#CCP congress: [Long thread alter] I have done a tally based on our database of the Central committee. Here are the findings: 1. at least 161 full and alternate members of the 376-seat 19th central committee will reach retirement age.
multimedia.scmp.com/infographics/n…
2. 7 caught by anti-corruption agencies. Most prominent ones include former justice minister Fu Zhenhua, deputy chief judge Shen Deyong, Industry and Information Technology minister Xiao Yaqing, Yunnan party chief Qin Guangrong and China security market watchdog chief Liu Shiyu.
3. 4 passed away during their term, including former emergency management minister Wang Yupu, Beijing’s top envoy to Macau Zheng Xiaosong, Tianjin deputy mayor Ren Xuefeng and Chairman of China Construction Group Guan Qing.
4. At the top tier, excluding Xi, 2 PBSC Li Zhanshu, 72, and Han Zheng, 68, are over retirement age. while three others – Li Keqiang, Wang Yang, and Wang Huning – are all 67 and could either stay or retire.
5. At the second tier of power, half of other 18 politburo members reached retirement, indicating reshuffles involving top military, security, administration, foreign affair, legislative, anti-corruption, personnel jobs.
6. They include two vice CMC chairman Xu Qiliang and Zhang Youxia, both 72; vice premier Liu He, 70, Sun Chunlan, 72; party's top diplomat Yang Jiechi, 72; Deputy chairman of NPC Wang Chen, 71; CCDI deputy head Yang Xiaodu, 69;
7. Also retiring include top personnel chief Chen Xi, 69; and the security tzar Guo Shengkun, who will turn 68, exactly on the opening day of the party congress.
8. The bulk of other 150 retirements primarily arose from a sweeping reshuffle in regional and ministerial leadership in the past two years. 17 ex-ministers, deputy ministers or heads of SOEs and 55 former regional party, government and legislative heads are set to step down.
9. 3 provincial party bosses: Shanxi’s Lin Wu, Anhui's Zheng Shanjie and Ningxia’s Liang Yanshun, and Minister of Natural Resources Wang Guanghua, Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development Ni Hong, are yet to enter the power circle, so their promotion is expected.
10. Eighteen newly appointed regional governors from Hebei, Liaoning, Jilin, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Fujian, Jiangxi, Henan, Hubei, Hainan, Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Gansu, Qinghai, Tibet and Ningxia are likely going to be promoted to be at least alternate members.
11. Some youngest provincial party secretaries include Shandong’s Li Ganjie and Jiangsu’s Wu Zhenlong, both born in November 1964 and Hebei’s Ni Yuefeng and Liaoning’s Zhang Guoqing who are just months older.
12. Other mavericks among the regional governors, ministers include Beijing mayor Chen Jining, Shaanxi governor Zhao Yide, Liaoning’s Li Lecheng, Jiangsu’s Xu Kunlin, Fujian’s Zhao Long.
13. Young men in the ministries include Minister of Human Resources and Social Security Zhou Zuyi, Director of the State Council’s Development Research Center Lu Hao, First Secretary of the Communist Youth League He Junke. All born in 1965, they are the youngest in the cohort.
14. Over 30 top military officials are set to give up their seats too. At the top CMC, two deputy chairs Xu Qiliang and Zhang Youxia, defence minister Wei Fenghe, and Chief of Staff of the Joint Staff Li Zuocheng are all going to retire.
15. Only General Miao Hua, who heads the Political Work Department, and General Zhang Shengmin, who oversees military discipline, will be young enough to stay on.
16. Some former commander and political commissars (PC) of Theatre of Command (TC) include: former TC Commander Zhao Zongqi and his PC Wu Shezhou; southern TC Commander Yuan Yubo; Eastern TC Commander Liu Yuejun; and PC of Northern and Central TC Fan Xiaojun and Zhu Shengling.
17. A few stepped down from PLA’s service branches: former ground force commander Han Weiguo and PC Liu Lei; former navy, air and rocket force commanders Shen Jinlong, Yu Zhongfu and Zhou Yaning; Armed Police commander Wang Ning; and PC of the Strategic Support Zheng Weiping.
18. The disappearance of Shang Hong, 62, commander of the Aerospace System Department of the Strategic Support Force from the party congress's delegate full list by the party's organisation also raised many eyebrows, despite he first appeared on a earlier list released by PLA.
19. A few rising stars in the military includes Li Shangfu, director of the Equipment Development Department of the Central Military Commission and the commander-in-chief of China's manned space project;
20. Rising military star: the ground force commander General Liu Zhenli, Eastern Theatre Commander Lin Xiangyang and his predecessor general He Weidong, who is believed to be chief of CMC’s Joint Operations Command Center.

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More from @zhengwei75

Jun 18
#20dawatch Thread: Lots of speculation on the potential successions in Beijing's United Front Work apparatus. The current UFW head You Quan is retiring due to age, and likely going to be succeeded by his executive deputy Chen Xiaojiang.
Then, Chen's national Ethnic Affairs Commission overseeing China's ethnic issues, will be passed on to Pan Yue, the UFW deputy head and director of the Overseas Chinese Affairs Office of the State Council.
Chen Xu, former party secretary of Tsinghua University, will take over Pan as head to reach out to all overseas Chinese and be promoted to the ministerial level.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 17
A Thread on my guess on the naming of Chinese carriers. Yes, they are named by major province but I suspect it is also linked to major pass sea battles in China's one hundred years of humiliation.
Liaoning carrier might be named to remember the humiliating lost of the Chinese navy to the Japanese in 1894, in which the Chinese navy was almost wiped out in Lushun (旅顺), now known as Dalian, after a series of battles in yellow sea.
Shandong carrier might be named to remember the final battles which saw the Japanese's occupation of Shandong's Weihaiwei (威海卫) after annihilating the Chinese navy and coastal forces in 1895.
Read 5 tweets

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