exit266 Profile picture
Oct 9 7 tweets 4 min read
41 days left in the grain deal, 302 ships outbound, 163 delivered, 6,809,698 MT shipped and 3,326,518 MT delivered. Approaching 7MMT exported through the grain deal. 🧵⬇️ #oatt #wheat #corn #barley #sunflowers
10 ships left today but 3 more were scheduled and then delayed, a big day.
The portion of grain being exported which is wheat is increasing and I expect to see this continue at a slow rate based on the drought conditions in some regions and the planting decreases in others.
A good mix of different grains today. #myprecious
In September exports were leaving at an average of 129,169 MT per day and even with a few lower days, the first nine days of October are 144,506 MT per day. If they keep this up they may get nearly 4.5MMT out in October.
Bored on a Sunday afternoon? Go look up Star Helena and Glory on a marine tracker. Both left Ukraine on August 7th and are still not delivered. They have wandered and changed destination and generally looked lost. 🚢⚓️

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More from @exit266

Oct 9
42 days left in the grain deal, 292 ships outbound, 158 delivered, 6,592,484 MT shipped and 3,171,073 MT delivered. Another @WFP ship is underway!🧵⬇️ #oatt #wheat #corn #barley #sunflowers
Two new countries are importing Ukrainian grain, welcome Indonesia and Vietnam!
7 ships and decent day for exports. Are we starting to see a trend of up and down days alternating?
Read 7 tweets
Oct 8
44 days left in the grain deal, 285 ships outbound, 156 delivered, 6,425,798 MT shipped and 3,141,023 MT delivered. Another @WFP ship is underway!🧵⬇️ #oatt #wheat #corn #barley #sunflowers
3 ships today, not a lot of action.
Read 10 tweets
Oct 7
44 days left in the grain deal, 282 ships outbound, 152 delivered, 6,372,498 MT shipped and 3,088,818 MT delivered.🧵⬇️ #oatt #wheat #corn #barley #sunflowers Image
Image
11 ships today, the most in a long while but they really didn’t carry much. ImageImage
Read 9 tweets
Sep 19
61 days left in the grain deal, 169 ships outbound, 89 delivered, 3,886,995 MT shipped and 1,808,477 MT delivered. 🧵⬇️
Spain continues to lead the way on purchasing Ukrainian grain.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 19
62 days left in the grain deal, 163 ships outbound (8 departed, list is below). The JCC only did a partial update today so we’ll fill in the rest tomorrow. BUT, I wanted to know what’s up with Spain.🧵⬇️
Spain is taking 14.4% of the exports from Odessa ports.
To break that down, 38.6% of the barley, 20.4% of the wheat, 14.5% of the corn, and 5% of the sunflower meal.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 18
TLDR: Ukraine could be exporting more grain through their ports but the larger shipping companies still view the risk levels as too high.🧵⬇️
…list.maritimeintelligence.informa.com/LL1142240/Ukra…
Even the insurance war risk premiums have dropped from 2% of hull value to 0.5% after two months of consistent proof of concept but ship owners remain concerned about safety and security.
Putin’s talk this week of cancelling the deal isn’t helping the UN convince anyone that they should get involved and that’s why we’re seeing them get so public in their negotiations and admonitions this week.
Read 6 tweets

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