Thread: Regarding @jeffcoschoolsco’s Capital Program, some have claimed, “our community is confused about what has been completed and what it has cost compared to the original scope and budget.” I disagree. There is no confusion; only discomfort with the truth #edcolo#copolitics
Some say that this “confusion” is due to people not realizing that the Flipbook distributed to Prop 5B voters in 2018 was nothing more than “marketing spin.” The evidence makes clear this wasn’t the case. Get you copy of it here: millerforjeffcostudents.com/resources/Jeff…
In Jeffco’s application for a national award for the Prop 5B public relations campaign, former district communications director Tammy Schiff wrote the following: The Flipbook "summarized what every school was going to receive in terms of renovations or new construction…
Here is Jeffco's submission for the national PR award for the 2018 Prop 5B bond campaign:
Schiff writes, “In all, over 150 “Mill Levy and Bond Factual Information” presentations where made morning, noon and night over the eleven weeks between the board vote to approve the questions and election night. These presentations were fact-based.”
If the Flipbook was really “just marketing spin” it certainly fooled Colorado Community Media, publisher of the Jeffco Transcript and other local papers. On 18Oct18, these papers ran @coloradonewsCCM’s endorsement of Prop 5B:
“We applaud the district’s commitment to transparency: A citizens financial oversight committee and independent audit of expenditures will make sure money from the measures is spent as intended…
“We also commend the district for listening to criticism from its failed bond attempt in 2016, which cited a lack of clarity in how the money would be used. This time, the district has prepared a detailed booklet and website of exactly where the money will go at each school.”
Finally, Jeffco commissioned an independent review of the Capital Program, by @Moss_Adams, the leading provider of such reviews to school districts in California. You can get it here: millerforjeffcostudents.com/resources/Moss…
Here are some of Moss Adams’ key findings: “The 2018 Flipbook was the primary communication tool to convey the approximate scope and budget of the Bond Program to voters.”
“14 [Capital Program] projects were not identified in the Flipbook… [Current project] budgets exceeded the site-specific budgets included in the Flipbook by between $110 million and $136 million.” Today, the Capital Program is now $174m over budget.
In sum, the 2018 Flipbook was not “marketing spin.” Rather, it was the basis on which voters made their decision – and the bond passed by only 1,286 votes. The only “confusion” today is why $174m has been spent on cost overruns and projects that were never disclosed in 2018.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Thread: @JeffcoSchoolsCo is closing 16 elementary schools. More closures will be needed if we can't stem enrollment declines. Some believe these are due to falling birthrates. The data say this is only part of the story... #edcolo#Jeffco#copolitics#edpolicy#suptchat#k12
This slide shows changes in total enrollment in Jeffco schools (Neighborhood, Option, and Charter) since 2012. As you can see, the fall in Grd 1 enrollment (a proxy for birthrate declines) is much smaller than the fall due to other factors.
Let's look at enrollment changes in more detail. As you can see below, district-managed Option schools have added students since 2012.
In 2019, before COVID arrived, 48% of Jeffco students in grades 3-8 did NOT meet state ELA standards. In 2022, that increased to 50%. The comparable numbers for math were 60% in 2019 to 63% in 2022. But the real results were likely much worse. Why?
Between 2019 and 2022, the number of valid CMAS results fell by (5,566) for ELA and (5,512) for math. But these declines weren't evenly distributed across all student groups. In 2019, only 83% of students failed to meet the CMAS math standard, vs 50% for non-FRL students...
Thread: #Jeffco parents and voters: The district's Capital Improvement Program has spent about $173 million on cost overruns, scope changes, and projects not disclosed to Prop 5B voters in 2018. Let's look at the facts. #edcolo#copolitics#edchat#k12#edpolicy
In 2018, Jeffco voters approved the issuance of $567 million in bonds to fund a $705 million Capital Improvement Program (CIP). The remaining $138 million was to be provided by the annual transfer of $23 million to the district’s Capital Fund from the General Fund for 6 years.
Of the 705, 56m went to charters, $563m was to be spent on projects at district run schools, and $86m was for "Program Contingency." Each project at a district run school included a 10% "project contingency" to cover cost-overruns and scope changes. If these were > 10% ...