THREAD: Labor shortages are interrupting Americans’ access to necessities, including food and healthcare.

The Department of Labor can provide instant relief by updating Schedule A (a list of occupations that don’t have enough workers). 1/
niskanencenter.org/the-case-for-u…
Let’s take a look to see how bad things have gotten. Labor shortages and inflation have cost employers and American families billions. 97% of small businesses said the shortages impacted their bottom line. 2/
niskanencenter.org/labor-shortage…
As of March 2022, inflation (driven by supply chain disruptions) was on track to cost the average American household $5,200 in 2022. 3/
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Extensive labor shortages mean Americans struggle to shop, eat, or even visit the doctor. And the consequences are hitting working-class families hardest. Take a look at the consequences labor shortages have on our health care system: 4/ Image
Bringing in foreign talent seems like an obvious answer to the shortages, but that’s easier said than done. American employers have to compete against each other to access the insufficient allocation of employment-based visas. 5/
For upcoming FY2023, 48,000+ employers across the U.S. submitted 480,000+ requests for specialty worker visas. But because of the cap on these visas, only ¼ of these employers got their requests even potentially considered. 6/ Image
Comparing Q2 of FY2022 to Q2 of FY2019 before the pandemic, I-129 petitions for nonimmigrant (or temporary) workers are up nearly 36%, and I-140 petitions for immigrant (or permanent) workers are up approximately 46%. 7/ Image
Nearly 172,000 immigrant workers HAVE already been approved and deemed as necessary to the American workforce, yet remain stuck in visa backlogs (sometimes for DECADES). 8/
#visabacklog #greencardbacklog
And USCIS processing times have gotten worse. The processing time for a Form I-140 Immigrant Petition for Alien Worker of the “skilled worker or professional” category has gone from 5-7 months in 2019 to 17 months in 2022. 9/
Absent Congressional action to improve our broken immigration system, updating Schedule A is a meaningful and immediate answer to all of these challenges. 10/
Schedule A is a list of occupations for which DoL has declared an insufficient number of workers in the U.S. and determined that the employment of immigrants would not adversely affect the wages and working conditions of similarly situated U.S.-based employees. 11/
Per the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965, the U.S. can offer visas to qualified immigrants who can do jobs for which there’s a shortage of “employable and willing persons” in the U.S. 12/
The Act establishes an expedited process for pre-specified industries–including those listed under Schedule A. Employers hiring for Schedule A jobs don’t have to prove that they’ve done an exhaustive search for a qualified candidate domestically–saving them 6+ months. 13/
The only problem? Even though the Labor Secretary has the discretionary authority to amend the list at any time, Schedule A hasn’t been updated for 30 years. And so, only nurses, physical therapists, and immigrants of exceptional ability are on the list. 14/
Compare that to the top 20 certified or approved permanent labor certification applications from the past 5 fiscal years. Today, American employers have a perpetual need for qualified individuals willing to fulfill these roles. 15/ Image
Unsurprisingly, many of these occupations appear on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ list of the top 20 occupations with the most new jobs projected to be created over the next eight years. The need for skilled labor in these areas will continue to grow. 16/
We ultimately need Congressional action to fix the processing delays that are holding up foreign talent. But @USDOL can provide instant and significant relief to immigrants, American industries, and American families simply by updating Schedule A. 17/17
niskanencenter.org/the-case-for-u…

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More from @NiskanenCenter

Mar 24
NEW PAPER AND THREAD: Why are climate economists' favorite tools (carbon pricing/emissions trading) so despised?

@dolanecon shows where economists have missed the mark or failed to make themselves understood - and how they can do better. niskanencenter.org/are-economists…
Are economists are wrong when they advocate carbon taxes/emissions trading as central elements of climate policy? Plenty of dedicated climate activists (some of whom are economists themselves) say "yes."
.@DrVolts writes that "climate economics and climate economists have blown it pretty comprehensively." @Noahpinion says that "climate economics has almost completely failed to be useful to the national policy discourse."
volts.wtf/p/a-rant-about…

noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-has-clim…
Read 16 tweets
Mar 21
The U Visa backlog is out of control.

The bigger it gets, the more danger immigrant crime victims are in. And the worse U.S. public safety gets.

Congress must increase the cap & clear the backlog.

NEW COMMENTARY: niskanencenter.org/a-broken-syste…
The #Uvisa backlog as of the end of FY 2021 stands over 170,000. It grew by an average of 16,000+ applications annually between FY 2011 - FY 2021.

Using these numbers, if NO NEW U visa petitions were filed, it would take over 17 years to completely clear the backlog.

17 years. Image
There are a few ways we can fix this. One is to hire more staff. @AILANational recommends hiring 60-80 additional U visa adjudicators to see whether some visas could be recaptured. aila.org/File/Related/2…
Read 8 tweets
Mar 7
THREAD: NYC's framing of/response to violent crime as a recent problem is driven by politics and emotion.

It completely ignores neighborhoods that - due to lack of investment - never experienced safety in the first place. 1/ niskanencenter.org/as-nyc-mourns-…
We're going to take a look at the history of crime prevention in the 32nd Precinct of Harlem and compare it to more privileged neighborhoods that got more attention. The discrepancies we see could provide essential clues for improving policy today.
2/
Like the 32nd Precinct, many New York neighborhoods that continue to suffer from high rates of violence have long seemed inherently violent to city officials, places to either crack down on or ignore. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Feb 3
NEW from @Robert_t_Orr: Renewing the expanded #ChildTaxCredit for ALL ages is the best way forward.

But a child allowance for children ages 6 and younger is the next best option.

Why? Because young kids are the most likely to face poverty.

MORE: niskanencenter.org/why-young-fami…
Workers only hit their peak earnings years between 35 and 54. So young parents tend to have fewer financial resources to invest in their child’s needs.
Parents of young children tend to be young themselves and are less stable financially.

But telling parents they have to wait until they have kids until they are financially stable isn't the answer here. That would have negative impacts on families and society.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 2
THREAD: #Ukrainians already in the U.S. should have a way to stay in the U.S. as tensions continue to rise. The Biden admin should prepare to protect them using two tools:

1. Temporary Protected Status (TPS)
2. Special Student Relief (SSR).
1/
nytimes.com/live/2022/02/0…
DHS can designate a country for TPS due to ongoing armed conflict, environmental disaster, or other circumstances, like threat of invasion, etc. TPS would allow eligible Ukrainians in the U.S. to remain here until they could return home safely. 2/ uscis.gov/humanitarian/t…
Imagine if the U.S. sent Ukrainians into an unstable/violent situation simply because their visas ran out. Issuing TPS is a straightforward way to prevent this from becoming reality, and the Biden administration should prepare to protect Ukrainians in the U.S. now. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Jan 27
NEW from @AaronChalfin: In 1990, NYC experienced 2,220+ homicides. By 2011, it only had 515.

Then, against everyone's wildest expectations, homicides fell again.

What went right? Gang takedowns may be part of the answer.

THREAD: niskanencenter.org/how-a-focused-…
After NYC's first major homicide decline in the '90s, NYPD continued to make a concerted effort to combat violent crimes, relying on sustained surveillance of communities. This policy was best known for brief detainments called "stop-question-frisk." Image
In 2011, a lawsuit was filed alleging that the NYPD's enforcement activity constituted a pattern of racially discriminatory policing.

So NYPD began to abandon "stop-question-frisk."

Everyone predicted that crime would go up. But that's not what happened. Image
Read 9 tweets

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