I know this wave, Wave 8, seems like the same old same old but this time it's different.
We used to have a respite between waves during the summer for ppl and hospitals to recharge & regroup prior to the fall & winter onslaught. This time we didn't.
We used to finish a wave before we started the next one. This time we're starting a new wave on top of the current wave.
We used to start a new wave with <1000 daily cases (in Ontario).This time we're starting with 40,000.
We used to start a wave with a single dominant variant. This time we have variant soup.
We used to be confident our new monoclonal antibodies would be effective against a new dominant variant. This time we aren't.
We used to be confident one more vaccine boost would overcome immune evasion. This time we're not.
We used to have low hospital occupancy & spare hospital capacity at the start of a wave. This time we don't.
We used to have mandatory masking in place. This time we don't.
We used to have remote learning options in place. This time we don't.
We used to have confidence we can meet the capacity challenge in our hospitals. This time we don't.
We used to have risk, case & outbreak data by school, by region, by province. This time we don't.
We used to have Federal income supports in place for ppl & businesses. Now we don't.
We used to take COVID seriously. Now we don't.
We used to be afraid of the acute phase of COVID. Now we aren't.
We used to think the acute phase was the only concern. Now we know better. Mid COVID & Long COVID are just as harmful, in many ways more so, to ppl, their families, businesses & the economy.
So now what can we do to save hospitals from crashing & schools from closing? Wave 8 is already here. What can we do in a hurry?
A couple of ideas:
Deploy 2 M kid's size Health Canada authorized respirators to school kids. After all, schools are the primary drivers of community cases.
Deploy 100,000 highly protective easy-sealing reusable respirators to teachers. After all, they are more vulnerable to hospitalization & death & have a big impact on class availability.
Make universal respirator use mandatory in hospitals & LTC for staff, visitors and voluntarily for patients. After all, HC is the other major driver of cases & HCWs are existentially invaluable to the system.
Monitor CO2 levels / ventilation in real time across every classroom in the province & target improvements where needed.
Mandatory masking in public places until cases are lower.
Set minimum standards - respirators for high-risk, minimum medical masks for all other.
Do these measures sound drastic? They're not. Minor inconveniences & minor investments. On a scale of 1 to 10 they're a 2, compared to the health & economic consequences of inaction. And the inconvenience of wearing a mask is TEMPORARY.
Disclosure: I research & develop new products, processes & standards to keep ppl safe from air, water & surface transmission of disease. I develop, manufacture, distribute & sell reusable respirators, CO2 monitors, UV & other devices to pay the bills.
I'd like to stay healthy, live a long happy life & I want that for my friends & fellow citizens too.
I'd like hospitals & schools & public spaces to be safe, the economy & businesses to flourish & kids to excel in school.
We need a name for the 3 to 6 month period where ppl are at ⬆️ risk of heart attack, stroke, pulmonary embolism, brain damage, & sudden death after COVID.
Would "Complex COVID"
work?
Any other ideas?
A lot of great ideas!
Misinformation & minimizing have been twin scourges to informing the public of danger. We've all seen how important messaging is including names. SARS2 was named nCoVID-19 to minimize political & economic fallout.
So with that in mind, how about...
"COVID Crash Period"
Attention-getting /awareness generating, easily understood by the public, opposite of mild, highlights critical period for heightened awareness / monitoring & often sudden manifestation, identifies a phase distinct from initial phase & >6 mo chronic phase.
Just imagine if there was a World Health Organization that told the world that a rapidly mutating immune-evasive airborne virus with global pandemic potential was NOT airborne.
Just imagine if that same World Health Organization would go on to refuse to acknowledge, apologize for or correct that misinformation for 2-1/2 years.
Just imagine if the medium that published said misinformation stepped up & fact checked that same World Health Organization's misinformation.
"A higher proportion of infected individuals causing onward transmission was found among students (46.2% vs. 25%), who also caused a markedly higher number of secondary cases (1.03 vs. 0.35)."
"we found that clusters originated from students or school personnel were associated with a larger average cluster size (3.32 vs. 1.15) and a larger average number of generations in the transmission chain (1.56 vs. 1.17)."
"Conclusions
Uncontrolled SARS-CoV-2 transmission at school could disrupt the regular conduct of teaching activities, likely seeding the transmission into other settings, and increasing the burden on contact-tracing operations."
'Just met a very good friend of mine, fully vaxxed, picked up a "flu" while away at a conference, 3 days shivering in hotel bed, then tried to golf, had to quit part way thru. It's 9 days later, he can't take a deep breath without coughing, has lost 15 pounds.
😢
Friend: "It's not COVID, it must be some type of flu."
Me: "How do you know?"
Friend: "Well I tested negative twice, day 2 & day 4. It can't be COVID."
😢
He's very Type A, athletic, go, go, go personality, so he's trying to push through his fatigue & symptoms. 'Looks worn, still racing around, working hard & traveling. I tried to warn him to stop, slow down, recovery could require 30 days of rest. I'm not sure he can do that.
😢