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Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
@AndrewPerpetua
Oct 14, 2022 • 14 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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I am going to do a very brief update for October 13th. You could call this an update for October 11,12,13, and whatever other days I missed because not much has happened. #ukrdailyupdate
Near Kupyansk, Ukraine moved forward and appear to have liberated Pischane. I have no actual confirmation of this liberation, but Ukrainian troops are east of it and multiple Russian sources claims it is under Ukrainian control so whatever let's roll with it.
Russia has made a lot of blatantly false claims about retaking towns near Kreminna, but their claim today to have retaken Pischane (lol) and Chervonopopivka actually seem to be both reasonable and likely true. They claim to be attacking Terny, it's probably in the *direction of*.
Russians are moving around concrete blocks to build tan traps in Severodonetsk.
Russians are building a defensive line near Hirske. If you remember, Hirske was a town Russia could not break through and only fell when the entire rest of the line collapsed. So I guess Russia really, really does not want to have to fight for it a second time.
Some action in Kadiivka today. Ukrainian civilians spotted Russian artillery firing from this position to the northeast of the city. Ukraine destroyed hangars Russia used to repair broken vehicles on the missile marker.
In the Bakhmut area, Ukraine controls Ivanhrad and Opytne. I wrote about it here. People are saying Ukraine counter attacked in Opytne, this is not true. Russia never took or contested Opytne. Ukraine counter attacked Ivanhrad.
Otherwise you have your standard attacks in the Bakhmut area without notable change.
In the Donetsk area there is ongoing fighting in all the same areas as usual.
Ukraine is attacking south from both Orikhiv and Hulyaipole. Don't get excited and think this is some major offensive, it isn't.
Ukraine inflicted significant damage on Russian positions in Burchak, Tokmak, Kopani, Kinski Rozdory, and Berdyansk areas. (markers aren't exact). The Berdyansk hit reportedly destroyed four S-300 systems.
Ukraine had significant artillery strikes on the Antonovskyi Bridge, Nova Kakhovka, Kozatske, and Beryslav areas.
Russia had significant artillery strikes in the Pravdyne, Soldatske, Blahodatne, and more general M14 highway areas.
Ukraine attacked Ishchenka and Bruskynske, and Russia sent recon to Sukhyi Stavok.

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More from @AndrewPerpetua

Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Nov 1
The Russians claim they shoot down Ukrainian aircraft the moment the missile leaves the tube, but we're supposed to believe they shot down two Black Hawks on Tuesday and only announced it after Ukraine leaked Black Hawk footage on Friday. These Black Hawks join the 650 F-16s and 450,000 M777s Russia has 'destroyed.'
GUYS. I AM GOING TO POST A VIDEO WHERE I WILL BLUR THE UNIT LOGOS TO SHIT SO NOBODY CAN TELL I STOLE THE VIDEOS FROM THE ARCHIVE AND THEN POST IT TO THE INTERNET SAYING I KILLED ALL THE SPECIAL FORCES
And then media outlets and super smart think tank people all over the world will believe me for some reason and then everyone will be like omg all the special forces died.
Read 4 tweets
Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Oct 18
Guys I took my division and charged them into combat and while we lost 50% of our armored vehicles and 45% of our infantry are dead, and several of our HQs were destroyed and most of our best officers are dead, we captured a village where 200 once lived so we’re winning the war.
Tomorrow we will send our next division to assault the next village. That one had a population of 1200. Its actually considered a huge city, when you think about it. If we can capture that, we will send our third division to capture the hamlet behind it.
Every day we advance. That means we’re winning.
Read 6 tweets
Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Aug 21
This is what Russia does. A country that only exports oil, gas, and war. This is the city of Marinka. Image
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Read 4 tweets
Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Jul 26
I wrote 2 years ago about why I was worried about Molniya drones. They are long range and capable of very large warheads. For whatever reason they were oddly scarce for a while, but they have become very common items on the battlefield and exactly everything I feared.
They can destroy a house in a single hit. Even small concrete buildings. They can dive straight down into dugouts, fly along trenches and fly into bunkers. They are being used to target infantry now, too. Russia clearly has a lot of them and are using them to destroy things that used to require helicopters.
They cost around $1000 each, roughly 2x a base level drone or roughly the same price as a higher end fpv drone. But they can carry a 6-7kg bomb and can fly over 40km.
Read 6 tweets
Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Jul 3
The United States government is built on the concept that Congressmen will have the swagger to take pride in their station. The government hinges on congress enforcing their will upon others. They are supposed to be arrogant sons of bitches who look down on others.
The moment you have a congress that is unwilling or incapable of being arrogant, condescending assholes and you instead have weak placating losers, the whole foundation of the government crumbles. The supreme arrogance of congress is what lets them reign in power of president.
Right now the US has the weakest congress in its history. A bunch of spineless losers who are incapable of even having independent thought. They are owned entirely by others, especially the republican party who bows to a president. Imagine, a CONGRESSMEN bowing to a PRESIDENT.
Read 7 tweets
Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Jun 23
A few areas where I have been focusing on geoing strikes on Russians positions lately have been interesting in that only a very tiny number of Russians are defending. In one area in particular, the video showed a drone scan a series of trenches where only four Russians were spotted. Two killed and two forced to flee. I wonder what is behind those Russians, and whether it is similarly a skeleton crew on defense. Also, these Russians were quite far from Ukrainian positions, so they were not some extremely advanced forward position, they seem to me to be the second and/or third line of defense, which are typically more heavily manned.
When I see video like this, from an area very far from offensive actions, where Russia is purely defending, it makes me wonder how different the war would be if Ukraine had the capacity to attack this location. I feel like if Ukraine were to attack and capture it, many people online would say the area doesn't matter because it is only advancing 1km or blah blah. But advancing 1km is important, because it forces Russians to divert resources away from attacking to defending. Or you will advance a second k, or a third km until such a point that the Russians are forced to defend.
There is an area where Ukraine has been slowly advancing in this manner. Nobody is really talking about it, because it isn't sexy. It doesn't impact any large battles, it isn't a sign of things to come, or anything else. It is just Ukraine taking advantage of Russia failing to adequately defend positions.
Read 5 tweets

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