Jesse Helmer Profile picture
Oct 21 7 tweets 3 min read
Want to understand voting patterns on #ldnont's city council over the past term? Here's an overview. jessehelmer.medium.com/voting-pattern…
van Holst and Hillier, who were outliers and more contrarian in the first three years of the term, have shifted to voting with the majority much more frequently. #ldnont
Newly-appointed councilllors Hamou and Fyfe-Millar have joined Lewis, Morgan and Lehman in a very tight group of five that votes together on non-unanimous votes. #ldnont
These two new councillors are voting virtually in lockstep on non-unanimous votes (~96% of the time), unlike the councillors they replaced (who only voted yes together ~70% of the time). #ldnont
On non-unanimous votes, Holder is much less likely to be voting yes together with Helmer (me) since the new councillors were appointed, going from 79% to 63.5%. #ldnont
Holder is voting yes with Hamou and Fyfe-Millar roughly 90% of the time, unlike Squire and Kayabaga, where he was voting yes with them ~70% of the time. #ldnont
The Morgan group has a remarkably high success rate on motions where there is disagreement on council, ranging from Lehman (83%) to Fyfe-Millar (97%, on a much smaller number of total votes) and Morgan at 92%. #ldnont

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More from @jesse_helmer

Oct 21
Let's take a look at how councillors voted on close votes at council, where the margin ranged from one to five votes #ldnont
1. To appoint Tanya Park to LTC (12/18)

Yeas: (10) Mayor E. Holder, S. Lewis, M. Salih, J. Helmer, M. Cassidy, J. Morgan, A. Hopkins, S. Turner, E. Peloza, and A. Kayabaga

Nays: (5) M. van Holst, P. Squire, S. Lehman, P. Van Meerbergen, and S. Hillier
2. Appoint D. Vanden Boomen to Council for Adult Education (01/19)

Yeas: (10) Holder, van Holst, Salih, Helmer, Cassidy, Morgan, Hopkins, Van Meerbergen, Turner, and Kayabaga

Nays: (5) Lewis, Squire, Lehman, Peloza, and Hillier
Read 91 tweets
Nov 20, 2020
Thread.

My PhD research is on whether the laws, rules and norms (institutions) of local government in Canada are biased against renters and how that bias affects their political participation. #cdnmuni #academictwitter
Today, I'm launching a web site for my project: greatsuppression.ca.

There's a huge turnout gap between homeowners and renters. The conventional explanation is that this is a positive effect on homeowners, who are motivated to protect the value of their property.
This “homevoter” hypothesis was developed by William Fischel. I think it explains some but not all of why there’s such a large housing tenure gap.
Read 11 tweets
Aug 14, 2020
One year ago today, #OEVldn faced a major explosion on #Woodman Ave. I remember feeling the shake from inside my home. I headed outside, as did many of my neighbours. The fire and smoke were terrifying, and it was the beginning of a long night ahead.

THREAD #WoodmanStrong /1
When I think back to a year ago, what sticks out in my mind is not the tragic explosion but the many acts of heroism, big and small, we witnessed that night and in the weeks to follow. /2 #ldnont #oevldn #woodmanstrong
I remember seeing neighbours gathered on porches, helping those evacuated find shelter. I remember seeing people gathering up socks, pyjamas and books to help evacuated kids get to sleep in a new place...someone run across the street with pet food to feed evacuated animals. /3
Read 9 tweets

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