stories on PPP fraud prosecutions & the eyepopping amount of potential fraud (up to $100 billion). But this story sheds light on previously untold government breakdowns that enabled fraud. This is investigative accountability journalism
15/ This investigative story took a #FOIA lawsuit, intensive data analysis, reading lengthy audits of agency financial statements, talking to experts including federal sources, & reviewing numerous govt oversight reports.

Data here: kaggle.com/code/schwellen…
16/ @POGOwatchdog had a great team working on this project: me, @NEGordon, @SarcasmSean & Leslie Garvey had bylines, but Julienne McClure, Amaya Shoshannah Phillips, Henry Glifort, @bbrockmyer, and others played key roles
17/ There's more in the story & in the data I didn't include in this thread

As @POGOwatchdog's investigation concludes, "the great pandemic swindle was aided and abetted by the SBA’s lax oversight."

I hope you read it & consider sharing:

pogo.org/investigation/…
18/ We still have unanswered questions, esp regarding what happened inside SBA.

There are also many possible stories we didn't tell that could be told w/ the data

We hope this story & the data we've made public will be used by other journalists & researchers

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More from @schwellenbach

May 26, 2023
This Memorial Day weekend, @POGOwatchdog is revealing a recent Army watchdog report that paints a disturbing picture of its research response to high rates of suicide and sexual assault in its ranks that have plagued the Army for years

pogo.org/investigation/…
The Army’s active-duty suicide rate in 2021 was 47% more than the Marine Corps & more than 2x that of the Navy & Air Force. But the Army's oversight of its research into suicide & other harmful behaviors has many long-standing shortcomings

pogo.org/investigation/…
From 2020 to 2021, Army sexual assault reports rose 25%+, a much higher increase than any other military service

“It is clear that the military has not meaningfully addressed the scourge of sexual assault and harassment," Josh Connolly w/ @ProtectRDfnders told me
Read 5 tweets
Apr 27, 2023
NEW! My investigation for @POGOwatchdog on how mismanagement and distrust within an obscure Capitol Police office enabled one of America’s worst intelligence failures on January 6, 2021

pogo.org/investigation/…
I began talking to former Capitol Police intelligence whistleblowers a year ago. I could not corroborate many of their claims then.

But after the Jan 6 select committee made its interview transcripts public earlier this year, that changed.
Unfortunately, even though the Jan 6 select committee interview transcripts had a wealth of material shedding light on intel & law enforcement breakdowns, most of that did not make its way into the committee's final report
Read 5 tweets
Feb 1, 2023
FBI records show the FBI's top leaders were sent concerning info pointing to the potential for violence DAYS before Jan. 6 - such as the fact that "domestic terrorism suspects" were coming to D.C. for the Stop the Steal rally

documentcloud.org/documents/2358…
FBI Director Wray's special exec. assistant & the FBI's #2 were emailed on Jan 3 that the Proud Boys "are coming for violence. They will cause mass unrest, destruction, and potentially kill many people in the streets of DC on January 6th.'"

documentcloud.org/documents/2358…
The head of the FBI's DC field office wrote that FBI leaders were freaking out before Jan 6: “What I could gather from the [FBI] deputy [director] is that the focus is no one knows what is going to happen and that scares them"

documentcloud.org/documents/2358…
Read 10 tweets
Jan 23, 2023
FBI agents who have led counterterrorism and counterintelligence efforts in recent years in the FBI's powerful and immensely important New York Field Office have had serious problems

Charges were unsealed today against Charles F. McGonigal

justice.gov/opa/press-rele…
A 2017 Justice Dept inspector general report found Bryan Paarmann, then-special-agent-in-charge of counterterrorism in the FBI's NY Field Office, “improperly disclosed court-sealed and law enforcement sensitive information to the media"

scribd.com/document/44241…
The charges against McGonigal, former FBI NY Field Office special-agent-in-charge of counterintelligence, were made in two indictments - one filed in DC, the other in NYC

The DC indictment can be found here (the SDNY filing is above):

storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 22, 2023
Even though this official resigned in October for alleged sexual misconduct, he is reportedly "under investigation for his behavior by Customs and Border Protection’s Office of Professional Responsibility"

nbcnews.com/politics/immig…
Last April, @POGOwatchdog exposed the broken system of accountability - including at Customs and Border Protection - when DHS employees engage in sexual misconduct

pogo.org/investigation/…
We reported on an earlier disturbing case where there was no evidence Customs and Border Protection investigated or sought discipline despite a quarter-million dollar settlement to resolve claims that a supervisors propositioned an employee for sex
Read 7 tweets
Dec 12, 2022
"More than 300 individuals on a leaked membership list of the far-right militia group the Oath Keepers described themselves as current or former employees of the Department of Homeland Security" - @POGOwatchdog reports
pogo.org/investigation/…
“This probably represents that the tip of the iceberg as far as federal law enforcement officers that have been involved in or supported the activities of far-right, militant groups like the Oath Keepers” fmr FBI agent Mike German (@RethinkIntel) told @POGOwatchdog
We found at least 2 current Secret Service agents who were members at the Oath Keepers at one point - including one who told the Oath Keepers that he is "a member and instructor on the Presidential Protective Division’s Counter Assault Team"
Read 11 tweets

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